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Turan vs Almaty Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 56-89
10-22 14-20 17-18 15-29
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Almaty 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#3
Record17-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.0
KazakhstanNational LeagueNational League - Quarter-finals
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Almaty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TuranKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A13/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
88-52
88
52
+36
H14/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A15/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H16/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
104-51
104
51
+53
H26/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
71-50
71
50
+21
A27/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H29/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A30/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H02/05
Higher League
Almaty
#3
L
65-95
65
95
-30
A07/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-15
23-16
12-19
21-20
26-10
27-12
14-10
11-12
16-15
21-12
20-15
21-18
14-17
16-10
15-10
26-20
32-8
22-12
24-11
24-13
14-10
16-14
17-13
16-12
17-17
17-15
26-19
21-16
25-10
19-24
19-22
31-12
16-12
26-17
14-23
12-22
17-24
10-19
26-30
140.3Avg total
78.0Scored
62.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.095.0160.0-30.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)65.095.0160.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)78.062.3140.3+15.790%
Last 5 (5)76.668.8145.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)65.095.0160.0-30.00%
vs Similar (3)85.068.3153.3+16.7100%
vs Weaker (26)87.659.3146.9+28.3100%
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H22/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A27/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A28/02
National League
Astana
#1
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A07/03
National League
Astana
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H14/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H15/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
68-82
68
82
-14
H21/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
54-81
54
81
-27
H22/03
National League
Turan
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
H07/05
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
14-28
15-14
25-17
20-17
19-24
21-18
24-13
21-18
17-24
20-23
15-14
24-23
20-21
19-18
23-15
12-6
23-24
18-20
19-19
29-22
17-15
17-14
9-18
22-12
23-18
14-18
15-24
17-16
15-18
15-24
21-24
17-18
14-24
15-21
8-18
22-12
24-17
19-10
30-26
149.8Avg total
74.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.179.0161.1+3.052%
Season at home (17)80.777.8158.5+2.947%
Season away (16)83.580.4163.9+3.156%
Last 10 (10)74.974.9149.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.084.9153.9-15.925%
vs Similar (15)79.183.6162.7-4.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)98.669.4168.0+29.186%
This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
TuranAlmaty
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TuranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A13/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A15/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H26/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A27/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A30/04
Higher League
Shymkent
#2
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H02/05
Higher League
Almaty
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A07/05
National League
69.6Avg total
39.6Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.629.774.3+14.987%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.228.673.9+16.693%-
Last 30 away (16)44.130.774.8+13.481%-
Last 10 (10)39.630.069.6+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.668.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.046.075.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (3)45.332.778.0+12.7100%-
vs Weaker (26)45.128.873.9+16.388%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H22/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A27/02
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/02
National League
Astana
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/03
National League
Astana
#1
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H14/03
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H15/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/03
National League
Astana
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/03
National League
Turan
#6
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
National League
76.8Avg total
38.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.581.6+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.680.6-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)42.140.582.6+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.176.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.474.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.642.276.9-7.612%-
vs Similar (15)40.442.282.6-1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.935.084.9+14.971%-
This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Turan: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.2
53.0%
50.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.79.0
25.9%
30.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws12.38.6
69.9%
69.6%8.6
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Almaty: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.7
48.0%
50.5%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.3
27.3%
30.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.713.6
65.7%
69.6%13.6
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Turan
LWWWWWWWWW
Almaty
WLLWWWWLWL
#6
League position
#3
+21.2
Net rating
+0.0
105.1
Offensive rating
98.3
84.0
Defensive rating
98.3
46.5%
Effective FG%
45.3%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.31
25.9%
3-point %
27.3%
78.1%
Assist %
57.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 98.3Defence84.0 · 98.3Shooting46.5% · 45.3%3-point %25.9% · 27.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.16 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Turan   ■ Almaty
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Turan wins
1
Almaty wins
DateGameScore
07/05/26Almaty v Turan95-65
Turanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26AAlmaty65-95
02/05/26HShymkent87-64
30/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk84-72
29/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk76-63
27/04/26ACHAMP1ON71-50
26/04/26HCHAMP1ON104-51
16/04/26HKaspiy Aktau 266-55
15/04/26AAtyrau 268-54
14/04/26HKaspiy Aktau 288-52
13/04/26AAtyrau 271-67
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/26HTuran95-65
22/03/26HAstana54-81
21/03/26HAstana68-82
15/03/26HAtyrau74-72
14/03/26HAtyrau72-69
08/03/26AAstana72-69
07/03/26AAstana86-77
28/02/26ATobol Kostanay73-79
27/02/26ATobol Kostanay84-72
22/02/26HKaspiy Aktau71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Turan
National League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game65.0-65.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-30.0--30.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWLLW47%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %52%47%56%
Points / game82.180.783.5
Allowed / game79.077.880.4
Point differential+3.0+2.9+3.1
Avg total161.1158.5163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana3228488%87.865.9+22.0
2 Kaspiy Aktau32181456%81.476.5+4.8
3 Almaty33171652%82.179.0+3.0
4 Atyrau34171750%81.780.8+0.9
5 Tobol Kostanay343319%68.296.4-28.1
6 Turan1010%65.095.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Turan1014171556
Almaty2220182989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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