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Arkansas State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-71
39-28 40-43
Position#186
Record13-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#98
Record18-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Arkansas State v Troy
07 Jan 2026
ARKA86
TROY74
15 Feb 2025
ARKA70
TROY71
22 Feb 2024
ARKA79
TROY71
16 Feb 2023
ARKA62
TROY67
11 Jan 2020
ARKA76
TROY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#211
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
95-80
95
80
+15
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H10/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-31
33-38
43-36
36-36
28-41
47-40
41-26
33-48
36-37
42-34
57-37
38-43
22-35
51-42
51-39
49-48
34-41
48-30
36-31
40-42
157.2Avg total
80.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.678.4157.9+1.248%
Season at home (11)87.778.9166.6+8.873%
Season away (16)73.978.0151.9-4.131%
Last 10 (10)80.676.6157.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)85.277.6162.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.877.4153.2-1.640%
vs Similar (16)76.577.9154.4-1.444%
vs Weaker (9)83.875.1158.9+8.767%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A20/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-30
46-44
34-33
29-31
39-34
39-31
40-34
43-45
44-29
40-34
36-33
42-41
40-24
42-42
37-29
41-39
41-34
30-48
39-23
46-34
146.5Avg total
77.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.969.4149.3+10.467%
Season at home (16)85.166.6151.7+18.688%
Season away (11)72.373.6145.9-1.436%
Last 10 (10)77.369.2146.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)78.869.4148.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)68.777.3146.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.769.2149.8+11.572%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: +0.9+0.9
Arkansas StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#211
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/02
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A17/02
NCAA
73.5Avg total
38.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.374.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.637.781.4+5.964%-
Last 30 away (19)35.235.470.6-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.473.5+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.838.872.6-5.040%-
vs Similar (16)36.338.074.3-1.744%-
vs Weaker (9)44.331.876.1+12.689%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#212
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A19/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A20/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H25/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H17/02
NCAA
67.8Avg total
37.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.931.469.3+6.469%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.129.971.0+11.189%-
Last 30 away (11)32.733.966.6-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)37.530.367.8+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.667.2+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (2)25.534.560.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)39.031.470.4+7.676%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Arkansas State wins
4
Troy wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Troy v Arkansas State71-82
02/03/23Troy v Arkansas State63-59
17/02/23Arkansas State v Troy62-67
07/01/23Troy v Arkansas State66-54
11/02/22Troy v Arkansas State79-77
25/01/20Troy v Arkansas State62-78
11/01/20Arkansas State v Troy76-68 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24ASouth Alabama76-73
16/02/24ATroy82-71
10/02/24HOhio100-87
08/02/24HJames Madison73-77
03/02/24HLouisiana Monroe95-80
01/02/24HSouthern Miss78-71
28/01/24ALouisiana Monroe82-85 OT
26/01/24ALouisiana Lafayette75-81
20/01/24ATexas State79-72
18/01/24ASouthern Miss66-69
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HLouisiana Monroe85-57
16/02/24HArkansas State71-82
10/02/24AKent State78-68
08/02/24HMarshall82-66
03/02/24AGeorgia State78-74
02/02/24AGeorgia Southern84-63
27/01/24HSouth Alabama83-79
25/01/24HTexas State78-65
20/01/24ASouthern Miss63-64
19/01/24ASouth Alabama71-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayWLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %48%73%31%
Points / game79.687.773.9
Allowed / game78.478.978.0
Point differential+1.2+8.8-4.1
Avg total157.9166.6151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%55%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %67%88%36%
Points / game79.985.172.3
Allowed / game69.466.673.6
Point differential+10.4+18.6-1.4
Avg total149.3151.7145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2825389%84.868.6+16.1
2 Appalachian State2823582%78.866.8+12.0
3 Troy2718967%79.969.4+10.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette28171161%76.570.7+5.8
5 Southern Miss28151354%70.170.6-0.5
6 South Alabama28141450%73.875.4-1.6
7 Georgia State27131448%76.974.1+2.8
8 Arkansas State27131448%79.678.4+1.2
9 Marshall28121643%74.176.5-2.4
10 Louisiana Monroe26111542%70.173.9-3.8
11 Texas State28111739%68.370.6-2.2
12 Coastal Carolina2681831%74.878.9-4.1
13 Old Dominion2862221%70.476.1-5.8
14 Georgia Southern2862221%71.879.7-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State394079
Troy284371
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