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Trier vs Rostock Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game82.4
GermanyBBLRound 12· Arena Trier
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trier v Rostock
20 Dec 2026
TRI v ROS
upcoming
14 May 2026
TRI76
ROS69
28 Sep 2025
TRI88
ROS78
14 Jan 2022
TRI80
ROS88
01 Apr 2021
TRI79
ROS84
09 Nov 2019
TRI68
ROS73
09 Mar 2019
TRI82
ROS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 84
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 84
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 84
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 84
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 84
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 84
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
122-57
122
57
+65
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
18-14
23-33
24-20
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
31-15
30-14
33-11
28-17
171.8Avg total
97.8Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.486.1184.6+12.386%
Season at home (4)97.879.8177.5+18.0100%
Season away (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)97.874.0171.8+23.8100%
Last 5 (5)102.072.6174.6+29.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (6)91.789.2180.8+2.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)99.278.5177.7+20.692%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 75
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
W
101-62
101
62
+39
99avg 75
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
79-110
79
110
-31
70avg 75
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
92avg 75
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
L
83-86
83
86
-3
66avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
69-67
69
67
+2
68avg 75
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
86-59
86
59
+27
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-88
71
88
-17
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-15
22-25
23-20
19-21
21-14
35-6
26-21
18-19
16-32
18-20
18-11
20-29
17-29
14-25
28-27
23-21
20-27
29-17
16-23
24-23
20-16
26-18
13-29
24-15
14-25
12-13
19-14
27-14
24-13
23-21
12-11
29-21
29-24
15-21
24-21
21-24
20-26
19-20
11-18
167.1Avg total
84.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.882.4172.1+7.462%
Season at home (4)92.277.0169.2+15.2100%
Season away (4)87.287.8175.0-0.525%
Last 10 (10)84.183.0167.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.277.4158.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.787.7162.4-13.014%
vs Similar (9)81.279.6160.8+1.744%
vs Weaker (14)88.980.6169.5+8.257%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +8.9+8.9Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
TrierRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#20
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#44
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#29
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
Batumi
#50
W
61-29
61
29
+32
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.0Avg total
49.7Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.589.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)45.945.491.3+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)49.734.384.0+15.4100%-
Last 5 (5)49.831.281.0+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (6)44.843.588.3+1.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)51.138.289.2+12.992%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#20
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H10/10
BBL
Le Mans
#12
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A14/10
Eurocup
Aris
#4
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H20/10
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A24/10
BBL
Tortona
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/11
BBL
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A04/11
Eurocup
Ulm
#11
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H07/11
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H10/11
Eurocup
86.2Avg total
42.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.483.6+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.838.883.6+6.169%-
Last 30 away (17)42.041.683.6+0.441%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.486.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.440.286.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.045.784.7-6.729%-
vs Similar (9)43.140.783.8+2.444%-
vs Weaker (14)45.437.683.0+7.971%-
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.5
32.7%
33.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
73.4%14.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
Rostock
LWWWLLLLWW
#2
League position
#6
+17.6
Net rating
-2.9
106.0
Offensive rating
91.4
88.4
Defensive rating
94.3
58.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.4%
3-point %
32.7%
66.4%
Assist %
58.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 91.4Defence88.4 · 94.3Shooting58.9% · 49.7%3-point %37.4% · 32.7%Ball care15.1% · 16.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Trier   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trier wins
6
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
14/05/26Trier v Rostock76-69
06/03/26Rostock v Trier118-103
28/09/25Trier v Rostock88-78
14/01/22Trier v Rostock80-88
12/12/21Rostock v Trier91-81
01/04/21Trier v Rostock79-84
16/12/20Rostock v Trier93-82
09/11/19Trier v Rostock68-73
09/03/19Trier v Rostock82-74
21/09/18Rostock v Trier79-85
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABatumi122-57
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59
04/10/26ALudwigsburg94-80
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HCedevita Olimpija71-88
07/11/26HUlm97-87
04/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos86-59
01/11/26HBayern69-67
28/10/26ATortona83-86
24/10/26ASyntainics MBC98-103 OT
20/10/26HAris79-110
14/10/26ALe Mans70-82
10/10/26HWurzburg101-62
06/10/26HRigas Zelli87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game98.497.899.3
Allowed / game86.179.894.7
Point differential+12.3+18.0+4.7
Avg total184.6177.5194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.892.287.2
Allowed / game82.477.087.8
Point differential+7.4+15.2-0.5
Avg total172.1169.2175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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