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UALR vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 90-64
52-32 38-32
Position#90
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game85.5
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#226
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game60.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#206
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
93-98
93
98
-5
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-40
38-42
28-27
41-42
40-32
39-42
41-39
42-44
38-34
33-32
25-38
46-48
40-58
53-40
40-40
37-48
45-37
38-46
41-39
35-37
166.6Avg total
82.3Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.085.5166.5-4.533%
Season at home (3)84.785.7170.3-1.033%
Season away (3)77.385.3162.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)82.384.3166.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)83.089.4172.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.981.4158.3-4.631%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.880.1155.9-4.412%
vs Weaker (5)78.879.6158.4-0.860%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
70-90
70
90
-20
H09/03
NCAA
Goshen
#671
W
101-40
101
40
+61
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
50-74
50
74
-24
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
31-48
41-36
42-51
35-40
46-47
32-54
38-36
48-14
53-26
38-36
35-32
41-20
51-31
27-30
23-44
32-25
43-33
40-46
52-28
148.9Avg total
78.5Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.560.8141.3+19.783%
Season at home (5)86.658.2144.8+28.4100%
Season away (1)50.074.0124.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)78.570.4148.9+8.150%
Last 5 (5)76.465.0141.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.579.3157.8-0.850%
vs Similar ◀ (4)68.570.2138.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (20)78.267.9146.1+10.380%
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
UALRBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#206
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/11
NCAA
76.5Avg total
38.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.336.772.0-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.334.171.4+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)33.539.172.6-5.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.476.5-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)34.938.973.9-4.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.232.968.1+2.462%-
vs Weaker (5)35.239.274.4-4.060%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/03
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H09/03
NCAA
Goshen
#671
W
48-14
48
14
+34
H08/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H11/11
NCAA
Oakland City
#563
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H15/11
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#317
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
37.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.668.8+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.432.869.2+3.658%-
Last 30 away (11)35.732.468.1+3.473%-
Last 10 (10)37.132.869.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.631.467.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.337.071.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)31.233.564.8-2.250%-
vs Weaker (20)37.631.168.8+6.575%-
This opponent (UALR) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UALR wins
0
Ball State wins
No previous meetings.
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23ATulsa84-82 OT
22/11/23HGeorgia State90-93 OT
19/11/23AGeorgia State77-88
18/11/23HNorthern Illinois93-98
11/11/23AIllinois (Chi.)71-86
07/11/23HTexas State71-66
25/02/23ALindenwood96-97 OT
24/02/23ASiu Edwardsville79-74
18/02/23HEastern Illinois81-77 OT
17/02/23HSouthern Indiana81-82
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-74
22/11/23HUSC Upstate75-58
18/11/23AEvansville50-74
15/11/23HOakland City92-51
11/11/23HOld Dominion73-68
08/11/23HGoshen101-40
09/03/23HOhio70-90
03/03/23HToledo81-87
01/03/23AAkron83-87
25/02/23AEastern Michigan68-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game81.084.777.3
Allowed / game85.585.785.3
Point differential-4.5-1.0-8.0
Avg total166.5170.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %33%33%33%
Ball State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %83%100%0%
Points / game80.586.650.0
Allowed / game60.858.274.0
Point differential+19.7+28.4-24.0
Avg total141.3144.8124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State75271%76.969.0+7.9
2 UT Martin75271%86.080.1+5.9
3 Morehead State74357%72.768.0+4.7
4 Siu Edwardsville74357%68.768.0+0.7
5 Eastern Illinois73443%66.663.4+3.1
6 Lindenwood73443%64.173.9-9.7
7 UALR62433%81.085.5-4.5
8 Western Illinois72529%67.176.4-9.3
9 Tennessee Tech72529%66.976.6-9.7
10 Southeast Missouri State61517%63.381.3-18.0
11 Southern Indiana71614%63.674.0-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State65183%80.560.8+19.7
2 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
3 Northern Illinois75271%84.678.6+6.0
4 Akron64267%77.566.7+10.8
5 Ohio64267%82.274.7+7.5
6 Miami (Ohio)53260%71.864.0+7.8
7 Kent State74357%82.173.4+8.7
8 Bowling Green74357%72.069.7+2.3
9 Eastern Michigan74357%67.375.9-8.6
10 Toledo63350%81.376.7+4.7
11 Western Michigan62433%66.871.0-4.2
12 Central Michigan62433%64.874.5-9.7
13 Buffalo61517%70.584.0-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR523890
Ball State323264
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