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Tulpar vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:45
Final 86-65
28-26 29-9 10-15 19-15
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#8
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game99.7
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Tulpar v Pavlodar
24 Oct 2026
TULP86
PAVL65
21 Oct 2026
TULP104
PAVL52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tulpar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TulparKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTulpar
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
104-52
104
52
+52
no box
H21/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#2
W
79-68
79
68
+11
no box
A22/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A23/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
31-14
22-14
25-10
20-15
15-5
22-25
22-23
21-23
25-29
26-15
24-19
161.7Avg total
93.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.068.7161.7+24.3100%
Season at home (1)104.052.0156.0+52.0100%
Season away (2)87.577.0164.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (3)93.068.7161.7+24.3100%
Last 5 (3)93.068.7161.7+24.3100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.068.0147.0+11.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)100.069.0169.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
70-74
70
74
-4
49avg 40
H16/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
55-77
55
77
-22
38avg 40
A17/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
51avg 40
A03/05
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
65-76
65
76
-11
55avg 40
H04/05
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
41-96
41
96
-55
22avg 40
A05/05
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
50avg 40
H06/05
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
49-73
49
73
-24
30avg 40
A07/05
Higher League
Tulpar
#4
L
52-104
52
104
-52
no box
A21/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
L
61-88
61
88
-27
no box
H22/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#2
L
79-107
79
107
-28
no box
A23/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
20-7
14-17
22-26
11-19
15-23
13-17
16-18
14-27
18-18
17-18
15-21
22-21
14-19
12-25
17-11
10-24
14-38
5-22
12-12
16-12
18-12
21-19
9-15
15-25
18-13
8-20
8-15
14-26
14-31
14-22
10-25
21-19
13-29
13-27
14-13
22-32
19-25
13-31
25-19
143.7Avg total
60.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.099.7163.7-35.70%
Season at home (1)61.088.0149.0-27.00%
Season away (2)65.5105.5171.0-40.00%
Last 10 (10)60.083.7143.7-23.710%
Last 5 (5)61.086.0147.0-25.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)57.188.8145.9-31.74%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tulpar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: +7.7+7.7Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -8.8-8.8Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
TulparPavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TulparLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#8
W
57-28
57
28
+29
H21/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#2
W
35-20
35
20
+15
A22/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
Higher League
79.3Avg total
46.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)46.033.379.3+12.767%-
Last 30 at home (1)57.028.085.0+29.0100%-
Last 30 away (2)40.536.076.5+4.550%-
Last 10 (3)46.033.379.3+12.767%-
Last 5 (3)46.033.379.3+12.767%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.020.055.0+15.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)51.540.091.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H16/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A17/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/05
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/05
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
24-62
24
62
-38
A05/05
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/05
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/05
Higher League
Tulpar
#4
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A21/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H22/10
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#2
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A23/10
Higher League
76.6Avg total
32.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.546.675.1-18.113%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.739.369.0-9.631%-
Last 30 away (17)27.652.179.7-24.50%-
Last 10 (10)32.244.476.6-12.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.044.878.8-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.147.575.6-19.411%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tulpar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tulpartheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pavlodar: 58.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.218.0
37.3%
49.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.34.8
21.5%
28.5%14.4
🏀 Free throws15.18.4
55.6%
63.9%8.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tulpar wins
0
Pavlodar wins
DateGameScore
21/10/26Tulpar v Pavlodar104-52
Tulparlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AChelSU Kostanay96-86
22/10/26ABC Almaty 279-68
21/10/26HPavlodar104-52
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26ABC Almaty 279-107
22/10/26HChelSU Kostanay61-88
21/10/26ATulpar52-104
07/05/26AArlans49-73
06/05/26HAiRom64-58
05/05/26ATigers-KazATU41-96
04/05/26HTobol Kostanay 265-76
03/05/26AKaraganda64-84
17/04/26ATobol Kostanay 255-77
16/04/26HChelSU Kostanay70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tulpar
Higher League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.0104.087.5
Allowed / game68.752.077.0
Point differential+24.3+52.0+10.5
Avg total161.7156.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.061.065.5
Allowed / game99.788.0105.5
Point differential-35.7-27.0-40.0
Avg total163.7149.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulpar330100%93.068.7+24.3
2 Bars Petropavlovsk550100%85.865.4+20.4
3 BC Almaty 232167%84.774.0+10.7
4 Tigers-KazATU53260%75.469.6+5.8
5 Karaganda52340%68.274.8-6.6
6 ChelSU Kostanay31233%79.378.7+0.7
7 Arlans5050%68.287.8-19.6
8 Pavlodar3030%64.099.7-35.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tulpar2829101986
Pavlodar269151565
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