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UALR vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-67
22-30 43-37
Position#275
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#213
Record9-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UALR v Arkansas State
06 Dec 2025
UALR78
ARKA90
01 Dec 2023
UALR77
ARKA66
13 Feb 2021
UALR65
ARKA67
08 Feb 2020
UALR90
ARKA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H16/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A05/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
67-77 OT
67
77
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-29
33-37
32-42
36-26
25-34
34-29
34-40
22-27
28-23
38-36
26-36
35-30
36-31
30-31
24-37
23-20
23-33
39-29
22-40
40-33
129.2Avg total
62.6Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.269.7138.9-0.542%
Season at home (10)71.770.0141.7+1.750%
Season away (9)66.469.4135.9-3.033%
Last 10 (10)62.666.6129.2-4.030%
Last 5 (5)60.667.0127.6-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)64.971.7136.6-6.811%
vs Similar (14)73.673.0146.6+0.657%
vs Weaker (7)83.770.4154.1+13.3100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
55-62
55
62
-7
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
68-81
68
81
-13
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-35
23-27
40-36
34-36
39-36
54-36
31-27
37-54
29-41
45-36
26-35
42-33
31-25
33-40
36-38
59-49
46-29
37-48
40-22
33-40
149.2Avg total
76.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.871.1146.9+4.850%
Season at home (11)84.168.5152.5+15.682%
Season away (7)62.975.1138.0-12.30%
Last 10 (10)76.273.0149.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)79.673.2152.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.677.0146.6-7.425%
vs Similar (13)72.274.1146.3-1.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.866.1146.9+14.767%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
UALRArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H16/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A05/02
NCAA
Texas State
#44
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A06/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#213
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A13/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
28.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.834.668.4-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.334.172.4+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)28.635.163.8-6.536%-
Last 10 (10)28.134.562.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)26.235.461.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)28.337.165.4-8.80%-
vs Similar (14)34.334.068.3+0.364%-
vs Weaker (7)39.932.472.3+7.486%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#294
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#294
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A23/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H30/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#197
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H30/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#86
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NCAA
UALR
#275
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H13/02
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.366.4-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.532.068.5+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)29.234.864.0-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)35.032.467.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.829.865.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.836.264.0-8.512%-
vs Similar (13)32.232.564.7-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.131.971.0+7.267%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UALR wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
13/02/21Arkansas State v UALR73-62
22/02/20Arkansas State v UALR78-81
08/02/20UALR v Arkansas State90-87
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21AArkansas State62-73
06/02/21ATexas State67-77 OT
05/02/21ATexas State47-57
30/01/21HLouisiana Monroe66-62
23/01/21AUT Arlington61-66
23/01/21AUT Arlington66-59
16/01/21HTexas State56-67
16/01/21HTexas State59-63
09/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette78-76 OT
09/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette64-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21HUALR73-62
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette83-77
06/02/21HLouisiana Lafayette95-87
30/01/21HUT Arlington64-65
30/01/21HUT Arlington83-75 OT
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette74-77
23/01/21ALouisiana Lafayette68-81
16/01/21HLouisiana Monroe93-72
16/01/21HLouisiana Monroe74-72
02/01/21ALouisiana Monroe55-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game69.271.766.4
Allowed / game69.770.069.4
Point differential-0.5+1.7-3.0
Avg total138.9141.7135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%22%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %50%82%0%
Points / game75.884.162.9
Allowed / game71.168.575.1
Point differential+4.8+15.6-12.3
Avg total146.9152.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2316770%67.563.2+4.3
2 UALR1981142%69.269.7-0.5
3 Siu Edwardsville1981142%68.273.0-4.8
4 UT Martin1971237%65.776.9-11.2
5 Southeast Missouri State2071335%67.070.3-3.4
6 Western Illinois1861233%73.178.1-5.0
7 Eastern Illinois2371630%68.475.1-6.7
8 Tennessee State1931616%66.472.4-6.0
9 Tennessee Tech2231914%64.676.1-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2115671%67.262.3+4.9
2 Marshall1712571%82.573.1+9.4
3 James Madison1712571%78.869.6+9.2
4 Old Dominion1611569%69.669.4+0.2
5 Coastal Carolina1812667%81.867.7+14.2
6 Louisiana Lafayette2114767%75.373.1+2.1
7 Georgia State149564%81.673.9+7.8
8 South Alabama2214864%75.170.5+4.6
9 Appalachian State1912763%72.162.6+9.5
10 Georgia Southern22121055%72.967.9+5.0
11 Arkansas State189950%75.871.1+4.8
12 Troy22101245%64.667.0-2.4
13 Southern Miss2171433%63.966.3-2.4
14 Louisiana Monroe2061430%65.569.9-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR224365
Arkansas State303767
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