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UALR vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-66
27-31 50-35
Position#90
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.4
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#186
Record2-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game80.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UALR v Arkansas State
06 Dec 2025
UALR78
ARKA90
01 Dec 2023
UALR77
ARKA66
13 Feb 2021
UALR65
ARKA67
08 Feb 2020
UALR90
ARKA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
90-64
90
64
+26
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
41-42
40-32
39-42
41-39
42-44
38-34
33-32
25-38
46-48
40-58
53-40
40-40
37-48
45-37
38-46
41-39
35-37
52-32
38-32
165.7Avg total
83.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.382.4164.7-0.143%
Season at home (4)86.080.2166.2+5.850%
Season away (3)77.385.3162.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)83.282.5165.7+0.750%
Last 5 (5)86.885.0171.8+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.580.9158.3-3.433%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.378.3155.7-1.022%
vs Weaker (5)78.879.6158.4-0.860%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
38-32
34-30
52-39
34-30
25-33
41-56
35-49
31-34
44-47
48-34
52-52
39-49
35-39
28-27
29-44
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
149.4Avg total
73.7Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.480.6156.0-5.129%
Season at home (2)85.580.5166.0+5.050%
Season away (5)71.480.6152.0-9.220%
Last 10 (10)73.775.7149.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)75.475.6151.0-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.973.0133.9-12.10%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.571.6141.1-2.150%
vs Weaker (5)75.071.0146.0+4.060%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -4.9-4.9
UALRArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H29/11
NCAA
76.6Avg total
39.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.272.4+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.333.972.2+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)34.138.472.5-4.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.676.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.284.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.738.373.9-2.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.132.869.9+4.367%-
vs Weaker (5)35.239.274.4-4.060%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A25/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A28/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.364.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.034.565.5-3.521%-
Last 30 away (16)30.832.263.1-1.431%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.171.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.832.473.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)27.534.261.7-6.69%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.934.265.1-3.421%-
vs Weaker (5)38.428.867.2+9.680%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UALR wins
3
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
22/12/22Arkansas State v UALR77-75
13/02/21UALR v Arkansas State65-67
13/02/21Arkansas State v UALR73-62
22/02/20Arkansas State v UALR78-81
08/02/20UALR v Arkansas State90-87
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HBall State90-64
25/11/23ATulsa84-82 OT
22/11/23HGeorgia State90-93 OT
19/11/23AGeorgia State77-88
18/11/23HNorthern Illinois93-98
11/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)71-86
07/11/23HTexas State71-66
25/02/23ALindenwood96-97 OT
24/02/23ASiu Edwardsville79-74
18/02/23HEastern Illinois81-77 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
15/11/23HAlcorn State100-86
11/11/23ABowling Green75-81
07/11/23AWisconsin76-105
02/03/23ATroy59-63
28/02/23ACoastal Carolina86-69
25/02/23ALouisiana Monroe64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game82.386.077.3
Allowed / game82.480.285.3
Point differential-0.1+5.8-8.0
Avg total164.7166.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %29%25%33%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game75.485.571.4
Allowed / game80.680.580.6
Point differential-5.1+5.0-9.2
Avg total156.0166.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State85362%77.671.0+6.6
2 Morehead State85362%71.265.8+5.5
3 Siu Edwardsville85362%70.967.2+3.6
4 UT Martin85362%85.082.4+2.6
5 UALR73443%82.382.4-0.1
6 Lindenwood73443%64.173.9-9.7
7 Eastern Illinois83538%66.164.4+1.8
8 Western Illinois83538%70.271.9-1.6
9 Southern Indiana82625%69.070.9-1.9
10 Tennessee Tech82625%67.477.8-10.4
11 Southeast Missouri State71614%60.680.3-19.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison770100%90.478.4+12.0
2 Appalachian State75271%77.064.7+12.3
3 Louisiana Lafayette85362%80.672.5+8.1
4 Georgia State63350%77.776.8+0.8
5 Old Dominion63350%68.270.2-2.0
6 Louisiana Monroe63350%67.072.5-5.5
7 South Alabama94544%70.776.9-6.2
8 Troy73443%85.070.6+14.4
9 Southern Miss73443%67.164.1+3.0
10 Texas State83538%64.170.9-6.8
11 Coastal Carolina62433%74.580.2-5.7
12 Marshall62433%74.081.2-7.2
13 Arkansas State72529%75.480.6-5.1
14 Georgia Southern7070%68.185.1-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR275077
Arkansas State313566
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