PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
UAB hosts Florida International on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names UAB the clear favourite, assigning it an 82% chance of victory largely because the Blazers have a 2-1 record, averaging 80.0 points scored and allowing 75.3, and they are 185th in the league, while FIU is undefeated at 2-0, averaging 93.0 points and conceding 66.5, yet FIU sits only 39th. UAB has won both of its home games, posting a 2-0 home record with 81.0 points per game and 63.5 points allowed, and its last five games include two wins and one loss, notably a 92-64 triumph over Florida A&M and a 70-63 win over Nicholls State, though it fell 78-99 to McNeese State on the road. FIU's last five games mirror that pattern with three wins and two losses, highlighted by an 85-75 victory over West Florida Argonauts and a 101-58 rout of New College (FL), but a 72-75 loss to Missouri State. Their head-to-head history is even, 1-1, with UAB's most recent win 76-72 in February 2023.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 80.0 | 75.3 | 155.3 | +4.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 81.0 | 63.5 | 144.5 | +17.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 78.0 | 99.0 | 177.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.4 | 72.1 | 147.5 | +3.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.6 | 78.4 | 160.0 | +3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 78.5 | 85.3 | 163.8 | -6.8 | 50% |
| vs Similar (9) | 72.7 | 73.2 | 145.9 | -0.6 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (15) | 79.8 | 70.7 | 150.5 | +9.1 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 93.0 | 66.5 | 159.5 | +26.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.0 | 66.5 | 159.5 | +26.5 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.4 | 74.5 | 154.9 | +5.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.4 | 69.6 | 153.0 | +13.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 80.7 | 89.3 | 170.0 | -8.6 | 14% |
| vs Similar (18) | 78.2 | 74.1 | 152.3 | +4.1 | 61% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 88.2 | 68.6 | 156.8 | +19.6 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.4 | 34.4 | 70.7 | +2.0 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 36.6 | 34.4 | 70.9 | +2.2 | 65% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 36.1 | 34.4 | 70.5 | +1.7 | 62% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.4 | 33.1 | 69.5 | +3.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 38.4 | 35.2 | 73.6 | +3.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 34.5 | 38.7 | 73.2 | -4.2 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 35.6 | 32.0 | 67.6 | +3.6 | 78% | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 37.6 | 34.1 | 71.7 | +3.5 | 73% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.1 | 34.7 | 73.8 | +4.3 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (19) | 39.7 | 32.1 | 71.8 | +7.7 | 84% | - |
| Last 30 away (11) | 37.9 | 39.4 | 77.3 | -1.5 | 45% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.4 | 32.8 | 71.2 | +5.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 28.8 | 70.8 | +13.2 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 39.4 | 40.7 | 80.1 | -1.3 | 43% | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 37.7 | 33.2 | 70.8 | +4.5 | 83% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (5) | 43.6 | 32.0 | 75.6 | +11.6 | 60% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/02/23 | UAB v Florida International | 76-72 |
| 08/01/23 | Florida International v UAB | 90-87 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Florida A&M | 92-64 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Nicholls State | 70-63 |
| 02/11/26 | A | McNeese State | 78-99 |
| 13/03/26 | H | Charlotte | 78-83 |
| 08/03/26 | H | East Carolina | 90-83 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Charlotte | 80-74 |
| 01/03/26 | H | North Texas | 58-62 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Memphis | 78-67 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Temple | 76-71 |
| 15/02/26 | H | Tulane | 54-55 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | West Florida Argonauts | 85-75 |
| 03/11/26 | H | New College (FL) | 101-58 |
| 10/03/26 | H | Missouri State | 72-75 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Western Kentucky | 92-67 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Middle Tenn. St. | 67-73 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Louisiana Tech | 84-76 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Sam Houston St. | 67-100 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Missouri State | 70-67 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Liberty | 89-90 OT |
| 14/02/26 | H | Louisiana Tech | 77-64 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWW | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 81.0 | 78.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.3 | 63.5 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | +4.7 | +17.5 | -21.0 |
| Avg total | 155.3 | 144.5 | 177.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 93.0 | 93.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 66.5 | 66.5 | - |
| Point differential | +26.5 | +26.5 | - |
| Avg total | 159.5 | 159.5 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tulsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 65.3 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  North Texas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 90.0 | 64.3 | +25.7 |
| 3 |  Wichita State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 73.3 | +19.3 |
| 4 |  East Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 71.7 | +5.0 |
| 5 |  Tulane | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.3 | 82.7 | +4.7 |
| 6 | UAB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 75.3 | +4.7 |
| 7 |  Charlotte | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 72.3 | 68.3 | +4.0 |
| 8 |  UTSA Roadrunners | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.7 | 74.0 | +2.7 |
| 9 |  Florida Atlantic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.0 | 82.3 | -2.3 |
| 10 |  Memphis | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 89.7 | -6.3 |
| 11 |  Rice | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 72.7 | +8.7 |
| 12 |  South Florida | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.0 | 78.7 | +7.3 |
| 13 |  Temple | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.3 | 75.3 | -8.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida International | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 66.5 | +26.5 |
| 2 |  Missouri State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.3 | 61.3 | +24.0 |
| 3 |  Kennesaw State | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.7 | 68.3 | +23.3 |
| 4 |  Western Kentucky | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 63.5 | +20.8 |
| 5 |  Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 70.3 | 60.7 | +9.7 |
| 6 |  Sam Houston St. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 87.0 | 77.3 | +9.7 |
| 7 |  Middle Tenn. St. | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 78.3 | 76.7 | +1.7 |
| 8 |  Liberty | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 63.0 | +22.0 |
| 9 |  UTEP | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 77.5 | 72.0 | +5.5 |
| 10 |  New Mexico State | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 70.5 | 87.5 | -17.0 |
| 11 |  Delaware | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.7 | 62.7 | +14.0 |
| 12 |  Jacksonville State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.0 | 78.0 | +5.0 |
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