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BC Almaty 2 vs Pavlodar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:45
Final 107-79
32-22 25-19 31-13 19-25
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game56.5
Allowed / game96.0
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2026-27
Meetings · BC Almaty 2 v Pavlodar
23 Oct 2026
BC A107
PAVL79
28 Mar 2026
BC A94
PAVL69
26 Mar 2026
BC A92
PAVL64
05 Apr 2020
BC A v PAVL
upcoming
03 Feb 2020
BC A56
PAVL85
15 Dec 2019
BC A46
PAVL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Almaty 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 78
H15/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 78
A16/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
51avg 78
H17/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
75avg 78
A26/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
44avg 78
H27/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
114-61
114
61
+53
113avg 78
H29/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
103-55
103
55
+48
109avg 78
A30/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
88-97
88
97
-9
75avg 78
H02/05
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
A21/10
Higher League
Tulpar
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H22/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
27-26
8-23
19-24
21-22
20-24
20-10
24-12
23-22
9-23
23-16
16-19
23-15
16-24
24-26
15-29
18-18
20-19
6-28
18-23
26-18
36-7
28-17
24-19
27-10
17-17
38-12
21-16
24-26
25-21
19-25
20-25
18-13
25-15
12-21
24-15
15-20
5-15
25-22
23-22
161.0Avg total
83.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.571.5145.0+2.050%
Season at home (1)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
Season away (1)79.064.0143.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.277.8161.0+5.440%
Last 5 (5)90.471.2161.6+19.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.888.5162.2-14.80%
vs Similar (3)87.094.3181.3-7.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.066.2155.2+22.991%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
67-80
67
80
-13
50avg 40
A15/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
70-74
70
74
-4
49avg 40
H16/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
55-77
55
77
-22
38avg 40
A17/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
51avg 40
A03/05
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
65-76
65
76
-11
55avg 40
H04/05
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
41-96
41
96
-55
22avg 40
A05/05
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
50avg 40
H06/05
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
49-73
49
73
-24
30avg 40
A07/05
Higher League
Tulpar
#4
L
52-104
52
104
-52
no box
A21/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
L
61-88
61
88
-27
no box
H22/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
19-21
8-17
16-13
14-24
20-7
14-17
22-26
11-19
15-23
13-17
16-18
14-27
18-18
17-18
15-21
22-21
14-19
12-25
17-11
10-24
14-38
5-22
12-12
16-12
18-12
21-19
9-15
15-25
18-13
8-20
8-15
14-26
14-31
14-22
10-25
21-19
13-29
13-27
14-13
139.8Avg total
58.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)56.596.0152.5-39.50%
Season at home (1)61.088.0149.0-27.00%
Season away (1)52.0104.0156.0-52.00%
Last 10 (10)58.881.0139.8-22.210%
Last 5 (5)53.483.8137.2-30.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)56.489.5145.9-33.04%
vs Similar (2)76.560.5137.0+16.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -7.9-7.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
BC Almaty 2Pavlodar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H15/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H17/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H29/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A30/04
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H02/05
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A21/10
Higher League
Tulpar
#4
L
20-35
20
35
-15
H22/10
Higher League
79.9Avg total
42.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.635.280.8+10.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.634.282.8+14.481%-
Last 30 away (14)42.336.478.6+5.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.479.9+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.632.476.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (3)43.744.087.7-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.633.079.6+13.770%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H16/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A17/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/05
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H04/05
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
24-62
24
62
-38
A05/05
Higher League
AiRom
#13
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H06/05
Higher League
Arlans
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A07/05
Higher League
Tulpar
#4
L
28-57
28
57
-29
A21/10
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#6
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H22/10
Higher League
76.1Avg total
32.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.146.674.7-18.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.740.670.4-10.929%-
Last 30 away (16)26.851.878.6-25.10%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.776.1-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)30.645.876.4-15.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)27.747.575.2-19.811%-
vs Similar (2)34.033.567.5+0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.625.6
52.7%
49.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.9
30.6%
28.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.010.9
64.1%
63.9%10.9
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pavlodartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pavlodar: 58.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.218.0
37.3%
49.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.34.8
21.5%
28.5%14.4
🏀 Free throws15.18.4
55.6%
63.9%8.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Almaty 2
LWLWWLLLWL
Pavlodar
LLLWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#8
+10.0
Net rating
-19.2
111.3
Offensive rating
75.3
101.3
Defensive rating
94.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
35.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.6%
3-point %
21.5%
64.8%
Assist %
39.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 75.3Defence101.3 · 94.5Shooting50.3% · 35.7%3-point %30.6% · 21.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ BC Almaty 2   ■ Pavlodar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BC Almaty 2 wins
3
Pavlodar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HTulpar68-79
21/10/26AChelSU Kostanay79-64
02/05/26HAktobe88-97
30/04/26ACHAMP1ON103-55
29/04/26HCHAMP1ON114-61
27/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk62-88
26/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk78-94
17/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk71-80
16/04/26ATigers-KazATU85-68
15/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk84-92
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HChelSU Kostanay61-88
21/10/26ATulpar52-104
07/05/26AArlans49-73
06/05/26HAiRom64-58
05/05/26ATigers-KazATU41-96
04/05/26HTobol Kostanay 265-76
03/05/26AKaraganda64-84
17/04/26ATobol Kostanay 255-77
16/04/26HChelSU Kostanay70-74
15/04/26ATobol Kostanay 267-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game73.568.079.0
Allowed / game71.579.064.0
Point differential+2.0-11.0+15.0
Avg total145.0147.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pavlodar
Higher League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game56.561.052.0
Allowed / game96.088.0104.0
Point differential-39.5-27.0-52.0
Avg total152.5149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulpar220100%91.560.0+31.5
2 Bars Petropavlovsk550100%85.865.4+20.4
3 Tigers-KazATU53260%75.469.6+5.8
4 ChelSU Kostanay21150%76.070.0+6.0
5 BC Almaty 221150%73.571.5+2.0
6 Karaganda52340%68.274.8-6.6
7 Arlans5050%68.287.8-19.6
8 Pavlodar2020%56.596.0-39.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Almaty 232253119107
Pavlodar2219132579
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