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Troy vs UTSA Roadrunners Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 86-72
42-29 44-43
Position#68
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game69.4
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#292
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game81.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UTSA Roadrunners winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
43-40
49-33
35-45
43-39
44-34
39-30
32-41
30-33
38-41
43-29
41-45
43-20
35-41
27-26
22-39
23-38
38-44
47-28
37-37
147.8Avg total
74.5Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.269.4140.6+1.860%
Season at home (1)84.074.0158.0+10.0100%
Season away (4)68.068.2136.2-0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.573.3147.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)71.269.4140.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)61.572.8134.2-11.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.370.1149.4+9.273%
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#254
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A18/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H29/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Trinity of Texas
#449
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H05/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A13/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
64-81
64
81
-17
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
36-49
30-32
31-34
32-37
32-25
53-34
36-39
34-36
43-37
45-39
37-45
21-35
40-29
43-41
60-36
30-48
42-37
26-36
38-45
149.8Avg total
75.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.781.0160.7-1.333%
Season at home (2)83.579.0162.5+4.550%
Season away (1)72.085.0157.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)75.074.8149.8+0.240%
Last 5 (5)76.478.2154.6-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.683.6161.2-6.031%
vs Similar (12)74.878.3153.1-3.625%
vs Weaker (1)103.077.0180.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
TroyUTSA Roadrunners
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H05/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
37.2Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.631.168.7+6.476%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.930.870.7+9.186%-
Last 30 away (15)35.331.466.7+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)37.231.568.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)36.628.264.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.131.270.3+7.881%-
This opponent (UTSA Roadrunners) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UTSA RoadrunnersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#254
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A18/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H22/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A24/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H29/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Trinity of Texas
#449
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H05/11
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A13/11
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H16/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.374.5-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.136.973.9+0.247%-
Last 30 away (13)35.040.275.2-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.872.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.239.878.0-1.638%-
vs Similar (12)33.036.969.9-3.933%-
vs Weaker (1)43.041.084.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
0
UTSA Roadrunners wins
No previous meetings.
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/24AWest Georgia84-65
17/11/24AOregon61-82
14/11/24AArkansas49-65
09/11/24ANew Orleans78-61
05/11/24HToledo84-74
09/03/24HTexas State68-74
02/03/24ATexas State79-82 OT
29/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette87-73
24/02/24ALouisiana Monroe84-78
23/02/24AArkansas State71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HUALR64-81
13/11/24ABradley72-85
05/11/24HTrinity of Texas103-77
13/03/24ATemple61-64
10/03/24HTemple82-84
02/03/24ASMU Mustangs77-73
29/02/24HTulsa89-73
24/02/24ANorth Texas64-62
22/02/24HSouth Florida61-66
18/02/24ATemple77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %60%100%50%
Points / game71.284.068.0
Allowed / game69.474.068.2
Point differential+1.8+10.0-0.2
Avg total140.6158.0136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UTSA Roadrunners
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game79.783.572.0
Allowed / game81.079.085.0
Point differential-1.3+4.5-13.0
Avg total160.7162.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State54180%80.267.0+13.2
2 Georgia Southern75271%80.477.7+2.7
3 South Alabama53260%72.865.8+7.0
4 Appalachian State53260%74.269.4+4.8
5 Marshall53260%75.070.4+4.6
6 Georgia State53260%80.676.8+3.8
7 Troy53260%71.269.4+1.8
8 James Madison74357%79.671.3+8.3
9 Texas State74357%74.668.7+5.9
10 Southern Miss52340%80.082.2-2.2
11 Louisiana Monroe83538%73.669.6+4.0
12 Coastal Carolina62433%63.867.7-3.8
13 Old Dominion72529%66.379.0-12.7
14 Louisiana Lafayette71614%69.082.7-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State550100%83.471.0+12.4
2 Memphis550100%84.876.0+8.8
3 East Carolina76186%81.369.1+12.1
4 Rice65183%71.564.5+7.0
5 North Texas54180%69.657.2+12.4
6 Tulane64267%77.763.7+14.0
7 Temple64267%79.772.5+7.2
8 Charlotte53260%72.672.6+0.0
9 South Florida74357%78.377.6+0.7
10 Florida Atlantic84450%86.677.8+8.9
11 UAB84450%84.876.8+8.0
12 Tulsa63350%81.082.5-1.5
13 UTSA Roadrunners31233%79.781.0-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy424486
UTSA Roadrunners294372
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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