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Tureberg vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 70-86
16-25 22-24 22-25 10-12
Position#8
Record11-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.4
Tureberg
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
Position#1
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game79.6
SwedenSuperettan· Sollentuna Sporthall (Sollentuna)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tureberg v Hogsbo
14 Jan 2024
TURE70
HOGS86
03 Dec 2022
TURE90
HOGS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tureberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurebergSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTureberg
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 72
A05/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
96-80
96
80
+16
104avg 72
H19/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 72
A22/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
88-70
88
70
+18
87avg 72
H02/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
80-77
80
77
+3
73avg 72
H06/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
79avg 72
A09/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
56-71
56
71
-15
29avg 72
A10/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 72
A16/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
83avg 72
A07/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 72
H10/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
24-13
11-20
20-28
25-18
22-19
30-26
19-17
21-31
30-18
17-25
24-21
25-21
23-6
20-27
20-16
27-26
18-17
21-24
14-10
25-23
21-16
17-12
24-31
10-21
15-14
14-22
17-14
20-23
17-22
19-19
19-14
22-15
14-14
27-18
22-23
17-16
15-14
22-24
21-13
157.8Avg total
80.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.673.4152.1+5.269%
Season at home (9)78.770.3149.0+8.389%
Season away (7)78.677.4156.0+1.143%
Last 10 (10)80.877.0157.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)75.673.6149.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)84.593.0177.5-8.50%
vs Similar (12)81.480.2161.7+1.250%
vs Weaker (16)83.175.1158.2+8.169%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 85
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 85
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
84avg 85
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
104-85
104
85
+19
102avg 85
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
103-81
103
81
+22
95avg 85
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 85
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
102-76
102
76
+26
105avg 85
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
71avg 85
A13/01
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
30-28
19-18
22-23
20-24
23-19
24-22
25-24
30-15
23-17
18-14
31-13
13-23
27-22
27-17
26-17
24-29
23-18
27-24
29-20
24-19
14-25
19-24
28-25
26-17
23-22
31-17
28-14
20-23
15-15
18-23
25-15
24-20
173.2Avg total
94.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.579.6170.1+10.971%
Season at home (9)96.379.9176.2+16.489%
Season away (8)83.979.2163.1+4.650%
Last 10 (10)94.478.8173.2+15.680%
Last 5 (5)95.681.2176.8+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)92.782.5175.2+10.373%
This opponent (Tureberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
TurebergHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurebergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Djurgarden
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A22/11
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H02/12
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/12
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A09/12
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A10/12
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A16/12
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A07/01
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H10/01
Superettan
77.6Avg total
41.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.379.0+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.976.9+7.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.781.2+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.677.6+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.670.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.541.080.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (12)42.440.282.6+2.267%-
vs Weaker (16)41.434.876.2+6.781%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A18/11
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/11
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/11
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H16/12
Superettan
Malbas
#12
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A30/12
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#13
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/01
Superettan
85.4Avg total
45.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.087.5+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.941.292.1+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)41.540.882.3+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.185.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)46.541.087.5+5.570%-
This opponent (Tureberg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turebergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tureberg: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.2
47.0%
50.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.1
34.6%
31.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws12.47.1
57.3%
66.9%7.1
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.9
57.6%
50.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.7
33.2%
31.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.4
71.2%
66.9%11.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tureberg
WWLLWWWLWL
Hogsbo
WWLWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#1
+4.5
Net rating
+16.7
106.0
Offensive rating
112.5
101.5
Defensive rating
95.9
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
33.2%
64.7%
Assist %
58.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 112.5Defence101.5 · 95.9Shooting49.3% · 54.5%3-point %34.6% · 33.2%Ball care15.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds34.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.17 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Tureberg   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tureberg wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
25/02/23Hogsbo v Tureberg100-96 OT
03/12/22Tureberg v Hogsbo90-84
Tureberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HNorrort75-67
07/01/24AHelsingborg85-70
16/12/23AAIK Basket75-78
10/12/23AWetterbygden Stars56-71
09/12/23AKFUM Kalmar87-82
06/12/23HKFUM Fryshuset80-77
02/12/23HEskilstuna88-70
22/11/23AHuddinge92-95
19/11/23HHelsingborg96-80
05/11/23ADjurgarden74-80
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24AAIK Basket82-73
06/01/24HEskilstuna102-76
30/12/23AMalbas87-91
16/12/23HKFUM Kalmar103-81
30/11/23HHelsingborg104-85
25/11/23HMalbas85-67
19/11/23AKFUM Fryshuset102-80
18/11/23ADjurgarden91-93
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tureberg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW69%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%89%43%
Points / game78.678.778.6
Allowed / game73.470.377.4
Point differential+5.2+8.3+1.1
Avg total152.1149.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%89%50%
Points / game90.596.383.9
Allowed / game79.679.979.2
Point differential+10.9+16.4+4.6
Avg total170.1176.2163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%78%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket1815383%85.678.9+6.7
2 Hogsbo1712571%90.579.6+10.9
3 Tureberg1611569%78.673.4+5.2
4 Huddinge1711665%81.375.6+5.7
5 Wetterbygden Stars1811761%79.974.8+5.1
6 Helsingborg2012860%87.879.2+8.6
7 Sloga Uppsala169756%77.780.8-3.1
8 KFUM Fryshuset1910953%86.587.2-0.7
9 Djurgarden1991047%85.986.5-0.5
10 Ockelbo178947%71.774.2-2.5
11 IK Eos167944%79.980.9-1.1
12 Malbas1871139%73.277.7-4.4
13 Norrort1751229%72.576.4-3.9
14 KFUM Kalmar1641225%75.682.5-6.9
15 RIG Mark1741324%68.275.7-7.5
16 Eskilstuna1531220%73.288.6-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tureberg1622221070
Hogsbo2524251286
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