PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trier vs Hamburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game90.8
GermanyBBLRound 16· Arena Trier
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trier v Hamburg
09 Jan 2027
TRI v HAM
upcoming
18 Mar 2026
TRI101
HAM92
05 Jan 2019
TRI78
HAM63
17 Feb 2018
TRI84
HAM83
10 Dec 2016
TRI66
HAM55
19 Mar 2016
TRI91
HAM72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 85
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 85
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 85
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 85
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
122-57
122
57
+65
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
18-14
23-33
24-20
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
31-15
30-14
33-11
28-17
171.8Avg total
97.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.486.1184.6+12.386%
Season at home (4)97.879.8177.5+18.0100%
Season away (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)97.874.0171.8+23.8100%
Last 5 (5)102.072.6174.6+29.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (6)91.789.2180.8+2.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.278.5177.7+20.692%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
71-103
71
103
-32
33avg 76
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 76
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
76avg 76
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 76
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
71avg 76
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
63avg 76
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
77-96
77
96
-19
60avg 76
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 76
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-27
20-28
17-31
21-17
15-25
19-20
20-29
18-22
22-22
20-21
15-17
26-23
19-8
27-15
12-28
16-24
13-21
19-25
19-21
33-24
24-27
19-15
19-26
16-21
23-27
18-15
12-29
24-25
24-25
25-29
14-27
26-28
32-18
21-28
22-22
16-19
24-17
33-23
24-16
10-28
174.1Avg total
82.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.390.8174.1-7.433%
Season at home (4)89.593.5183.0-4.050%
Season away (5)78.488.6167.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)82.192.0174.1-9.930%
Last 5 (5)85.293.0178.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.792.0174.7-9.328%
vs Similar (8)88.182.4170.5+5.850%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.550%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
TrierHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
49.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.589.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)45.945.491.3+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)49.734.384.0+15.4100%-
Last 5 (5)49.831.281.0+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (6)44.843.588.3+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)51.138.289.2+12.992%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A10/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/09
BBL
Chemnitz
#16
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/09
BBL
Oldenburg
#12
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A27/09
BBL
Rostock
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A25/10
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H01/11
BBL
Jena
#18
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A09/11
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H14/11
BBL
86.6Avg total
43.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.488.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.846.590.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)42.044.386.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.686.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.893.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.645.686.1-5.028%-
vs Similar (8)46.043.189.1+2.950%-
vs Weaker (4)47.249.096.2-1.850%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.1
50.3%
55.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.4%14.3
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
Hamburg
WWLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#15
+17.6
Net rating
-16.1
106.0
Offensive rating
86.6
88.4
Defensive rating
102.7
58.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.4%
3-point %
28.2%
66.4%
Assist %
55.6%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 86.6Defence88.4 · 102.7Shooting58.9% · 46.5%3-point %37.4% · 28.2%Ball care15.1% · 14.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ Trier   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Trier wins
3
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
22/03/26Hamburg v Trier90-72
18/03/26Trier v Hamburg101-92
05/01/19Trier v Hamburg78-63
21/11/18Hamburg v Trier108-62
17/02/18Trier v Hamburg84-83
17/12/17Hamburg v Trier70-72
17/02/17Hamburg v Trier82-85
10/12/16Trier v Hamburg66-55
19/03/16Trier v Hamburg91-72
19/12/15Hamburg v Trier70-63
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABatumi122-57
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59
04/10/26ALudwigsburg94-80
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWurzburg91-84
09/11/26AJena91-87
01/11/26HSyntainics MBC89-109
25/10/26ABayern77-96
11/10/26AFrankfurt78-89
03/10/26HRostock84-91
27/09/26AOldenburg74-75
25/09/26HChemnitz94-90 OT
19/09/26ABonn72-96
10/05/26ARostock71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game98.497.899.3
Allowed / game86.179.894.7
Point differential+12.3+18.0+4.7
Avg total184.6177.5194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hamburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game83.389.578.4
Allowed / game90.893.588.6
Point differential-7.4-4.0-10.2
Avg total174.1183.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.