PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valdivia vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 78-81
20-19 27-21 19-27 12-14
Position#12
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game80.4
ChileCopa Chile· Coliseo Municipal de Valdivia
Other2024
Meetings · Valdivia v U. De Concepcion
09 Oct 2026
VALD101
U. D85
25 Sep 2025
VALD85
U. D70
21 Mar 2025
VALD88
U. D79
24 Jan 2025
VALD72
U. D84
09 Nov 2024
VALD78
U. D81
02 Jun 2024
VALD83
U. D93
24 Mar 2024
VALD82
U. D105
21 Jan 2023
VALD64
U. D74
15 Jan 2022
VALD74
U. D76
11 Sep 2021
VALD68
U. D71
10 Sep 2021
VALD61
U. D52
21 Dec 2019
VALD61
U. D75
13 Jan 2019
VALD82
U. D62
15 Dec 2017
VALD89
U. D73
14 Dec 2016
VALD103
U. D93
28 Feb 2016
VALD83
U. D79
14 Feb 2016
VALD91
U. D81
13 Feb 2016
VALD88
U. D86
29 Nov 2015
VALD88
U. D75
06 Dec 2014
VALD62
U. D96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valdivia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValdiviaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValdivia
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
100-75
100
75
+25
95avg 74
H05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
83-68
83
68
+15
77avg 74
H06/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
57avg 74
A25/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
87avg 74
A27/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
76avg 74
H03/06
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
79avg 74
A18/10
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
L
72-78 OT
72
78
-6
70avg 74
H25/10
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 74
A26/10
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
55avg 74
H02/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 74
A05/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-13
29-14
11-28
23-20
17-20
29-12
19-13
18-23
22-28
17-21
11-19
20-17
21-30
33-33
21-22
15-16
28-30
27-13
11-23
17-27
21-23
19-23
22-20
25-31
18-19
18-11
14-21
16-15
25-23
16-23
10-22
19-23
21-20
13-23
21-21
14-19
17-35
23-26
13-9
23-21
166.2Avg total
80.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.888.0162.8-13.20%
Season at home (2)70.580.5151.0-10.00%
Season away (3)77.793.0170.7-15.30%
Last 10 (10)80.086.2166.2-6.220%
Last 5 (5)74.888.0162.8-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.891.2169.9-12.48%
vs Similar (9)79.181.2160.3-2.133%
vs Weaker (9)88.376.4164.8+11.989%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
64-66
64
66
-2
58avg 81
H24/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 81
A29/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#3
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 81
A10/10
Supercopa
Colo Colo
#4
W
98-68
98
68
+30
94avg 81
H11/10
Supercopa
Espanol Osorno
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
58avg 81
A12/10
Supercopa
Valdivia
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 81
H18/10
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 81
H20/10
Copa Chile
Ancud
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
81avg 81
A25/10
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
76avg 81
A26/10
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
W
113-90
113
90
+23
113avg 81
H01/11
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-19
17-18
17-12
20-16
18-29
14-22
18-12
23-24
25-18
22-20
18-16
28-11
23-14
28-17
19-26
22-27
21-15
16-19
5-11
23-21
23-19
20-22
31-25
27-15
18-20
18-23
19-16
29-24
19-15
21-23
20-15
16-26
28-11
20-17
13-20
27-21
29-19
25-25
32-25
160.7Avg total
84.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.680.4172.0+11.2100%
Season at home (3)97.383.7181.0+13.7100%
Season away (2)83.075.5158.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.276.5160.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)91.680.4172.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.779.0152.7-5.343%
vs Similar (5)78.678.0156.6+0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)93.477.7171.1+15.794%
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
ValdiviaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValdiviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
66-27
66
27
+39
H05/05
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H06/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A25/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
54-63
54
63
-9
A27/05
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H03/06
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H25/10
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/10
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#4
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A05/11
Copa Chile
89.1Avg total
45.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.184.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.038.582.5+5.571%-
Last 30 away (16)42.843.486.2-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.089.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.283.4-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.748.390.0-6.717%-
vs Similar (9)42.137.379.4+4.878%-
vs Weaker (9)46.835.382.1+11.489%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H24/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A29/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A10/10
Supercopa
Colo Colo
#4
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H11/10
Supercopa
Espanol Osorno
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/10
Supercopa
Valdivia
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H18/10
Copa Chile
CD Puerto Varas
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H20/10
Copa Chile
Ancud
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/10
Copa Chile
Espanol Osorno
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A26/10
Copa Chile
Las Animas
#10
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H01/11
Copa Chile
83.0Avg total
44.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.240.285.3+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.540.387.8+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)43.440.183.5+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.183.0+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.838.286.0+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.141.676.7-6.414%-
vs Similar (5)45.640.486.0+5.2100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)48.939.688.5+9.489%-
This opponent (Valdivia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valdiviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valdivia: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
48.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.4
32.2%
31.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.912.2
76.7%
69.0%12.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.5
56.9%
48.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.4
32.6%
31.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.4%
69.0%12.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valdivia
LLLLLLLLWW
U. De Concepcion
WWWWWLWWLL
#12
League position
#1
-8.0
Net rating
+11.5
98.9
Offensive rating
111.7
106.9
Defensive rating
100.2
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
32.6%
64.1%
Assist %
59.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 111.7Defence106.9 · 100.2Shooting50.2% · 53.8%3-point %32.2% · 32.6%Ball care18.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds23.8% · 30.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Valdivia   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Valdivia wins
10
U. De Concepcion wins
Valdivialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24AAncud76-91
02/11/24HEspanol Osorno69-83
26/10/24ACD Puerto Varas70-91
25/10/24HLas Animas72-78 OT
18/10/24AU. De Concepcion87-97
03/06/24HU. De Concepcion83-93
27/05/24AU. De Concepcion90-101
25/05/24AU. De Concepcion70-85
06/05/24HPuerto Montt83-68
05/05/24HCD Puerto Varas100-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/24HLas Animas113-90
26/10/24AEspanol Osorno77-74
25/10/24AAncud89-77
20/10/24HCD Puerto Varas82-74
18/10/24HValdivia97-87
12/10/24AEspanol Osorno64-72
11/10/24HColo Colo98-68
10/10/24ALeones Quilpue88-78
29/06/24ALeones Quilpue70-79
24/06/24HLeones Quilpue64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valdivia
Copa Chile 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.870.577.7
Allowed / game88.080.593.0
Point differential-13.2-10.0-15.3
Avg total162.8151.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%50%0%
U. De Concepcion
Copa Chile 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.697.383.0
Allowed / game80.483.775.5
Point differential+11.2+13.7+7.5
Avg total172.0181.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 U. De Concepcion550100%91.680.4+11.2
2 Puente Alto76186%77.771.6+6.1
3 Leones Quilpue65183%75.364.5+10.8
4 Ancud54180%83.880.4+3.4
5 Colo Colo74357%78.673.6+5.0
6 CD Puerto Varas63350%82.871.3+11.5
7 Espanol Osorno52340%75.674.2+1.4
8 Catolica62433%68.371.0-2.7
9 Sportiva Italiana62433%75.283.5-8.3
10 Las Animas62433%72.886.7-13.8
11 Espanol de Talca6060%67.079.8-12.8
12 Valdivia5050%74.888.0-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valdivia2027191278
U. De Concepcion1921271481
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.