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Trieste vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 77-90
16-24 21-17 12-27 28-22
Position#26
Record2-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#15
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· PalaTrieste
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 80
H26/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
107-100
107
100
+7
107avg 80
A01/11
Lega A
Igokea
#39
W
115-90
115
90
+25
107avg 80
H04/11
Champions League
Brescia
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
60avg 80
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 80
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
94-113
94
113
-19
85avg 80
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 80
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 80
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 80
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
92-82 OT
92
82
+10
86avg 80
H13/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
21-19
24-24
21-12
25-30
33-24
34-23
15-23
23-16
33-28
21-18
38-28
26-32
18-21
16-18
15-27
15-29
26-14
23-18
27-20
22-27
24-23
23-35
25-28
18-18
21-21
18-22
23-18
30-21
14-20
26-24
16-17
17-30
20-14
21-25
22-16
16-24
21-19
20-19
18-13
180.7Avg total
91.2Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.885.8170.6-1.040%
Season at home (2)102.590.5193.0+12.050%
Season away (3)73.082.7155.7-9.733%
Last 10 (10)91.289.5180.7+1.770%
Last 5 (5)86.488.2174.6-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)82.190.3172.4-8.245%
vs Similar (11)86.792.0178.7-5.336%
vs Weaker (8)93.881.1174.9+12.675%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
60-61
60
61
-1
55avg 73
A18/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
68avg 73
A21/10
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
L
51-85
51
85
-34
43avg 73
A25/10
BBL
Jena
#16
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
87avg 73
H31/10
BBL
Galatasaray
#8
L
74-99
74
99
-25
59avg 73
H04/11
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 73
H09/11
BBL
Igokea
#39
W
85-56
85
56
+29
84avg 73
A19/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
77avg 73
A22/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
57avg 73
H05/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
86-67
86
67
+19
77avg 73
A12/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-25
8-11
18-12
16-24
24-20
24-25
19-20
16-25
18-19
6-25
11-16
21-22
17-19
22-14
14-19
15-23
25-26
13-27
21-23
11-15
19-27
15-19
18-14
25-17
21-12
18-9
21-18
22-23
23-21
13-22
22-16
23-23
16-21
22-7
21-20
27-13
15-19
23-10
21-25
153.8Avg total
76.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.075.0153.0+3.060%
Season at home (3)74.076.7150.7-2.767%
Season away (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
Last 10 (10)76.177.7153.8-1.640%
Last 5 (5)79.270.2149.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.387.8174.2-1.550%
vs Similar (15)80.581.7162.3-1.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.874.5154.2+5.275%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
TriesteWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H26/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A01/11
Lega A
Igokea
#39
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/11
Champions League
Brescia
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/12
Lega A
90.9Avg total
44.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.287.3-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.441.885.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.846.489.1-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)44.946.090.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.484.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.846.386.1-6.59%-
vs Similar (11)44.146.390.4-2.245%-
vs Weaker (8)46.038.684.6+7.475%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#3
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/10
German Cup
Galatasaray
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A21/10
Champions League
Heidelberg
#18
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/10
BBL
Jena
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/10
BBL
Galatasaray
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/11
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H09/11
BBL
Igokea
#39
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A19/11
Champions League
Frankfurt
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A22/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/12
BBL
79.5Avg total
38.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.181.9-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.642.884.4-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.039.779.7+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.779.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.046.089.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (15)40.741.281.9-0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.037.877.8+2.262%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.9
52.6%
52.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.7
38.4%
33.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.219.3
79.8%
74.1%19.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.3
52.0%
52.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.4
31.4%
33.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
74.1%16.3
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWWLWLWWW
Wurzburg
WWLWLLWLLL
#26
League position
#15
+1.9
Net rating
-2.8
115.2
Offensive rating
103.3
113.3
Defensive rating
106.0
55.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.4%
3-point %
31.4%
59.8%
Assist %
53.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 103.3Defence113.3 · 106.0Shooting55.0% · 50.0%3-point %38.4% · 31.4%Ball care17.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
1
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
07/10/25Wurzburg v Trieste78-63
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HReggiana92-82 OT
06/12/25ASassari80-85
23/11/25HOlimpia Milano86-82
18/11/25AGalatasaray80-79
15/11/25ACremona94-113
12/11/25HTortona91-81
09/11/25ABrescia75-98
04/11/25HIgokea115-90
01/11/25ATreviso107-100
26/10/25HUdine92-85
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25AChemnitz86-67
05/12/25HOldenburg82-71
22/11/25AFrankfurt80-82
19/11/25AIgokea85-56
09/11/25HRostock63-75
04/11/25HGalatasaray74-99
31/10/25HJena97-92 OT
25/10/25AHeidelberg51-85
21/10/25AGalatasaray83-89
18/10/25AOldenburg60-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Champions League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game84.8102.573.0
Allowed / game85.890.582.7
Point differential-1.0+12.0-9.7
Avg total170.6193.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
Champions League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game78.074.084.0
Allowed / game75.076.772.5
Point differential+3.0-2.7+11.5
Avg total153.0150.7156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja550100%92.070.2+21.8
2 Gran Canaria660100%86.370.8+15.5
3 Joventut Badalona550100%88.473.6+14.8
4 Chalon/Saone98189%93.684.4+9.1
5 Alba Berlin65183%91.580.5+11.0
6 AEK Athens65183%82.371.8+10.5
7 Galatasaray54180%90.481.8+8.6
8 Tenerife64267%86.579.0+7.5
9 Murcia32167%89.783.7+6.0
10 Rytas64267%94.089.0+5.0
11 Levice96367%81.378.1+3.2
12 Bakken Bears32167%88.086.0+2.0
13 Antwerp Giants32167%72.775.3-2.7
14 Cholet53260%90.487.0+3.4
15 Wurzburg53260%78.075.0+3.0
16 Mersin SK53260%81.685.6-4.0
17 Reggiana21150%88.584.0+4.5
18 Den Bosch21150%78.575.0+3.5
19 Juventus21150%87.085.0+2.0
20 Szolnoki Olaj63350%75.273.2+2.0
21 Spartak Subotica63350%78.277.0+1.2
22 Trapani63350%86.886.0+0.8
23 Heidelberg63350%83.784.5-0.8
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%81.082.5-1.5
25 Tofas63350%82.585.2-2.7
26 PAOK21150%76.079.5-3.5
27 Promitheas63350%80.284.5-4.3
28 FC Porto21150%81.089.5-8.5
29 Hapoel Holon52340%87.887.6+0.2
30 Trieste52340%84.885.8-1.0
31 AS Karditsas52340%75.480.8-5.4
32 Bursaspor83538%76.081.9-5.9
33 Le Mans62433%80.776.7+4.0
34 Legia62433%78.077.8+0.2
35 Bnei Herzliya62433%84.890.5-5.7
36 Igokea51420%77.488.0-10.6
37 Nymburk61517%85.391.0-5.7
38 Sabah Baku61517%81.090.7-9.7
39 VEF Riga61517%68.580.0-11.5
40 Benfica61517%71.592.2-20.7
41 Kutaisi1010%81.084.0-3.0
42 Szombathely1010%79.083.0-4.0
43 Basketball Braunschweig1010%74.081.0-7.0
44 CSM Oradea1010%71.079.0-8.0
45 Rilski Sportist1010%84.093.0-9.0
46 Pelister1010%87.099.0-12.0
47 Studentski Centar1010%67.079.0-12.0
48 Trepca1010%68.080.0-12.0
49 Oostende5050%82.094.4-12.4
50 Karhu Basket1010%89.0103.0-14.0
51 Lublin1010%84.0100.0-16.0
52 AEK Larnaca1010%69.090.0-21.0
53 Fribourg Olympic1010%80.0107.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 53 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1621122877
Wurzburg2417272290
← all games of the day
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