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TX A&M Commerce vs SE Louisiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 76-78 (OT)
38-38 32-32 6-8
Position#277
Record11-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#152
Record14-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v SE Louisiana
20 Jan 2025
TX A68
SE L76
12 Feb 2024
TX A77
SE L79
18 Feb 2023
TX A76
SE L78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SE Louisiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-27
38-41
39-28
42-38
27-37
36-21
30-27
43-52
33-31
29-26
26-39
51-37
27-29
33-29
35-36
47-52
36-42
28-30
38-50
40-34
140.5Avg total
69.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)70.071.9141.9-1.941%
Season at home (9)77.768.8146.4+8.967%
Season away (18)66.173.4139.6-7.328%
Last 10 (10)69.970.6140.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.275.6147.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.275.0142.2-7.822%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.575.5146.0-5.030%
vs Weaker (8)72.463.9136.2+8.575%
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#284
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
81-91 OT
81
91
-10
H20/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H27/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
L
77-88
77
88
-11
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
37-41
33-40
45-38
27-30
52-43
32-41
60-46
44-31
36-33
33-36
44-31
28-48
44-35
34-36
32-33
47-41
30-47
43-33
33-48
154.9Avg total
77.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)77.376.9154.1+0.452%
Season at home (15)81.374.5155.8+6.967%
Season away (12)72.279.8152.0-7.733%
Last 10 (10)77.577.4154.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)73.677.6151.2-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.580.6152.1-9.112%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.479.0152.4-5.640%
vs Weaker (12)83.771.5155.2+12.292%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.8+1.8
TX A&M CommerceSE Louisiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#328
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A20/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A21/01
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H28/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H04/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H17/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
31.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)32.134.466.6-2.336%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.834.272.0+3.656%-
Last 30 away (19)29.534.564.0-5.126%-
Last 10 (10)31.234.665.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.271.6-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.035.766.7-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.034.465.4-3.440%-
vs Weaker (8)35.233.568.8+1.838%-
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#284
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H21/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/01
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A28/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#284
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H04/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/02
NCAA
Nicholls State
#189
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.836.272.0-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.735.572.2+1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)34.537.271.8-2.746%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.672.5-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.875.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.438.969.2-8.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.437.872.2-3.440%-
vs Weaker (12)40.533.273.7+7.367%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
SE Louisiana wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23SE Louisiana v TX A&M Commerce79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23HNew Orleans78-84
11/02/23ANorthwestern St.64-72
10/02/23HNorthwestern St.82-88
04/02/23HMcNeese State60-58
28/01/23HHouston Christian77-76
27/01/23ALamar62-57
21/01/23ASE Louisiana73-79
20/01/23ANew Orleans63-58
14/01/23HLamar81-66
13/01/23AHouston Christian59-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23ANorthwestern St.76-81
11/02/23HNicholls State77-88
10/02/23AMcNeese State66-69
04/02/23HTexas A&M-CC72-83
03/02/23HIncarnate Word77-67
28/01/23ANew Orleans80-64
27/01/23HNew Orleans92-87
21/01/23HTX A&M Commerce79-73
20/01/23HNorthwestern St.81-91 OT
14/01/23AIncarnate Word75-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWLWL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27918
Win %41%67%28%
Points / game70.077.766.1
Allowed / game71.968.873.4
Point differential-1.9+8.9-7.3
Avg total141.9146.4139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)67% (3)71% (7)
Overtime %11%11%11%
SE Louisiana
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL52%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %52%67%33%
Points / game77.381.372.2
Allowed / game76.974.579.8
Point differential+0.4+6.9-7.7
Avg total154.1155.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %11%13%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC2819968%80.171.9+8.2
2 Northwestern St.2819968%74.772.1+2.5
3 Stephen F. Austin2718967%76.567.5+9.0
4 Nicholls State26141254%76.572.8+3.7
5 SE Louisiana27141352%77.376.9+0.4
6 UTRGV27131448%77.277.5-0.3
7 TX A&M Commerce27111641%70.071.9-1.9
8 Incarnate Word28111739%70.973.7-2.8
9 Lamar2791833%67.873.6-5.8
10 New Orleans2681831%71.379.8-8.5
11 Houston Christian2781930%78.083.9-5.9
12 McNeese State2882029%67.875.0-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
TX A&M Commerce3832676
SE Louisiana3832878
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