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Troy vs Louisiana Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 79-73
37-30 42-43
Position#98
Record9-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game70.3
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#147
Record8-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Troy v Louisiana Lafayette
24 Feb 2026
TROY78
LOUI59
20 Feb 2025
TROY69
LOUI72
10 Jan 2024
TROY79
LOUI73
11 Feb 2023
TROY80
LOUI65
06 Mar 2022
TROY57
LOUI66
15 Feb 2020
TROY77
LOUI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#141
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A09/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
110-63
110
63
+47
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
53-74
53
74
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
44-33
34-40
42-37
41-31
42-29
–
–
48-37
62-26
22-31
31-43
48-41
40-40
33-33
39-32
55-34
31-39
23-26
43-36
148.8Avg total
78.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.570.3151.8+11.360%
Season at home (9)89.165.2154.3+23.989%
Season away (6)70.277.8148.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)78.470.4148.8+8.070%
Last 5 (5)73.071.0144.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
vs Similar (9)63.870.6134.3-6.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.068.5149.5+12.576%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#446
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H28/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A01/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A23/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
52-39
49-25
29-29
26-42
39-46
23-42
44-30
27-25
46-37
33-28
39-46
40-26
44-41
25-39
36-36
23-22
38-46
40-36
45-41
145.7Avg total
73.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.571.7148.2+4.953%
Season at home (8)79.565.1144.6+14.488%
Season away (7)73.179.1152.3-6.014%
Last 10 (10)73.871.9145.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)72.672.2144.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.770.9136.6-5.114%
vs Similar (10)75.873.8149.6+2.060%
vs Weaker (12)76.065.2141.2+10.892%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +6.6+6.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
TroyLouisiana Lafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grambling St.
#141
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Southern-New O.
#557
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A20/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A30/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H05/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H06/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
37.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.632.867.4+1.845%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.230.870.0+8.471%-
Last 30 away (12)28.235.763.8-7.58%-
Last 10 (9)37.834.171.9+3.756%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.069.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (8)24.133.958.0-9.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)39.232.471.5+6.865%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#140
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Loyola NO
#446
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H28/11
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A01/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A09/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A23/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H05/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
32.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.865.8+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.529.166.6+8.478%-
Last 30 away (12)31.233.364.5-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)32.632.865.4-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.230.262.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.932.058.9-5.143%-
vs Similar (10)35.732.167.8+3.660%-
vs Weaker (12)37.129.066.1+8.183%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
5
Louisiana Lafayette wins
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HAppalachian State66-62
05/01/24HOld Dominion86-73
30/12/23ACoastal Carolina72-65
22/12/23HEastern Kentucky88-81
20/12/23AOle Miss53-74
13/12/23HSouthern-New O.110-63
09/12/23ADayton70-82
02/12/23HSiu Edwardsville83-60
28/11/23AEastern Kentucky76-77
24/11/23HGrambling St.80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/24HCoastal Carolina85-77
05/01/24HJames Madison61-68
30/12/23AMarshall61-75
23/12/23ARice84-67
17/12/23AMcNeese State72-74
14/12/23HEastern Kentucky73-62
09/12/23ALouisiana Tech67-72
01/12/23ASamford65-88
28/11/23HLoyola NO78-54
22/11/23HLong Beach State92-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %60%89%17%
Points / game81.589.170.2
Allowed / game70.365.277.8
Point differential+11.3+23.9-7.7
Avg total151.8154.3148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %13%11%17%
Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW53%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%88%14%
Points / game76.579.573.1
Allowed / game71.765.179.1
Point differential+4.9+14.4-6.0
Avg total148.2144.6152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison1514193%88.871.9+16.9
2 Appalachian State1511473%78.364.9+13.5
3 Troy159660%81.570.3+11.3
4 Louisiana Lafayette158753%76.571.7+4.9
5 Southern Miss158753%71.171.5-0.3
6 South Alabama158753%74.375.7-1.4
7 Marshall179853%76.275.8+0.5
8 Georgia State147750%80.174.7+5.4
9 Arkansas State156940%78.778.9-0.3
10 Texas State156940%69.570.5-0.9
11 Louisiana Monroe134931%68.672.6-4.0
12 Coastal Carolina1441029%78.678.1+0.4
13 Old Dominion1541127%70.877.9-7.1
14 Georgia Southern1621412%69.279.6-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy374279
Louisiana Lafayette304373
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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