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Troy vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 66-62
23-26 43-36
Position#98
Record8-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game70.9
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#14
Record11-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Troy v Appalachian State
31 Jan 2026
TROY44
APPA66
06 Jan 2024
TROY66
APPA62
08 Jan 2022
TROY68
APPA53
30 Jan 2021
TROY65
APPA59
29 Jan 2021
TROY71
APPA62
21 Dec 2019
TROY65
APPA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-33
36-45
36-34
44-33
34-40
42-37
41-31
42-29
–
–
48-37
62-26
22-31
31-43
48-41
40-40
33-33
39-32
55-34
31-39
153.4Avg total
80.4Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.670.9153.5+11.857%
Season at home (8)92.065.6157.6+26.488%
Season away (6)70.277.8148.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)80.473.0153.4+7.460%
Last 5 (5)81.871.2153.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)63.571.6135.1-8.125%
vs Weaker (18)80.167.7147.8+12.478%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Central Penn
#707
W
111-35
111
35
+76
H06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H16/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H22/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H30/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
34-29
44-24
34-34
42-22
30-39
33-31
36-33
59-19
52-16
45-38
48-43
29-31
51-28
23-44
40-32
39-32
28-23
44-43
38-39
142.1Avg total
79.1Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.564.8144.3+14.779%
Season at home (8)78.457.1135.5+21.288%
Season away (6)81.075.0156.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)79.163.0142.1+16.190%
Last 5 (5)78.871.0149.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.063.7125.7-1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (7)65.763.9129.6+1.943%
vs Weaker (19)74.366.3140.6+8.174%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +7.5+7.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +7.9+7.92nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +7.5+7.5
TroyAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#93
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H05/01
NCAA
74.8Avg total
39.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.932.967.7+2.048%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.231.171.3+9.175%-
Last 30 away (13)28.335.063.3-6.715%-
Last 10 (9)39.934.974.8+5.067%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.276.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)24.335.059.3-10.70%-
vs Weaker (18)38.732.170.7+6.667%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H29/11
NCAA
Auburn
#22
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Central Penn
#707
W
59-19
59
19
+40
H06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H16/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#83
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H22/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H30/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/01
NCAA
70.3Avg total
39.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.130.765.9+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.728.363.0+6.469%-
Last 30 away (14)35.633.569.1+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)39.131.270.3+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.673.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.328.355.7-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)30.931.662.4-0.743%-
vs Weaker (19)36.731.468.1+5.379%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Troy wins
4
Appalachian State wins
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HOld Dominion86-73
30/12/23ACoastal Carolina72-65
22/12/23HEastern Kentucky88-81
20/12/23AOle Miss53-74
13/12/23HSouthern-New O.110-63
09/12/23ADayton70-82
02/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-60
28/11/23AEastern Kentucky76-77
24/11/23HGrambling St.80-67
21/11/23HSam Houston St.86-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24ASouth Alabama91-84 OT
30/12/23HLouisiana Monroe67-55
22/12/23HUNC Asheville63-76
16/12/23HGardner Webb80-59
14/12/23AQueens Royals93-81
06/12/23HCentral Penn111-35
03/12/23HAuburn69-64
29/11/23HEast Tennessee St72-61
26/11/23HAustin Peay78-58
22/11/23AMurray State67-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW57%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%88%17%
Points / game82.692.070.2
Allowed / game70.965.677.8
Point differential+11.8+26.4-7.7
Avg total153.5157.6148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%12%17%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game79.578.481.0
Allowed / game64.857.175.0
Point differential+14.7+21.2+6.0
Avg total144.3135.5156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1514193%88.871.9+16.9
2 Appalachian State1411379%79.564.8+14.7
3 Troy148657%82.670.9+11.8
4 Southern Miss158753%71.171.5-0.3
5 South Alabama158753%74.375.7-1.4
6 Georgia State147750%80.174.7+5.4
7 Louisiana Lafayette147750%75.971.3+4.6
8 Marshall157847%75.975.9-0.1
9 Texas State146843%69.169.9-0.7
10 Arkansas State156940%78.778.9-0.3
11 Coastal Carolina134931%78.777.6+1.1
12 Louisiana Monroe134931%68.672.6-4.0
13 Old Dominion1541127%70.877.9-7.1
14 Georgia Southern1521313%68.979.6-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy234366
Appalachian State263662
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