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Treviglio vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 104-65
40-18 21-22 20-11 23-14
Position#6
Record21-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#5
Record22-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game67.1
ItalySerie A2Round 6
Other2022-23
Meetings · Treviglio v Pistoia
07 May 2023
TREV104
PIS65
27 Mar 2022
TREV79
PIS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A19/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H26/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A05/03
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
A19/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
85-48
85
48
+37
H26/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A02/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H08/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A16/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H23/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A30/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
11-15
18-15
18-22
22-22
25-22
20-16
19-22
24-23
12-18
17-15
19-25
22-21
19-19
15-10
16-22
18-6
27-24
21-8
19-10
23-16
27-21
24-20
14-20
17-22
20-19
18-25
24-17
14-12
18-15
25-14
18-20
21-18
20-20
21-25
23-16
17-21
19-23
11-19
14-16
154.1Avg total
78.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.472.4150.9+6.072%
Season at home (14)80.972.1153.0+8.986%
Season away (15)76.172.7148.9+3.460%
Last 10 (10)78.875.3154.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.376.8152.1-1.560%
vs Weaker (20)79.371.0150.3+8.375%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H02/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A23/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H30/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-21
17-16
11-18
19-20
22-6
22-15
13-18
16-18
14-22
23-19
19-13
16-14
16-10
12-19
14-25
17-26
29-28
23-13
8-7
19-23
20-11
12-16
9-15
18-19
21-25
19-21
22-20
12-14
15-18
14-25
20-18
19-15
20-28
12-17
19-8
21-16
16-21
19-15
17-16
142.2Avg total
70.3Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.367.1142.4+8.271%
Season at home (16)74.263.6137.8+10.681%
Season away (15)76.570.9147.4+5.760%
Last 10 (10)70.371.9142.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)68.872.2141.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.470.8139.2-2.333%
vs Weaker (21)77.065.3142.4+11.786%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
TreviglioPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A19/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H26/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/03
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/03
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#28
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H26/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H08/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A16/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H23/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A30/04
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
39.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.575.7+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.678.0+4.979%-
Last 30 away (16)37.236.473.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.177.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.437.875.2-0.460%-
vs Weaker (20)40.135.875.9+4.365%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H16/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A23/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/04
Serie A2
74.3Avg total
36.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.834.572.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.431.569.9+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)37.137.974.9-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.974.3-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.835.970.7-1.133%-
vs Weaker (21)39.133.973.0+5.267%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.9%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Treviglio wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Pistoia v Treviglio61-75
27/03/22Treviglio v Pistoia79-73
12/12/21Pistoia v Treviglio88-74
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23AForli61-79
23/04/23HCento85-79
16/04/23APistoia75-61
08/04/23HForli79-83
02/04/23ACento88-77
26/03/23HNPC Rieti85-48
19/03/23ACremona89-87 OT
05/03/23AMonferrato72-81
26/02/23HAgrigento86-82
19/02/23AAssigeco Piacenza68-76
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HCremona73-68
23/04/23ACantu70-68
16/04/23HTreviglio61-75
08/04/23ACremona80-85
02/04/23HCantu60-65
26/03/23ARimini77-74
22/03/23HCento58-68
19/03/23HFortitudo Bologna86-78 OT
05/03/23AChieti Basket76-59
19/02/23AChiusi62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL72%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %72%86%60%
Points / game78.480.976.1
Allowed / game72.472.172.7
Point differential+6.0+8.9+3.4
Avg total150.9153.0148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)71% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW71%
HomeWLLLW81%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %71%81%60%
Points / game75.374.276.5
Allowed / game67.163.670.9
Point differential+8.2+10.6+5.7
Avg total142.4137.8147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli3125681%76.469.7+6.7
3 Cantu2923679%80.169.9+10.2
4 Cremona2921872%78.771.0+7.7
5 Treviglio2921872%78.472.4+6.0
6 Basket Torino2921872%83.380.2+3.1
7 Pistoia3122971%75.367.1+8.2
8 Udine31191261%77.375.2+2.1
9 Agrigento30171357%81.578.9+2.6
10 Cento27151256%77.373.9+3.4
11 Urania Milano29161355%78.780.9-2.3
12 Cividale31151648%72.572.2+0.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%79.977.9+2.0
14 Pallacanestro Nardo32151747%82.383.3-1.0
15 Rimini32151747%75.276.2-1.0
16 Fortitudo Bologna30131743%77.276.5+0.7
17 Chiusi30121840%72.974.4-1.5
18 Latina30121840%74.777.1-2.4
19 Mantova30121840%75.277.8-2.5
20 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
21 San Severo31121939%71.277.4-6.2
22 Trapani29111838%69.276.0-6.8
23 Chieti Basket31112035%72.575.5-3.0
24 Monferrato29101934%76.178.6-2.5
25 Stella Azzurra29101934%76.980.8-3.9
26 Ravenna31102132%73.979.2-5.4
27 JuVi Cremona2992031%74.479.1-4.6
28 NPC Rieti2982128%67.774.2-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio40212023104
Pistoia1822111465
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