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Troy vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-74
30-33 38-41
Position#98
Record20-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#214
Record16-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Troy v Texas State
31 Dec 2025
TROY100
TEXA80
09 Jan 2025
TROY73
TEXA74
09 Mar 2024
TROY68
TEXA74
24 Jan 2024
TROY78
TEXA65
04 Feb 2023
TROY68
TEXA64
25 Feb 2022
TROY61
TEXA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
84-63
84
63
+21
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-29
40-34
36-33
42-41
40-24
42-42
37-29
41-39
41-34
30-48
39-23
46-34
28-39
43-40
49-33
35-45
43-39
44-34
39-30
32-41
152.1Avg total
79.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.970.5150.5+9.465%
Season at home (16)85.166.6151.7+18.688%
Season away (15)74.474.8149.2-0.440%
Last 10 (10)79.972.2152.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)81.273.8155.0+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)68.777.3146.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)80.770.7151.4+10.167%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
75-59
75
59
+16
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
38-33
36-45
28-37
48-47
31-30
37-29
41-25
32-30
30-39
41-32
28-38
46-36
34-23
41-36
141.1Avg total
72.6Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)69.870.0139.8-0.248%
Season at home (16)74.668.1142.8+6.562%
Season away (17)65.271.8137.1-6.635%
Last 10 (10)72.668.5141.1+4.170%
Last 5 (5)78.067.0145.0+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)59.172.8131.9-13.722%
vs Similar (14)70.668.1138.7+2.457%
vs Weaker (7)84.067.6151.6+16.471%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.3+8.31st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.2+3.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.3+8.31st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +3.2+3.2
TroyTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#341
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A02/03
NCAA
70.9Avg total
39.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.132.170.2+6.172%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.530.471.9+11.193%-
Last 30 away (14)34.633.968.4+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.631.370.9+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.872.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)25.534.560.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.131.971.0+7.278%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H02/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A07/03
NCAA
63.1Avg total
31.4Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.931.762.6-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.631.163.6+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)29.032.561.5-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)31.431.763.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.831.063.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)26.433.960.3-7.411%-
vs Similar (14)31.430.862.1+0.671%-
vs Weaker (7)35.730.966.6+4.957%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Troy wins
2
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Texas State v Troy82-79 OT
25/01/24Troy v Texas State78-65
05/02/23Troy v Texas State68-64
31/12/22Texas State v Troy52-55
26/02/22Troy v Texas State61-66
31/12/21Texas State v Troy63-78
07/01/20Texas State v Troy63-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ATexas State79-82 OT
29/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette87-73
24/02/24ALouisiana Monroe84-78
23/02/24AArkansas State71-79
17/02/24HLouisiana Monroe85-57
16/02/24HArkansas State71-82
10/02/24AKent State78-68
08/02/24HMarshall82-66
03/02/24AGeorgia State78-74
02/02/24AGeorgia Southern84-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24ASouthern Miss75-59
06/03/24HOld Dominion92-83 OT
02/03/24HTroy82-79 OT
28/02/24HLouisiana Monroe73-55
24/02/24AGeorgia State68-59
23/02/24AGeorgia Southern76-84
17/02/24ASouthern Miss74-78
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%88%40%
Points / game79.985.174.4
Allowed / game70.566.674.8
Point differential+9.4+18.6-0.4
Avg total150.5151.7149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)67% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %10%6%13%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW48%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %48%62%35%
Points / game69.874.665.2
Allowed / game70.068.171.8
Point differential-0.2+6.5-6.6
Avg total139.8142.8137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%25%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison3128390%84.669.3+15.3
2 Appalachian State3227584%78.966.5+12.3
3 Troy31201165%79.970.5+9.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette33191458%75.971.7+4.2
5 Arkansas State32171553%79.377.1+2.2
6 Southern Miss32161650%69.971.0-1.2
7 South Alabama32161650%74.075.7-1.7
8 Texas State33161748%69.870.0-0.2
9 Georgia State31141745%76.574.8+1.6
10 Marshall32131941%74.176.6-2.5
11 Louisiana Monroe30111937%69.974.4-4.6
12 Coastal Carolina3192229%73.578.5-5.0
13 Georgia Southern3392427%73.379.2-5.9
14 Old Dominion3272522%70.977.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy303868
Texas State334174
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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