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UALR vs Western Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 86-79
50-41 36-38
Position#295
Record8-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game76.2
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#366
Record4-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UALR v Western Illinois
17 Jan 2026
UALR86
WEST79
22 Feb 2025
UALR75
WEST61
08 Mar 2024
UALR82
WEST57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H07/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
58-90
58
90
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A19/12
NCAA
Williams Baptist
#403
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H01/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H03/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
39-44
23-47
35-43
29-46
35-32
34-36
43-26
43-41
55-43
26-28
51-30
32-33
47-51
32-40
41-30
37-31
45-43
30-37
44-26
151.3Avg total
76.0Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.976.2147.2-5.344%
Season at home (6)83.073.7156.7+9.367%
Season away (12)64.977.5142.4-12.633%
Last 10 (10)76.075.3151.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.069.8146.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.577.8142.3-13.317%
vs Similar (11)72.872.5145.4+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.064.7140.7+11.383%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
L
57-108
57
108
-51
A03/12
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#472
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
69-66 OT
69
66
+3
A13/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A19/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H22/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A03/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H09/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-54
29-54
32-22
46-25
32-28
28-32
28-42
48-50
28-24
33-42
31-29
29-38
27-34
23-39
28-42
40-48
26-18
28-41
24-29
31-28
135.3Avg total
62.8Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)65.273.5138.7-8.322%
Season at home (8)69.670.0139.6-0.438%
Season away (10)61.776.3138.0-14.610%
Last 10 (10)62.872.5135.3-9.720%
Last 5 (5)57.469.2126.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)62.376.1138.4-13.95%
vs Similar (6)74.070.7144.7+3.367%
vs Weaker (1)74.063.0137.0+11.0100%
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -6.2-6.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -3.8-3.82nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -6.2-6.2
UALRWestern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A10/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A19/12
NCAA
Williams Baptist
#403
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A09/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
32.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.137.569.6-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.436.871.2-2.515%-
Last 30 away (17)30.438.168.4-7.729%-
Last 10 (10)32.538.571.0-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.865.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.238.266.3-10.017%-
vs Similar (11)33.537.270.6-3.718%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)35.736.372.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#271
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A03/12
NCAA
Hannibal-LaGrange
#472
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H06/12
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A19/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H22/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A01/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
26-18
26
18
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/01
NCAA
60.6Avg total
28.4Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.633.664.2-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.731.261.9-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)30.536.066.5-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)28.432.260.6-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)27.230.457.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.534.764.1-5.229%-
vs Similar (6)33.332.766.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (1)34.036.070.0-2.00%-
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UALR wins
0
Western Illinois wins
DateGameScore
22/02/25UALR v Western Illinois75-61
24/01/25Western Illinois v UALR51-62
09/03/24UALR v Western Illinois82-57
09/02/24Western Illinois v UALR60-63
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26HEastern Illinois74-63
10/01/26ALindenwood82-74
09/01/26ASiu Edwardsville73-70
03/01/26HTennessee State79-84
01/01/26HTennessee Tech77-58
23/12/25HWilliams Baptist98-84
19/12/25ASouthern Indiana77-62
17/12/25AMorehead State64-78
10/12/25AWest Virginia58-90
07/12/25HArkansas State78-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26AEastern Illinois55-57
10/01/26HTennessee Tech54-59
09/01/26HTennessee State68-90
03/01/26ASoutheast Missouri State50-73
01/01/26AUT Martin60-67
22/12/25HSiu Edwardsville61-66
19/12/25ALindenwood76-92
13/12/25ANorth Dakota69-66 OT
06/12/25HHannibal-LaGrange78-47
03/12/25ADrake57-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game70.983.064.9
Allowed / game76.273.777.5
Point differential-5.3+9.3-12.6
Avg total147.2156.7142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%67%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Illinois
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWWLLL38%
AwayWLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %22%38%10%
Points / game65.269.661.7
Allowed / game73.570.076.3
Point differential-8.3-0.4-14.6
Avg total138.7139.6138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin1814478%74.364.7+9.7
2 Tennessee State1711665%81.977.1+4.8
3 Lindenwood1811761%81.372.1+9.3
4 Siu Edwardsville1810856%73.666.2+7.4
5 Southeast Missouri State189950%77.774.6+3.1
6 Morehead State1881044%77.478.5-1.1
7 UALR1881044%70.976.2-5.3
8 Tennessee Tech1871139%74.776.6-1.9
9 Eastern Illinois1871139%65.671.6-6.1
10 Southern Indiana1741324%70.474.8-4.4
11 Western Illinois1841422%65.273.5-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR503686
Western Illinois413879
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