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U. De Concepcion vs Leones Quilpue Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 77-73
26-14 18-22 14-22 19-15
Position#1
Record22-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#2
Record24-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game68.7
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2024-25
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Leones Quilpue
25 Oct 2026
U. D89
LEON64
12 Aug 2026
U. D97
LEON76
09 Jun 2026
U. D78
LEON79
31 May 2026
U. D89
LEON78
30 May 2026
U. D88
LEON92
09 Apr 2026
U. D95
LEON73
13 Sep 2025
U. D79
LEON68
08 Jun 2025
U. D73
LEON59
07 Jun 2025
U. D86
LEON68
03 Apr 2025
U. D77
LEON73
20 Dec 2024
U. D58
LEON59
23 Jun 2024
U. D64
LEON66
22 Jun 2024
U. D89
LEON87
29 Mar 2024
U. D88
LEON84
22 Dec 2023
U. D76
LEON66
12 Nov 2023
U. D96
LEON82
15 Jul 2023
U. D74
LEON72
02 Jul 2023
U. D86
LEON88
01 Jul 2023
U. D85
LEON65
14 Apr 2023
U. D92
LEON73
17 Jun 2022
U. D70
LEON66
05 Jun 2022
U. D84
LEON83
04 Jun 2022
U. D104
LEON68
02 Apr 2022
U. D94
LEON61
28 Aug 2021
U. D69
LEON59
19 Aug 2021
U. D93
LEON81
18 Aug 2021
U. D74
LEON66
30 Jul 2021
U. D73
LEON74
12 May 2021
U. D57
LEON77
19 Jan 2020
U. D96
LEON76
05 Oct 2019
U. D100
LEON85
16 Mar 2019
U. D86
LEON93
09 Mar 2019
U. D89
LEON93
16 Feb 2019
U. D95
LEON90
15 Feb 2019
U. D91
LEON89
16 Dec 2018
U. D101
LEON76
14 Oct 2018
U. D65
LEON63
25 Mar 2018
U. D61
LEON80
24 Mar 2018
U. D61
LEON66
09 Dec 2017
U. D91
LEON87
08 Nov 2017
U. D73
LEON77
10 Dec 2016
U. D100
LEON87
30 Nov 2016
U. D95
LEON82
24 Jan 2016
U. D95
LEON80
23 Jan 2016
U. D85
LEON67
22 Nov 2015
U. D85
LEON89
23 Nov 2014
U. D84
LEON77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leones Quilpue winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
106-51
106
51
+55
112avg 83
H08/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
103-57
103
57
+46
104avg 83
H09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
114-82
114
82
+32
114avg 83
A13/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
104-65
104
65
+39
102avg 83
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 83
A16/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 83
A21/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
74avg 83
A22/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
114-80
114
80
+34
114avg 83
A27/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 83
H29/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 83
H30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
22-13
34-11
20-9
19-10
27-24
34-11
23-12
35-30
25-17
27-22
27-13
27-14
27-19
29-15
21-17
27-20
20-20
17-25
18-14
17-32
26-12
13-27
23-17
21-21
23-21
21-25
20-17
32-23
23-19
30-23
29-15
34-20
23-27
28-18
14-21
18-20
22-20
19-13
15-17
170.2Avg total
96.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.675.0165.6+15.685%
Season at home (13)94.976.5171.5+18.492%
Season away (13)86.273.5159.7+12.877%
Last 10 (10)96.074.2170.2+21.890%
Last 5 (5)90.281.6171.8+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.059.0117.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.779.3155.0-3.767%
vs Weaker (26)90.675.0165.6+15.685%
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuilpue
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
58avg 75
A14/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
70-63
70
63
+7
64avg 75
A15/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 75
A16/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
90-84
90
84
+6
86avg 75
A18/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 75
H20/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
82avg 75
A22/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
74avg 75
A23/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
77-64
77
64
+13
76avg 75
H27/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
92-62
92
62
+30
94avg 75
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
80-71
80
71
+9
78avg 75
A30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
16-21
23-15
12-17
14-28
29-12
16-12
11-11
21-18
19-25
19-19
25-14
30-21
24-25
19-26
17-12
17-17
25-22
18-21
21-19
22-13
17-24
29-13
17-16
19-13
22-22
21-21
19-17
20-17
17-9
16-18
24-20
24-27
23-15
24-6
21-14
22-24
25-18
16-20
17-9
152.0Avg total
80.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.968.7150.7+13.292%
Season at home (13)82.765.1147.8+17.6100%
Season away (13)81.272.4153.5+8.885%
Last 10 (10)80.471.6152.0+8.890%
Last 5 (5)83.067.2150.2+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.883.8157.5-10.00%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (26)81.968.7150.7+13.292%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +5.8+5.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
U. De ConcepcionLeones Quilpue
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H08/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A13/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A27/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H29/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H30/03
LNB
89.8Avg total
49.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.540.485.9+5.166%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.038.383.3+6.773%-
Last 30 away (14)46.142.688.7+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)49.840.089.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.843.090.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.740.779.3-2.033%-
vs Weaker (25)46.940.587.4+6.472%-
This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A14/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/03
LNB
Ancud
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A16/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A18/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A22/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H27/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A30/03
LNB
81.5Avg total
41.9Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.879.6+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.976.3+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.240.183.3+3.179%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.681.5+2.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.478.6+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.243.279.5-7.025%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (26)42.637.079.6+5.681%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.5
56.4%
50.4%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.6
36.9%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
71.2%16.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leones Quilpuetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leones Quilpue: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.7
54.2%
50.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
32.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.911.9
74.8%
71.2%11.9
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WWWWLWWWWW
Leones Quilpue
WWWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#2
+27.6
Net rating
+11.8
122.4
Offensive rating
109.4
94.8
Defensive rating
97.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
11.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.9%
3-point %
34.8%
66.7%
Assist %
65.6%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 109.4Defence94.8 · 97.6Shooting56.0% · 53.3%3-point %36.9% · 34.8%Ball care11.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 29.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Leones Quilpue
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HEspanol Osorno74-70
29/03/25HAncud99-86
27/03/25ALas Animas114-80
22/03/25ACD Puerto Varas85-84
21/03/25AValdivia79-88
16/03/25AColo Colo82-79
15/03/25AEspanol de Talca104-65
13/03/25APuente Alto114-82
09/03/25HColo Colo103-57
08/03/25HEspanol de Talca106-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25ACatolica80-71
29/03/25HEspanol de Talca92-62
27/03/25HSportiva Italiana77-64
23/03/25AColo Colo81-73
22/03/25APuente Alto85-66
20/03/25HColo Colo81-79
18/03/25ASportiva Italiana90-84
16/03/25AAncud84-76
15/03/25AValdivia70-63
14/03/25ACD Puerto Varas64-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %85%92%77%
Points / game90.694.986.2
Allowed / game75.076.573.5
Point differential+15.6+18.4+12.8
Avg total165.6171.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%54%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Leones Quilpue
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %92%100%85%
Points / game81.982.781.2
Allowed / game68.765.172.4
Point differential+13.2+17.6+8.8
Avg total150.7147.8153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%77%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2624292%81.968.7+13.2
2 U. De Concepcion2622485%90.675.0+15.6
3 Espanol Osorno2719870%78.870.5+8.3
4 CD Puerto Varas27171063%80.076.7+3.3
5 Sportiva Italiana27161159%87.281.9+5.3
6 Puente Alto27121544%80.280.1+0.1
7 Colo Colo27121544%77.980.3-2.4
8 Ancud27111641%78.880.9-2.0
9 Las Animas27111641%78.384.3-6.1
10 Catolica2791833%65.173.2-8.1
11 Valdivia2652119%70.879.5-8.7
12 Espanol de Talca262248%67.185.3-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion2618141977
Leones Quilpue1422221573
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