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TX A&M Commerce vs SE Louisiana Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-79 (OT)
35-36 31-30 11-13
Position#290
Record9-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#244
Record11-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · TX A&M Commerce v SE Louisiana
20 Jan 2025
TX A68
SE L76
12 Feb 2024
TX A77
SE L79
18 Feb 2023
TX A76
SE L78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SE Louisiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A08/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A23/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-37
52-51
34-30
31-39
34-22
34-30
21-29
44-47
27-29
38-36
20-24
34-45
34-33
37-33
22-33
35-37
26-30
25-47
41-38
48-45
142.6Avg total
68.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.773.7145.4-2.038%
Season at home (12)86.072.2158.2+13.858%
Season away (12)57.475.2132.6-17.817%
Last 10 (10)68.973.7142.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)64.473.0137.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)63.078.5141.5-15.527%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.074.9148.9-0.933%
vs Weaker (5)90.669.0159.6+21.660%
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A10/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A13/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H16/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
52-68
52
68
-16
H20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A30/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H03/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
35-34
30-44
35-30
28-33
40-40
22-34
30-34
33-34
38-28
34-34
30-40
37-29
43-29
40-28
37-46
36-24
40-40
30-20
39-39
135.5Avg total
68.3Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)68.369.9138.2-1.646%
Season at home (10)74.766.9141.6+7.870%
Season away (14)63.772.1135.8-8.429%
Last 10 (10)68.367.2135.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)73.265.8139.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)62.278.8141.0-16.611%
vs Similar ◀ (12)66.667.8134.4-1.250%
vs Weaker (8)82.965.2148.1+17.688%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: +0.7+0.7
TX A&M CommerceSE Louisiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#327
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/01
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A20/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
21-29
21
29
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A03/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A06/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/02
NCAA
59.7Avg total
29.2Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.035.268.1-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.533.672.1+4.947%-
Last 30 away (15)27.536.764.2-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)29.230.559.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.631.660.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)27.736.564.3-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.134.766.8-2.633%-
vs Weaker (5)44.234.078.2+10.260%-
This opponent (SE Louisiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SE LouisianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A10/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A13/01
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H16/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
Lamar
#146
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/01
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A10/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
31.6Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.765.7+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.330.265.5+5.258%-
Last 30 away (18)31.434.465.8-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)31.631.262.8+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.427.062.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.837.365.1-9.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)31.732.364.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (8)39.029.068.0+10.075%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
TX A&M Commerce wins
2
SE Louisiana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HNew Orleans89-83
06/02/24AMcNeese State51-77
03/02/24ANorthwestern St.57-70
01/02/24HIncarnate Word71-66
30/01/24HTexas A&M-CC54-69
27/01/24HNicholls State84-87 OT
23/01/24ALamar65-76
20/01/24ASE Louisiana68-52
13/01/24HHouston Christian65-69
08/01/24ANew Orleans85-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ANorthwestern St.69-59
06/02/24HIncarnate Word76-64
03/02/24HMcNeese State77-74
30/01/24AHouston Christian80-58
28/01/24ALamar64-74
23/01/24HNorthwestern St.71-62
20/01/24HTX A&M Commerce52-68
16/01/24HTexas A&M-CC68-73
13/01/24AMcNeese State65-74
10/01/24ANicholls State61-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game71.786.057.4
Allowed / game73.772.275.2
Point differential-2.0+13.8-17.8
Avg total145.4158.2132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
SE Louisiana
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW46%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %46%70%29%
Points / game68.374.763.7
Allowed / game69.966.972.1
Point differential-1.6+7.8-8.4
Avg total138.2141.6135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2421388%79.661.7+17.9
2 Texas A&M-CC24141058%74.866.8+8.1
3 Stephen F. Austin24141058%77.571.4+6.2
4 Lamar24131154%80.174.9+5.2
5 Nicholls State24131154%73.374.8-1.5
6 SE Louisiana24111346%68.369.9-1.6
7 TX A&M Commerce2491538%71.773.7-2.0
8 Incarnate Word2481633%73.677.9-4.3
9 New Orleans2581732%74.979.6-4.8
10 Northwestern St.2571828%69.876.8-7.0
11 Houston Christian2261627%71.381.5-10.3
12 UTRGV2361726%73.479.8-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
TX A&M Commerce35311177
SE Louisiana36301379
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