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Avellino vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 110-72
32-18 26-26 28-10 24-18
Position#9
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#6
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game92.0
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Trento
03 Nov 2018
AVE110
TRE72
15 May 2018
AVE80
TRE59
13 May 2018
AVE77
TRE79
09 May 2018
AVE78
TRE74
08 Jan 2017
AVE79
TRE69
20 Feb 2016
AVE71
TRE69
01 Nov 2015
AVE79
TRE66
30 Nov 2014
AVE84
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
99avg 120
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
87avg 120
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
137avg 120
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
no box
A09/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
A14/10
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
96-77
96
77
+19
no box
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
90-96
90
96
-6
122avg 120
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
no box
H23/10
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
107avg 120
A27/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
A30/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
20-20
17-19
22-32
20-21
17-21
19-24
12-18
32-20
26-26
22-19
18-16
23-19
17-22
17-11
18-23
23-26
21-16
25-26
19-26
24-15
23-16
24-23
25-23
25-26
21-22
24-18
20-30
28-26
23-23
24-24
19-21
13-20
21-19
21-15
22-20
14-28
19-8
24-19
12-17
173.2Avg total
87.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.286.2174.5+2.050%
Season at home (2)94.088.5182.5+5.550%
Season away (2)82.584.0166.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.186.1173.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)87.484.2171.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.786.3172.0-0.733%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.578.8157.3-0.345%
vs Weaker (7)88.974.1163.0+14.786%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Torino
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Partizan
#15
W
82-73
82
73
+9
108avg 108
H03/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
86avg 108
A09/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
101avg 108
A14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
60-93
60
93
-33
79avg 108
H17/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
85-93
85
93
-8
108avg 108
A21/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
110avg 108
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
91avg 108
H27/10
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
89avg 108
A30/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
19-21
22-15
20-26
17-24
26-19
19-15
20-15
15-19
16-18
21-19
25-21
9-18
16-19
23-19
13-19
24-28
23-19
14-19
11-18
14-21
19-23
14-24
13-25
20-23
13-22
25-28
27-20
18-24
14-9
22-20
23-28
18-26
12-17
23-21
11-23
21-17
16-28
17-17
12-25
159.6Avg total
73.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.092.0172.0-12.00%
Season at home (2)81.595.5177.0-14.00%
Season away (2)78.588.5167.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)73.885.8159.6-12.010%
Last 5 (5)70.488.2158.6-17.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.386.6162.9-10.323%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.878.1157.9+1.862%
vs Weaker (3)87.375.3162.7+12.0100%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -4.5-4.5
AvellinoTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/10
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/10
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/10
Champions League
84.2Avg total
43.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.078.1+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.237.681.8+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.374.5+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.184.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.682.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.039.778.7-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.937.576.4+1.460%-
vs Weaker (7)48.634.182.7+14.4100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Partizan
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A09/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H17/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/10
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Eurocup
75.5Avg total
34.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.140.577.6-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.837.674.4-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)37.443.580.9-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.141.475.5-7.30%-
Last 5 (5)33.042.075.0-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.443.078.4-7.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.238.977.2-0.746%-
vs Weaker (3)42.037.079.0+5.067%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.7
56.6%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.5
34.7%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.812.2
77.2%
72.3%12.2
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.3
44.2%
51.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.6
32.6%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
72.3%14.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWLWLWWLL
Trento
LLLLLLLLWL
#9
League position
#6
+1.7
Net rating
-17.7
104.2
Offensive rating
96.1
102.5
Defensive rating
113.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
46.0%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
19.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
32.6%
60.3%
Assist %
60.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 96.1Defence102.5 · 113.8Shooting55.0% · 46.0%3-point %34.7% · 32.6%Ball care19.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds21.9% · 25.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Avellino   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
4
Trento wins
DateGameScore
19/05/18Trento v Avellino84-68
17/05/18Trento v Avellino88-80
15/05/18Avellino v Trento80-59
13/05/18Avellino v Trento77-79
09/05/18Avellino v Trento78-74
13/01/18Trento v Avellino83-94
07/05/17Trento v Avellino77-75
08/01/17Avellino v Trento79-69 OT
20/02/16Avellino v Trento71-69
13/02/16Trento v Avellino68-80
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/18AMurcia69-72
27/10/18ABrescia77-74
23/10/18HAnwil Wloclawek105-102 OT
21/10/18HVirtus Bologna90-96
17/10/18ALudwigsburg96-77
14/10/18ACremona88-94
09/10/18ANizhny Novgorod100-93 OT
06/10/18HCantu98-81
19/05/18ATrento68-84
17/05/18ATrento80-88
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/18AValencia66-87
27/10/18HVenezia64-87
23/10/18HTurk Telekom77-81
21/10/18AVarese85-93
17/10/18HZenit Petersburg60-93
14/10/18ACantu72-84
09/10/18ALyon-Villeurbanne61-75
06/10/18HCremona99-104 OT
03/10/18HPartizan82-73
29/09/18ATorino72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.294.082.5
Allowed / game86.288.584.0
Point differential+2.0+5.5-1.5
Avg total174.5182.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.081.578.5
Allowed / game92.095.588.5
Point differential-12.0-14.0-10.0
Avg total172.0177.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia440100%89.267.5+21.8
2 Olimpia Milano440100%98.884.0+14.8
3 Sassari43175%83.577.8+5.8
4 Cantu43175%90.586.0+4.5
5 Cremona43175%90.287.2+3.0
6 Varese43175%78.075.5+2.5
7 Brindisi42250%88.585.0+3.5
8 Torino42250%85.282.8+2.5
9 Avellino42250%88.286.2+2.0
10 Virtus Bologna42250%83.287.5-4.2
11 Brescia41325%80.881.8-1.0
12 Reggiana41325%86.089.8-3.8
13 Trieste41325%79.585.5-6.0
14 Pesaro41325%75.089.8-14.8
15 Trento4040%80.092.0-12.0
16 Pistoia4040%75.894.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino32262824110
Trento1826101872
← all games of the day
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