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Troy vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-74
43-29 41-45
Position#68
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Toledo
USA
Position#167
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v Toledo
24 Nov 2025
TROY68
TOLE75
04 Nov 2024
TROY84
TOLE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
42-41
40-24
42-42
37-29
41-39
41-34
30-48
39-23
46-34
28-39
43-40
49-33
35-45
43-39
44-34
39-30
32-41
30-33
38-41
151.6Avg total
78.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.373.3151.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)77.877.2155.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)68.072.0140.0-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)80.370.8151.1+9.564%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
49-50
47-46
43-44
39-44
46-39
32-22
40-42
38-39
30-37
37-28
35-47
37-33
48-46
54-24
43-39
36-26
50-45
24-28
35-39
159.3Avg total
81.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.977.4159.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)79.871.0150.8+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.688.0166.6-9.40%
vs Similar (16)78.373.2151.6+5.175%
vs Weaker (9)81.476.2157.7+5.267%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.5+6.51st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -0.9-0.9
TroyToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#252
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H17/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H09/03
NCAA
69.9Avg total
38.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.231.769.9+6.572%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.830.671.3+10.288%-
Last 30 away (13)35.133.268.2+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)38.231.769.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.872.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)23.026.049.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)38.831.970.7+6.875%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H14/03
NCAA
71.3Avg total
38.6Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.772.3+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.234.769.9+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)38.136.874.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.771.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)37.627.865.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.041.876.8-6.820%-
vs Similar (16)36.534.470.9+2.144%-
vs Weaker (9)37.734.472.1+3.256%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HTexas State68-74
02/03/24ATexas State79-82 OT
29/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette87-73
24/02/24ALouisiana Monroe84-78
23/02/24AArkansas State71-79
17/02/24HLouisiana Monroe85-57
16/02/24HArkansas State71-82
10/02/24AKent State78-68
08/02/24HMarshall82-66
03/02/24AGeorgia State78-74
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HKent State59-67
09/03/24HKent State86-71
06/03/24AMiami (Ohio)97-63
02/03/24ABuffalo85-79
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
24/02/24ABowling Green68-76
21/02/24HAkron72-64
17/02/24HOhio85-83
10/02/24AAppalachian State104-109 OT
07/02/24AEastern Michigan91-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville State110100%112.048.0+64.0
2 Winthrop110100%125.065.0+60.0
3 IUPUI110100%100.044.0+56.0
4 UMass Lowell110100%115.059.0+56.0
5 Wofford110100%112.058.0+54.0
6 Drexel110100%95.043.0+52.0
7 VMI110100%103.054.0+49.0
8 Middle Tenn. St.110100%97.051.0+46.0
9 Niagara110100%100.065.0+35.0
10 UT Arlington110100%90.055.0+35.0
11 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%92.060.0+32.0
12 UMBC Retrievers110100%95.066.0+29.0
13 Hofstra110100%89.062.0+27.0
14 Stanford110100%85.062.0+23.0
15 Liberty110100%83.063.0+20.0
16 Stonehill110100%81.062.0+19.0
17 Purdue110100%90.073.0+17.0
18 Miami (Ohio)110100%77.063.0+14.0
19 Harvard110100%79.066.0+13.0
20 Bucknell110100%85.073.0+12.0
21 Temple110100%81.070.0+11.0
22 Charleston110100%90.080.0+10.0
23 Butler110100%72.065.0+7.0
24 Santa Clara110100%85.078.0+7.0
25 South Dakota St.110100%80.073.0+7.0
26 McNeese State1010%73.080.0-7.0
27 Missouri State1010%65.072.0-7.0
28 St. Louis Billikens1010%78.085.0-7.0
29 Southern Illinois1010%80.090.0-10.0
30 Sacred Heart1010%70.081.0-11.0
31 Delaware1010%73.085.0-12.0
32 Marist1010%66.079.0-13.0
33 Appalachian State1010%63.077.0-14.0
34 Texas A&M-CC1010%73.090.0-17.0
35 Framingham State1010%62.081.0-19.0
36 Valparaiso1010%63.083.0-20.0
37 Denver1010%62.085.0-23.0
38 Old Westbury1010%62.089.0-27.0
39 Penn State-York1010%66.095.0-29.0
40 Fordham1010%60.092.0-32.0
41 Houghton1010%65.0100.0-35.0
42 North Texas-Dallas1010%55.090.0-35.0
43 Oglethorpe1010%51.097.0-46.0
44 Washington Coll1010%54.0103.0-49.0
45 Georgian Court Univ.1010%43.095.0-52.0
46 Erskine1010%58.0112.0-54.0
47 IUPUC1010%44.0100.0-56.0
48 Rivier1010%59.0115.0-56.0
49 Piedmont1010%65.0125.0-60.0
50 La Grange1010%48.0112.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy434184
Toledo294574
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