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USC vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 107-106 (OT)
29-29 39-39 39-38
Position#153
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game71.3
USC 🏆
USA
vs
Position#84
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game81.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

USC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

USCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
92-61
92
61
+31
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
114-83
114
83
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
87-67
87
67
+20
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
46-51
38-52
44-35
34-39
27-43
47-35
45-26
27-39
36-51
41-30
32-43
35-35
36-41
37-31
57-33
55-37
59-46
40-26
47-41
164.0Avg total
84.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)98.371.3169.7+27.0100%
Season at home (3)98.371.3169.7+27.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.679.4164.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)92.675.8168.4+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.375.8148.1-3.535%
vs Similar (10)83.478.8162.2+4.650%
vs Weaker (3)97.068.3165.3+28.7100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
103-97 OT
103
97
+6
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
121-56
121
56
+65
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-18
39-41
40-23
39-37
41-43
53-38
27-35
30-41
42-34
45-53
36-23
28-38
57-27
64-29
25-27
38-47
49-51
36-43
38-38
51-51
161.4Avg total
84.9Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.781.5172.2+9.267%
Season at home (1)121.056.0177.0+65.0100%
Season away (5)84.686.6171.2-2.060%
Last 10 (10)84.976.5161.4+8.470%
Last 5 (5)88.278.4166.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)73.573.5147.0-0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.564.5142.0+13.075%
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.5+0.5
USCTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
USCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#224
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A23/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Washington
#287
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H06/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A09/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A13/03
NCAA
Purdue
#72
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H15/11
NCAA
76.1Avg total
39.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.135.072.2+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.833.772.5+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)35.036.871.8-1.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.876.1+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.873.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.735.969.6-2.235%-
vs Similar (10)38.834.373.1+4.550%-
vs Weaker (3)51.032.383.3+18.7100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#261
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H09/03
NCAA
James Madison
#110
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A10/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A21/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A04/11
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A08/11
NCAA
Pensacola Christian
#695
W
57-27
57
27
+30
H12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A15/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A17/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/11
NCAA
71.0Avg total
39.1Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.530.967.4+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.929.471.3+12.585%-
Last 30 away (17)32.432.164.4+0.341%-
Last 10 (10)39.131.971.0+7.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.274.2+7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)32.133.065.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.829.468.2+9.475%-
This opponent (USC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
USC wins
0
Troy wins
No previous meetings.
USClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HIllinois State87-67
09/11/25HManhattan114-83
04/11/25HCal Poly94-64
14/03/25APurdue71-76
13/03/25ARutgers97-89 OT
09/03/25AUCLA63-90
06/03/25HWashington92-61
01/03/25AOregon61-82
27/02/25HOhio State82-87
23/02/25ARutgers85-95
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ASan Diego State108-107 OT
17/11/25ACS Northridge85-94
15/11/25ALoyola Marymount63-74
12/11/25HPensacola Christian121-56
08/11/25AFurman64-61
04/11/25AKent State103-97 OT
21/03/25AKentucky57-76
10/03/25HArkansas State94-81
10/03/25AJames Madison79-60
09/03/25HOld Dominion75-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

USC
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game98.398.3-
Allowed / game71.371.3-
Point differential+27.0+27.0-
Avg total169.7169.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %67%100%60%
Points / game90.7121.084.6
Allowed / game81.556.086.6
Point differential+9.2+65.0-2.0
Avg total172.2177.0171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %33%0%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wisconsin440100%93.265.0+28.2
2 Iowa550100%90.262.6+27.6
3 USC330100%98.371.3+27.0
4 Indiana550100%88.262.4+25.8
5 Northwestern440100%84.260.2+24.0
6 Nebraska550100%88.068.0+20.0
7 Ohio State550100%88.468.8+19.6
8 Michigan440100%89.871.5+18.2
9 Penn State550100%82.066.2+15.8
10 Rutgers440100%79.264.0+15.2
11 Purdue550100%86.671.6+15.0
12 Michigan State440100%77.865.2+12.5
13 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
14 Illinois54180%95.471.4+24.0
15 Minnesota54180%76.062.4+13.6
16 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
17 UCLA54180%76.263.2+13.0
18 Maryland54180%82.273.4+8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama65183%75.065.8+9.2
2 Marshall54180%87.081.6+5.4
3 Troy64267%90.781.5+9.2
4 Texas State64267%75.567.0+8.5
5 Appalachian State53260%74.466.8+7.6
6 Georgia Southern53260%88.284.6+3.6
7 Arkansas State53260%81.482.4-1.0
8 Coastal Carolina42250%82.865.0+17.8
9 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
10 Southern Miss52340%80.671.8+8.8
11 Old Dominion52340%73.478.4-5.0
12 Georgia State51420%65.267.8-2.6
13 Louisiana Monroe51420%72.478.8-6.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette51420%62.474.8-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
USC293939107
Troy293938106
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