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Truenos De Talca vs Luis Matte Larrain Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-72
17-11 20-15 16-20 22-26
Position#2
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game70.7
vs
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game68.0
ChileLNB 2· Cendyr Sur
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Luis Matte Larrain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 61
H23/03
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 61
A30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
76-58
76
58
+18
72avg 61
H07/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 61
A13/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 61
A20/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
36avg 61
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
70-58
70
58
+12
64avg 61
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
69avg 61
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
72avg 61
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
61-59
61
59
+2
53avg 61
A12/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
16-17
17-14
25-31
22-20
25-20
14-28
14-13
23-10
19-16
17-15
17-17
17-18
18-26
20-21
18-20
13-24
18-15
20-26
24-13
16-23
12-15
13-11
16-12
23-22
24-10
14-14
9-12
13-22
19-14
26-14
19-15
26-15
17-21
21-29
23-19
9-21
21-16
24-12
7-10
143.2Avg total
72.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.570.7143.2+1.850%
Season at home (4)78.571.2149.8+7.275%
Season away (6)68.570.3138.8-1.833%
Last 10 (10)72.570.7143.2+1.850%
Last 5 (5)70.465.4135.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.085.8151.8-19.80%
vs Similar (7)71.368.1139.4+3.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)73.767.1140.9+6.664%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
53-74
53
74
-21
no box
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
57-56
57
56
+1
44avg 62
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
72avg 62
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
77avg 62
H06/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
71avg 62
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 62
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
53-76
53
76
-23
42avg 62
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
W
74-53
74
53
+21
74avg 62
H28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
A04/05
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
62-51
62
51
+11
61avg 62
H12/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-25
20-21
15-10
9-18
16-22
20-12
16-15
5-7
25-17
14-18
19-10
15-17
9-13
26-19
27-19
18-25
18-18
13-18
23-20
22-24
22-20
13-25
14-16
16-17
16-13
12-26
11-18
14-19
13-10
11-15
23-11
27-17
–
–
–
–
19-12
6-15
17-16
20-8
134.5Avg total
65.9Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)67.368.0135.3-0.756%
Season at home (5)70.864.0134.8+6.880%
Season away (4)63.073.0136.0-10.025%
Last 10 (10)65.968.6134.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)64.067.6131.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)59.675.3134.9-15.733%
vs Similar (11)68.066.5134.5+1.545%
vs Weaker (4)62.260.0122.2+2.250%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
Truenos De TalcaLuis Matte Larrain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/03
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A30/03
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H07/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A13/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/05
LNB 2
72.8Avg total
36.7Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.135.570.6-0.445%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.335.071.3+1.350%-
Last 30 away (15)34.035.969.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.172.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.871.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.440.976.3-5.433%-
vs Similar (7)35.031.666.6+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.933.868.8+1.146%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#8
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/07
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/03
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/03
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/04
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/04
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A20/04
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H28/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H12/05
LNB 2
66.8Avg total
31.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)29.337.166.3-7.828%-
Last 30 at home (9)31.332.063.3-0.744%-
Last 30 away (9)27.242.169.3-14.911%-
Last 10 (9)31.335.466.8-4.133%-
Last 5 (5)28.634.463.0-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.537.166.6-7.633%-
vs Similar (5)28.835.264.0-6.420%-
vs Weaker (1)29.046.075.0-17.00%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.818.7
44.7%
44.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.5
31.1%
28.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.811.5
61.2%
63.6%11.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.6
46.1%
44.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.9
32.9%
28.7%20.6
🏀 Free throws15.89.8
61.9%
63.6%9.8
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 19 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WWWWLLLWLL
Luis Matte Larrain
WLWLLLWWWL
#2
League position
#9
+2.0
Net rating
+1.5
93.6
Offensive rating
89.7
91.6
Defensive rating
88.2
45.4%
Effective FG%
47.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.1%
3-point %
32.9%
50.4%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 89.7Defence91.6 · 88.2Shooting45.4% · 47.2%3-point %31.1% · 32.9%Ball care19.1% · 21.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 24.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Luis Matte Larrain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Truenos De Talca wins
0
Luis Matte Larrain wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24ABrisas61-59
05/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe87-84
01/05/24HAleman77-65
28/04/24ABoston C. C.70-58
21/04/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-61
20/04/24AStadio Italiano75-78
13/04/24ASergio Ceppi73-85
07/04/24HMunicipal Chillan76-58
30/03/24AColo Colo75-81
23/03/24HArabe Valparaiso74-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HStadio Italiano62-51
04/05/24AAleman66-80
28/04/24HSergio Ceppi74-53
20/04/24AMunicipal Chillan53-76
15/04/24HColo Colo65-78
13/04/24AArabe Valparaiso76-80
06/04/24HQuilpue Basquetbol80-76
29/03/24HBoston C. C.73-62
24/03/24ABrisas57-56
23/07/23AStadio Italiano53-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game72.578.568.5
Allowed / game70.771.270.3
Point differential+1.8+7.2-1.8
Avg total143.2149.8138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game67.370.863.0
Allowed / game68.064.073.0
Point differential-0.7+6.8-10.0
Avg total135.3134.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo10100100%82.665.5+17.1
2 Sergio Ceppi107370%77.070.8+6.2
3 Stadio Italiano117464%67.962.5+5.4
4 Aleman106460%74.370.7+3.6
5 Quilpue Basquetbol95456%67.966.8+1.1
6 Luis Matte Larrain95456%67.368.0-0.7
7 Arabe Valparaiso95456%71.275.7-4.4
8 Truenos De Talca105550%72.570.7+1.8
9 Boston C. C.105550%68.069.4-1.4
10 Municipal Chillan103730%64.172.4-8.3
11 Brisas9090%64.974.3-9.4
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe9090%70.084.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca1720162275
Luis Matte Larrain1115202672
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