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Baskonia vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 77-56
29-20 16-12 13-9 19-15
Position#3
Record5-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#4
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.8
SpainACBRound 7
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Baskonia v Valencia
04 Apr 2027
BAS v VAL
upcoming
29 Dec 2026
BAS v VAL
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
BAS79
VAL108
07 Dec 2025
BAS89
VAL91
01 Dec 2024
BAS91
VAL116
26 Jan 2024
BAS62
VAL77
19 Nov 2023
BAS83
VAL74
03 Mar 2023
BAS114
VAL75
08 Jan 2023
BAS85
VAL79
28 May 2022
BAS82
VAL89
17 Apr 2022
BAS71
VAL78
02 Jun 2021
BAS76
VAL65
29 Dec 2020
BAS71
VAL70
20 Sep 2020
BAS76
VAL73
04 Nov 2018
BAS77
VAL56
07 Jan 2018
BAS78
VAL74
25 Oct 2017
BAS63
VAL80
01 Jun 2017
BAS90
VAL70
30 May 2017
BAS82
VAL83
05 Mar 2017
BAS71
VAL63
07 Feb 2016
BAS79
VAL73
29 Mar 2015
BAS94
VAL88
12 Dec 2014
BAS93
VAL89
08 Dec 2013
BAS78
VAL79
03 Feb 2013
BAS79
VAL75
23 Oct 2011
BAS72
VAL82
09 Mar 2011
BAS72
VAL65
24 Sep 2010
BAS66
VAL67
14 Feb 2010
BAS69
VAL67
16 Apr 2009
BAS90
VAL86
19 Feb 2009
BAS82
VAL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A03/10
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H07/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A12/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
110-60
110
60
+50
A14/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A19/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
93-49
93
49
+44
H21/10
ACB
Bayern
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A25/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
100-67
100
67
+33
A28/10
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H01/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
20-19
27-25
14-14
24-11
16-27
28-13
17-15
22-24
20-15
21-14
24-26
31-8
32-17
27-17
20-18
19-27
20-23
13-17
28-18
19-25
25-27
23-22
12-23
32-12
23-15
22-9
16-13
11-20
21-23
20-18
19-16
23-10
27-14
22-18
28-25
16-16
22-14
26-11
18-15
158.4Avg total
86.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.366.7161.0+27.783%
Season at home (3)92.363.7156.0+28.7100%
Season away (3)96.369.7166.0+26.767%
Last 10 (10)86.671.8158.4+14.860%
Last 5 (5)85.069.2154.2+15.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
vs Similar (13)83.283.8167.1-0.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.869.3160.1+21.593%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H05/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A07/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A10/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A14/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H17/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
H21/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A24/10
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H28/10
ACB
Trento
#21
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H30/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
24-18
28-21
20-6
26-28
15-17
5-21
24-22
20-13
22-18
20-21
19-16
10-17
21-21
24-11
17-18
23-19
14-21
24-28
20-10
20-21
23-19
21-14
15-17
23-22
12-21
25-20
25-23
25-19
14-30
26-25
28-30
17-13
22-19
16-17
31-18
17-21
28-16
17-17
25-12
157.5Avg total
81.8Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.378.8158.2+0.550%
Season at home (3)80.380.3160.7+0.033%
Season away (3)78.377.3155.7+1.067%
Last 10 (10)81.875.7157.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)86.078.8164.8+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.684.0159.6-8.420%
vs Similar (7)78.181.0159.1-2.957%
vs Weaker (18)82.073.9155.9+8.172%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
BaskoniaValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/10
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A12/10
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
63-25
63
25
+38
A14/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A19/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H21/10
ACB
Bayern
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/10
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#16
W
50-24
50
24
+26
A28/10
ACB
Darussafaka
#16
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H01/11
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
44.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.281.7+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.138.580.6+3.569%-
Last 30 away (17)44.538.082.5+6.559%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.181.2+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.279.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.047.091.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (13)40.242.082.2-1.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.033.879.8+12.286%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H02/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H05/10
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/10
ACB
Turk Telekom
#13
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A14/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H21/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A24/10
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/10
ACB
Trento
#21
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H30/10
Eurocup
77.8Avg total
38.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.176.7+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.437.777.1+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)37.638.676.3-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.077.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.280.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
vs Similar (7)37.740.378.0-2.629%-
vs Weaker (18)38.736.475.1+2.256%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.2
53.8%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.6
36.2%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.7%
74.6%14.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.817.7
57.5%
52.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.9
39.0%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.313.3
81.6%
74.6%13.3
They take 53.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWLWLLWWWL
Valencia
WWLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+18.7
Net rating
+8.5
114.2
Offensive rating
116.1
95.5
Defensive rating
107.6
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.9%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.2%
3-point %
39.0%
64.3%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 116.1Defence95.5 · 107.6Shooting54.0% · 57.9%3-point %36.2% · 39.0%Ball care15.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 23.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
12/04/18Valencia v Baskonia81-77
08/03/18Valencia v Baskonia71-81
07/01/18Baskonia v Valencia78-74
25/10/17Baskonia v Valencia63-80
05/06/17Valencia v Baskonia85-77
03/06/17Valencia v Baskonia75-69
01/06/17Baskonia v Valencia90-70
30/05/17Baskonia v Valencia82-83
05/03/17Baskonia v Valencia71-63
13/11/16Valencia v Baskonia99-91
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/18HDarussafaka82-56
28/10/18AEstudiantes100-67
25/10/18ABayern71-77
21/10/18HMurcia93-49
19/10/18AReal Madrid79-97
17/10/18HOlympiacos80-85
14/10/18AFuenlabrada110-60
12/10/18AZalgiris Kaunas87-79
07/10/18HGipuzkoa85-66
03/10/18ASan Pablo Burgos79-82
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/18HTrento87-66
28/10/18HFuenlabrada86-67
24/10/18AZenit Petersburg93-104
21/10/18HBarcelona85-86
17/10/18HPartizan79-71
14/10/18AObradoiro CAB81-78
10/10/18ATurk Telekom72-67
07/10/18AMurcia81-68
05/10/18HReal Madrid70-88
02/10/18HLyon-Villeurbanne84-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game94.392.396.3
Allowed / game66.763.769.7
Point differential+27.7+28.7+26.7
Avg total161.0156.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game79.380.378.3
Allowed / game78.880.377.3
Point differential+0.5+0.0+1.0
Avg total158.2160.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid76186%91.178.7+12.4
2 Barcelona76186%86.475.7+10.7
3 Baskonia65183%94.366.7+27.7
4 Unicaja75271%89.082.0+7.0
5 Tenerife74357%82.177.3+4.9
6 Joventut Badalona74357%77.175.6+1.6
7 Manresa74357%80.380.4-0.1
8 Valencia63350%79.378.8+0.5
9 San Pablo Burgos73443%80.182.9-2.7
10 MoraBanc Andorra73443%80.185.3-5.1
11 Obradoiro CAB73443%75.981.3-5.4
12 Fuenlabrada73443%73.782.3-8.6
13 Tecnyconta Zaragoza73443%78.187.7-9.6
14 Murcia62433%70.077.0-7.0
15 Estudiantes62433%75.082.7-7.7
16 Gran Canaria72529%84.384.6-0.3
17 Breogan72529%73.480.7-7.3
18 Gipuzkoa71614%70.379.3-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2916131977
Valencia201291556
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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