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UALR vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 69-68
31-28 38-40
Position#90
Record14-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game75.6
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#34
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game61.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UALR v Morehead State
26 Feb 2026
UALR70
MORE76
09 Jan 2025
UALR53
MORE59
09 Mar 2024
UALR55
MORE69
15 Feb 2024
UALR69
MORE68
09 Feb 2023
UALR72
MORE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H06/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A13/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A19/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H26/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A02/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A03/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-30
49-50
48-41
40-49
40-41
32-36
42-37
35-38
41-26
39-40
30-33
36-28
33-31
33-37
31-24
40-23
40-25
37-32
23-33
40-27
142.9Avg total
74.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.475.6153.0+1.956%
Season at home (14)80.176.1156.2+3.964%
Season away (11)74.174.8148.9-0.745%
Last 10 (10)74.868.1142.9+6.770%
Last 5 (5)68.658.6127.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.780.0153.7-6.333%
vs Similar (14)77.678.0155.6-0.443%
vs Weaker (13)78.974.7153.6+4.269%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A12/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A13/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A20/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
64-50
64
50
+14
H27/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
68-49
68
49
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
36-37
36-23
42-29
20-28
28-33
49-26
35-40
42-28
39-42
28-20
36-30
35-22
33-27
31-25
36-35
37-26
42-42
36-28
33-29
131.7Avg total
71.6Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.861.8137.6+14.080%
Season at home (12)84.256.4140.6+27.8100%
Season away (13)68.166.8134.9+1.262%
Last 10 (10)71.660.1131.7+11.590%
Last 5 (5)69.456.8126.2+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.077.0136.0-18.00%
vs Similar (4)65.078.8143.8-13.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)76.459.0135.5+17.488%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +9.9+9.92nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +1.6+1.6
UALRMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H05/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H06/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H26/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A02/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A03/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A09/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.672.2+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.035.173.1+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)34.936.371.2-1.457%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.168.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)31.429.260.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.039.374.3-4.367%-
vs Similar (14)36.234.370.5+1.957%-
vs Weaker (13)37.336.273.5+1.162%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A12/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A13/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H19/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A02/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/02
NCAA
61.3Avg total
35.6Scored
25.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.329.264.5+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.526.966.4+12.6100%-
Last 30 away (16)31.731.262.9+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.625.761.3+9.990%-
Last 5 (5)33.424.257.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.039.066.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)32.537.570.0-5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.327.263.5+9.183%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UALR wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
10/02/23UALR v Morehead State72-68
27/01/23Morehead State v UALR76-72
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AWestern Illinois63-60
07/02/24HUT Martin77-57
03/02/24AEastern Illinois71-47
02/02/24ASiu Edwardsville66-68
27/01/24HSoutheast Missouri State66-61
26/01/24HLindenwood80-66
19/01/24ASouthern Indiana77-75
13/01/24AUT Martin72-77
06/01/24HEastern Illinois88-90
05/01/24HSiu Edwardsville88-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24HEastern Illinois69-57
09/02/24HSiu Edwardsville79-68
03/02/24ATennessee Tech67-60
02/02/24ATennessee State68-49
27/01/24HWestern Illinois64-50
20/01/24ASouthern Indiana81-70
19/01/24HUT Martin84-66
13/01/24ASiu Edwardsville48-61
12/01/24AEastern Illinois78-52
06/01/24HTennessee State78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %56%64%45%
Points / game77.480.174.1
Allowed / game75.676.174.8
Point differential+1.9+3.9-0.7
Avg total153.0156.2148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %80%100%62%
Points / game75.884.268.1
Allowed / game61.856.466.8
Point differential+14.0+27.8+1.2
Avg total137.6140.6134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2520580%75.861.8+14.0
2 Western Illinois25151060%69.665.0+4.6
3 UT Martin25151060%80.176.4+3.6
4 Tennessee State26151158%73.170.2+2.9
5 UALR25141156%77.475.6+1.9
6 Siu Edwardsville25131252%70.669.1+1.5
7 Eastern Illinois25111444%68.467.5+0.9
8 Tennessee Tech2691735%68.173.9-5.8
9 Southeast Missouri State2581732%67.772.8-5.1
10 Lindenwood2581732%65.171.4-6.3
11 Southern Indiana2571828%68.672.3-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR313869
Morehead State284068
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