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Troy vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 44-66
24-36 20-30
Position#84
Record15-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#119
Record14-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Troy v Appalachian State
31 Jan 2026
TROY44
APPA66
06 Jan 2024
TROY66
APPA62
08 Jan 2022
TROY68
APPA53
30 Jan 2021
TROY65
APPA59
29 Jan 2021
TROY71
APPA62
21 Dec 2019
TROY65
APPA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
34-31
45-33
55-47
30-23
29-26
32-45
42-41
53-35
37-35
42-26
49-39
44-35
55-39
35-35
29-29
47-38
36-40
28-31
36-42
152.8Avg total
81.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.576.1161.6+9.468%
Season at home (10)86.267.5153.7+18.770%
Season away (12)84.983.3168.2+1.667%
Last 10 (10)81.371.5152.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)84.073.4157.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.477.5157.9+2.869%
vs Weaker (16)82.272.0154.2+10.269%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A10/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
35-39
37-19
44-54
32-44
49-44
23-25
29-25
32-26
30-41
38-27
42-38
17-36
56-39
31-30
41-28
28-20
31-23
29-27
41-36
134.5Avg total
69.3Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.165.4137.5+6.761%
Season at home (12)76.661.2137.8+15.475%
Season away (11)67.270.1137.3-2.945%
Last 10 (10)69.365.2134.5+4.160%
Last 5 (5)70.860.8131.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (5)63.476.4139.8-13.00%
vs Weaker (24)70.662.5133.1+8.062%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +3.3+3.32nd half: +3.1+3.1
TroyAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/12
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
39.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.769.7+6.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.628.968.4+10.779%-
Last 30 away (16)36.534.270.8+2.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.233.372.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.072.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.933.669.5+2.354%-
vs Weaker (16)38.430.568.9+7.956%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#332
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
37-19
37
19
+18
A31/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
17-36
17
36
-19
H17/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/01
NCAA
58.0Avg total
29.5Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.329.862.1+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.529.363.9+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)30.030.360.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)29.528.558.0+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)28.628.056.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)28.834.062.8-5.240%-
vs Weaker (24)32.928.861.7+4.158%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Troy wins
3
Appalachian State wins
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HJames Madison64-73
24/01/26AGeorgia Southern83-78
22/01/26AOld Dominion83-77 OT
17/01/26HArkansas State99-74
15/01/26HSouthern Miss91-65
10/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette90-70
08/01/26AArkansas State74-86
03/01/26HSouth Alabama59-49
31/12/25HTexas State100-80
20/12/25HMarshall70-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26ASouthern Miss70-63
23/01/26HLouisiana Monroe59-43
22/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette72-58
17/01/26HOld Dominion73-75
15/01/26HJames Madison80-65
10/01/26ACoastal Carolina62-67
09/01/26AGeorgia State52-50
03/01/26AMarshall81-88
31/12/25AOld Dominion81-73
20/12/25HGeorgia State63-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %68%70%67%
Points / game85.586.284.9
Allowed / game76.167.583.3
Point differential+9.4+18.7+1.6
Avg total161.6153.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %23%10%33%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game72.176.667.2
Allowed / game65.461.270.1
Point differential+6.7+15.4-2.9
Avg total137.5137.8137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%58%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2215768%85.576.1+9.4
2 Marshall2214864%80.174.0+6.1
3 South Alabama2113862%73.168.3+4.8
4 Appalachian State2314961%72.165.4+6.7
5 Georgia Southern24141058%81.479.7+1.7
6 Arkansas State23131057%81.578.7+2.8
7 Coastal Carolina23131057%72.771.3+1.4
8 Texas State24131154%73.471.1+2.3
9 Southern Miss24121250%73.573.2+0.3
10 James Madison23111248%74.475.7-1.3
11 Georgia State2291341%71.174.0-2.9
12 Old Dominion2371630%73.777.4-3.7
13 Louisiana Lafayette2371630%61.468.9-7.5
14 Louisiana Monroe2231914%71.082.6-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy242044
Appalachian State363066
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