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Treviglio vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-73
19-21 26-13 17-25 17-14
Position#10
Record14-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#5
Record18-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game72.3
ItalySerie A2Round 24
Other2021-22
Meetings · Treviglio v Pistoia
07 May 2023
TREV104
PIS65
27 Mar 2022
TREV79
PIS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#9
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H23/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A30/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H06/02
Serie A2
Capo d'Orlando
#25
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A13/02
Serie A2
Mantova
#14
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H17/02
Serie A2
Biella
#20
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H20/02
Serie A2
Bakery Piacenza
#22
W
79-63
79
63
+16
A27/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#17
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H06/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#16
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A16/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#28
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A20/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
21-24
27-22
27-23
12-21
18-24
14-13
15-21
20-17
21-23
11-20
16-13
22-16
15-18
14-9
15-22
18-17
25-22
22-19
16-20
20-21
16-16
16-13
19-23
27-17
22-9
19-14
11-23
9-11
18-25
21-14
19-19
17-14
21-20
14-26
18-18
19-21
24-14
30-24
18-19
149.2Avg total
75.1Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.674.9154.4+4.761%
Season at home (11)81.872.8154.6+9.073%
Season away (12)77.576.8154.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)75.174.1149.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)75.672.2147.8+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.077.5146.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.479.0156.4-1.646%
vs Weaker (15)80.170.1150.2+9.967%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakery Piacenza
#22
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H22/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#16
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A30/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#9
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A05/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H13/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#17
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H16/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A19/02
Serie A2
Biella
#20
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H02/03
Serie A2
Capo d'Orlando
#25
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A16/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H20/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
21-26
18-15
21-22
21-22
29-22
8-13
15-12
18-27
20-15
14-10
12-11
17-17
16-18
18-14
14-21
12-15
23-20
18-16
25-20
17-15
16-19
21-17
19-18
24-19
23-22
24-19
18-24
19-16
19-17
18-20
24-24
19-19
13-17
13-17
14-22
17-25
21-14
17-23
15-7
146.3Avg total
74.0Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.672.3149.9+5.378%
Season at home (12)79.473.0152.4+6.475%
Season away (11)75.671.5147.2+4.182%
Last 10 (10)74.072.3146.3+1.780%
Last 5 (5)74.274.8149.0-0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.083.0157.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.874.3153.2+4.575%
vs Weaker (13)80.873.4154.2+7.492%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
TreviglioPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A30/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H06/02
Serie A2
Capo d'Orlando
#25
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/02
Serie A2
Mantova
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/02
Serie A2
Biella
#20
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/02
Serie A2
Bakery Piacenza
#22
W
49-26
49
26
+23
A27/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#17
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H06/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#28
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/03
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
38.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.278.0+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.578.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.977.6+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)38.936.675.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.633.672.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.544.082.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.238.576.7-0.462%-
vs Weaker (15)43.435.178.5+8.373%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakery Piacenza
#22
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H22/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#16
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A30/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H13/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#17
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/02
Serie A2
Biella
#20
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H02/03
Serie A2
Capo d'Orlando
#25
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A06/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A16/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/03
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
39.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.277.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.077.4+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.376.8+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.877.2+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.674.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.441.877.2-6.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.037.276.2+1.842%-
vs Weaker (13)42.535.377.8+7.285%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviglio wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
12/12/21Pistoia v Treviglio88-74
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22AOrzinuovi91-78
16/03/22ATrapani70-78
06/03/22HMonferrato67-69
27/02/22ABakery Piacenza79-63
20/02/22HBiella71-73
17/02/22HMantova81-78
13/02/22ACapo d'Orlando66-65
06/02/22HUrania Milano68-73
30/01/22AUdine59-79
23/01/22HAssigeco Piacenza99-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/22HBasket Torino70-69
16/03/22ACantu59-75
06/03/22ACapo d'Orlando80-77
02/03/22HBiella89-84
19/02/22AUrania Milano73-69
16/02/22HMonferrato78-71
13/02/22HUdine65-70
05/02/22AAssigeco Piacenza64-63
30/01/22ATrapani73-69
22/01/22HBakery Piacenza89-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeWLWLL73%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game79.681.877.5
Allowed / game74.972.876.8
Point differential+4.7+9.0+0.8
Avg total154.4154.6154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%75%82%
Points / game77.679.475.6
Allowed / game72.373.071.5
Point differential+5.3+6.4+4.1
Avg total149.9152.4147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2219386%79.466.9+12.5
2 Verona2218482%75.069.1+5.9
3 Scafati2117481%82.870.2+12.5
4 Cantu2117481%82.774.9+7.8
5 Pistoia2318578%77.672.3+5.3
6 Ravenna2417771%77.372.3+5.0
7 Ferrara2415962%80.877.5+3.3
8 Treviglio2314961%79.674.9+4.7
9 Baltur Cento2314961%69.767.9+1.7
10 Basket Torino24141058%80.977.0+3.9
11 Chiusi24141058%76.175.1+1.0
12 Monferrato23131057%73.975.4-1.5
13 Forli23121152%74.975.0-0.1
14 Assigeco Piacenza23111248%77.476.0+1.3
15 San Severo23111248%77.377.5-0.1
16 Latina24111346%80.479.8+0.7
17 Trapani24111346%72.478.0-5.5
18 Mantova22101245%77.177.6-0.5
19 Eurobasket Roma22101245%75.076.1-1.2
20 Urania Milano2291341%75.177.7-2.6
21 Bakery Piacenza2381535%76.681.7-5.1
22 Chieti Basket2481633%71.077.2-6.2
23 Capo d'Orlando2371630%77.781.4-3.7
24 Biella2371630%71.777.5-5.9
25 Pallacanestro Nardo2471729%76.581.1-4.6
26 Stella Azzurra2461825%69.572.9-3.4
27 Fabriano2432112%72.885.2-12.5
28 Orzinuovi221215%71.581.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio1926171779
Pistoia2113251473
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