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Valencia vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-66
17-21 28-16 17-17 25-12
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#21
Record1-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEurocupRound 5
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
99avg 106
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
84-62
84
62
+22
113avg 106
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
90avg 106
H05/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
72avg 106
A07/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
101avg 106
A10/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
108avg 106
A14/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H17/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
114avg 106
H21/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
93-104
93
104
-11
123avg 106
A24/10
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-67
86
67
+19
113avg 106
H28/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-26
16-23
23-18
12-17
24-18
28-21
20-6
26-28
15-17
5-21
24-22
20-13
22-18
20-21
19-16
10-17
21-21
24-11
17-18
23-19
14-21
24-28
20-10
20-21
23-19
21-14
15-17
23-22
12-21
25-20
25-23
25-19
14-30
26-25
28-30
17-13
22-19
16-17
31-18
158.1Avg total
80.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.076.0158.0+6.075%
Season at home (2)81.566.5148.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)82.585.5168.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.477.7158.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)84.881.2166.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.684.0159.6-8.420%
vs Similar (8)79.684.1163.8-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.774.4156.1+7.371%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
71-96
71
96
-25
90avg 108
H15/06
Lega A
Torino
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Partizan
#15
W
82-73
82
73
+9
108avg 108
H03/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
61-75
61
75
-14
86avg 108
A09/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
101avg 108
A14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
60-93
60
93
-33
79avg 108
H17/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
85-93
85
93
-8
108avg 108
A21/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
110avg 108
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
64-87
64
87
-23
91avg 108
H27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
13-23
23-18
15-30
11-19
19-21
22-15
20-26
17-24
26-19
19-15
20-15
15-19
16-18
21-19
25-21
9-18
16-19
23-19
13-19
24-28
23-19
14-19
11-18
14-21
19-23
14-24
13-25
20-23
13-22
25-28
27-20
18-24
14-9
22-20
23-28
18-26
12-17
23-21
11-23
161.0Avg total
74.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.080.5150.5-10.525%
Season at home (3)73.082.3155.3-9.333%
Season away (1)61.075.0136.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)74.386.7161.0-12.410%
Last 5 (5)71.687.6159.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.286.6163.8-9.425%
vs Similar (13)79.878.1157.9+1.862%
vs Weaker (4)92.271.2163.5+21.0100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
ValenciaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/09
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A24/10
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/10
ACB
77.5Avg total
37.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.677.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.776.8+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.477.7-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.877.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
vs Similar (8)39.041.580.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.336.474.7+1.953%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H15/06
Lega A
Torino
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Partizan
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H03/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H06/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A09/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/10
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H17/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A21/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H27/10
Lega A
75.4Avg total
33.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.877.3-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.436.874.2+0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)37.443.480.8-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)33.741.775.4-8.00%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.477.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.242.878.1-7.617%-
vs Similar (13)38.238.977.2-0.746%-
vs Weaker (4)43.233.877.0+9.575%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.7
56.7%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.812.0
81.1%
74.9%12.0
They take 54.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.8
46.0%
51.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.3
31.9%
36.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.615.6
72.2%
74.9%15.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWWWWLWL
Trento
LLLLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#21
+2.7
Net rating
-14.0
115.6
Offensive rating
98.1
113.0
Defensive rating
112.0
56.7%
Effective FG%
46.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.8%
3-point %
31.9%
61.9%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 98.1Defence113.0 · 112.0Shooting56.7% · 46.7%3-point %37.8% · 31.9%Ball care14.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Valencia   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valencia wins
0
Trento wins
No previous meetings.
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18HFuenlabrada86-67
24/10/18AZenit Petersburg93-104
21/10/18HBarcelona85-86
17/10/18HPartizan79-71
14/10/18AObradoiro CAB81-78
10/10/18ATurk Telekom72-67
07/10/18AMurcia81-68
05/10/18HReal Madrid70-88
02/10/18HLyon-Villeurbanne84-62
28/09/18AUnicaja73-86
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/18HVenezia64-87
23/10/18HTurk Telekom77-81
21/10/18AVarese85-93
17/10/18HZenit Petersburg60-93
14/10/18ACantu72-84
09/10/18ALyon-Villeurbanne61-75
06/10/18HCremona99-104 OT
03/10/18HPartizan82-73
29/09/18ATorino72-81
15/06/18HOlimpia Milano71-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.081.582.5
Allowed / game76.066.585.5
Point differential+6.0+15.0-3.0
Avg total158.0148.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game70.073.061.0
Allowed / game80.582.375.0
Point differential-10.5-9.3-14.0
Avg total150.5155.3136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban440100%85.572.5+13.0
2 Crvena zvezda54180%77.468.2+9.2
3 Unics Kazan43175%88.876.8+12.0
4 Zenit Petersburg43175%92.580.5+12.0
5 Alba Berlin43175%91.081.8+9.2
6 Unicaja43175%85.277.2+8.0
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne43175%77.571.5+6.0
8 Valencia43175%82.076.0+6.0
9 Monaco43175%76.071.0+5.0
10 Frankfurt43175%80.078.0+2.0
11 MoraBanc Andorra42250%91.288.8+2.5
12 Cedevita42250%75.575.2+0.2
13 Limoges42250%82.083.2-1.2
14 Rytas42250%75.076.8-1.8
15 Ulm52340%83.888.0-4.2
16 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
17 Partizan41325%77.883.0-5.2
18 Tofas41325%85.092.5-7.5
19 Turk Telekom41325%72.881.0-8.2
20 Trento41325%70.080.5-10.5
21 Mornar Bar41325%79.592.8-13.2
22 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
23 Torino4040%80.587.5-7.0
24 Gdynia4040%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1728172587
Trento2116171266
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