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UAB vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-86
39-35 46-51
Position#99
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#84
Record6-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UAB v Troy
14 Dec 2025
UAB85
TROY86
06 Dec 2020
UAB77
TROY55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
106-55
106
55
+51
H04/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-94
70
94
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H12/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#534
W
112-56
112
56
+56
H18/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
59-22
47-33
33-41
37-53
35-36
39-41
35-38
56-36
60-34
52-22
36-26
44-46
36-35
45-38
37-34
38-25
33-32
28-44
33-32
41-37
152.9Avg total
82.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.470.5152.9+11.970%
Season at home (6)89.765.5155.2+24.283%
Season away (4)71.578.0149.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)82.470.5152.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)74.269.8144.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.879.2153.0-5.342%
vs Weaker (15)86.172.3158.5+13.887%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
121-56
121
56
+65
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H24/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
89-93 OT
89
93
-4
H02/12
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-47
101
47
+54
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-23
28-38
57-27
64-29
25-27
38-47
49-51
36-43
38-38
51-51
29-29
39-39
36-30
32-45
28-33
46-31
28-27
37-38
60-17
41-30
165.7Avg total
87.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.379.5168.8+9.755%
Season at home (4)94.867.8162.5+27.050%
Season away (7)86.186.3172.4-0.157%
Last 10 (10)87.977.8165.7+10.150%
Last 5 (5)87.677.2164.8+10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.776.1150.8-1.450%
vs Weaker (17)79.767.8147.5+11.971%
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +2.1+2.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +6.7+6.71st half: +8.4+8.42nd half2nd half: +5.2+5.22nd half: +2.1+2.1
UABTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H04/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H12/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Rhodes Lynx
#534
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H18/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A02/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A06/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
39.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.033.972.9+5.277%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.033.175.1+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)36.434.671.0+1.975%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.072.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.866.8+3.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.734.670.2+1.175%-
vs Weaker (15)42.632.475.0+10.293%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H24/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H02/12
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
60-17
60
17
+43
H06/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
38.6Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.330.466.7+5.957%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.128.169.2+13.085%-
Last 30 away (17)32.632.164.8+0.535%-
Last 10 (10)38.630.268.8+8.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.227.263.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.433.266.6+0.242%-
vs Weaker (17)37.128.665.7+8.565%-
This opponent (UAB) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UAB wins
0
Troy wins
DateGameScore
06/12/20UAB v Troy77-55
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ADrake74-69
02/12/25AMiddle Tenn. St.61-76
25/11/25HUTEP75-59
24/11/25ASouthern Illinois81-73
22/11/25HSouth Alabama80-72
18/11/25HRhodes Lynx112-56
15/11/25HHigh Point91-74
12/11/25HAlabama State74-77
08/11/25ANC State70-94
04/11/25HMiss. Valley St.106-55
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HLa Grange101-47
02/12/25HWest Georgia89-93 OT
26/11/25ASt. Francis (PA)74-64
24/11/25HToledo68-75
21/11/25AUSC106-107 OT
19/11/25ASan Diego State108-107 OT
17/11/25ACS Northridge85-94
15/11/25ALoyola Marymount63-74
12/11/25HPensacola Christian121-56
08/11/25AFurman64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UAB
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game82.489.771.5
Allowed / game70.565.578.0
Point differential+11.9+24.2-6.5
Avg total152.9155.2149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game89.394.886.1
Allowed / game79.567.886.3
Point differential+9.7+27.0-0.1
Avg total168.8162.5172.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %36%25%43%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1110191%90.069.7+20.3
2 Florida Atlantic118373%83.971.3+12.6
3 UAB107370%82.470.5+11.9
4 North Texas107370%70.265.1+5.1
5 Tulane117464%75.578.5-3.1
6 South Florida106460%88.679.6+9.0
7 Wichita State116555%76.566.7+9.7
8 Temple116555%79.873.1+6.7
9 Rice115645%75.873.5+2.4
10 Memphis94544%75.776.9-1.2
11 UTSA Roadrunners104640%71.772.8-1.1
12 Charlotte104640%70.171.7-1.6
13 East Carolina114736%67.976.3-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall117464%79.577.4+2.1
2 Arkansas State117464%80.479.4+1.0
3 James Madison117464%75.174.2+0.9
4 Georgia Southern138562%82.678.7+3.9
5 South Alabama106460%74.470.1+4.3
6 Appalachian State127558%74.867.0+7.8
7 Texas State127558%74.666.9+7.7
8 Troy116555%89.379.5+9.7
9 Southern Miss116555%76.972.4+4.5
10 Coastal Carolina116555%75.171.5+3.5
11 Old Dominion113827%74.078.1-4.1
12 Louisiana Monroe113827%72.581.4-8.9
13 Georgia State112918%65.376.5-11.3
14 Louisiana Lafayette111109%56.271.1-14.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UAB394685
Troy355186
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