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UALR vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 78-90
39-46 39-44
Position#295
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#98
Record6-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game79.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UALR v Arkansas State
06 Dec 2025
UALR78
ARKA90
01 Dec 2023
UALR77
ARKA66
13 Feb 2021
UALR65
ARKA67
08 Feb 2020
UALR90
ARKA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#263
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
49-89
49
89
-40
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
47-85
47
85
-38
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
46-40
36-37
29-40
30-38
37-42
55-21
38-41
34-51
29-46
20-43
37-35
31-27
23-43
45-46
26-28
30-37
33-29
32-45
19-53
28-32
143.2Avg total
65.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)64.677.4142.0-12.825%
Season at home (1)92.063.0155.0+29.0100%
Season away (7)60.779.4140.1-18.714%
Last 10 (10)65.877.4143.2-11.630%
Last 5 (5)60.875.0135.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)59.074.1133.1-15.114%
vs Similar (12)71.272.3143.5-1.250%
vs Weaker (11)70.962.1133.0+8.873%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#3
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H28/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H03/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-34
0-0
30-31
0-0
32-39
0-0
57-46
0-0
31-46
0-0
34-44
0-0
33-46
0-0
53-39
0-0
45-28
0-0
50-39
0-0
39-47
0-0
33-38
0-0
30-50
0-0
39-50
0-0
38-32
0-0
36-31
0-0
39-35
0-0
31-35
0-0
39-21
0-0
44-42
156.4Avg total
78.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.879.8159.6+0.067%
Season at home (4)84.268.2152.5+16.0100%
Season away (5)76.289.0165.2-12.840%
Last 10 (10)78.178.3156.4-0.260%
Last 5 (5)76.678.2154.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.085.0159.0-11.033%
vs Similar (10)72.875.2148.0-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.669.2151.8+13.487%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.0-8.01st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.0-8.01st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -3.6-3.62nd half: +1.2+1.2
UALRArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Martin
#263
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#405
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
19-53
19
53
-34
A04/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
31.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.465.8-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.532.664.1-1.125%-
Last 30 away (18)31.335.766.9-4.439%-
Last 10 (10)31.739.771.4-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)27.637.665.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.134.961.0-8.729%-
vs Similar (12)33.736.269.9-2.633%-
vs Weaker (11)32.232.264.4+0.036%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A23/03
NIT
Ohio
#241
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Christian Brothers Buccaneers
#456
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H16/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H25/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H28/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#150
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H03/12
NCAA
73.7Avg total
35.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.272.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.329.469.6+10.993%-
Last 30 away (16)36.138.574.6-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.873.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.342.779.0-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)34.635.369.9-0.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.532.171.5+7.473%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UALR wins
4
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24Arkansas State v UALR80-63
02/12/23UALR v Arkansas State77-66
22/12/22Arkansas State v UALR77-75
13/02/21UALR v Arkansas State65-67
13/02/21Arkansas State v UALR73-62
22/02/20Arkansas State v UALR78-81
08/02/20UALR v Arkansas State90-87
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25ACentral Arkansas47-85
30/11/25ASouthern Illinois65-74
22/11/25ATexas State56-65
19/11/25AMurray State68-89
16/11/25ABall State68-62
13/11/25AMarquette49-89
11/11/25AWisc. Milwaukee72-92
05/11/25HArkansas Baptist92-63
08/03/25ASoutheast Missouri State59-78
07/03/25HUT Martin82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HUT Arlington83-63
28/11/25HNorth Dakota St85-80 OT
25/11/25HJacksonville State74-63
22/11/25ASMU Mustangs69-100
20/11/25ASt. Marys (CA)72-85
16/11/25HChristian Brothers Buccaneers95-67
12/11/25AMissouri State86-85
08/11/25AStephen F. Austin65-90
04/11/25AOhio89-85
23/03/25ANorth Texas63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games817
Win %25%100%14%
Points / game64.692.060.7
Allowed / game77.463.079.4
Point differential-12.8+29.0-18.7
Avg total142.0155.0140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game79.884.276.2
Allowed / game79.868.289.0
Point differential+0.0+16.0-12.8
Avg total159.6152.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin86275%76.465.1+11.2
2 Siu Edwardsville106460%76.467.3+9.1
3 Tennessee State95456%81.376.8+4.6
4 Lindenwood95456%78.276.3+1.9
5 Southeast Missouri State104640%77.576.7+0.8
6 Tennessee Tech104640%78.878.8+0.0
7 Southern Indiana93633%75.877.8-2.0
8 Morehead State103730%76.182.5-6.4
9 Western Illinois103730%68.175.3-7.2
10 UALR82625%64.677.4-12.8
11 Eastern Illinois82625%62.177.8-15.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State96367%79.879.8+0.0
2 James Madison117464%75.174.2+0.9
3 Coastal Carolina106460%76.570.5+6.0
4 South Alabama106460%74.470.1+4.3
5 Southern Miss95456%79.073.9+5.1
6 Marshall95456%80.179.6+0.6
7 Troy116555%89.379.5+9.7
8 Texas State116555%73.565.5+8.1
9 Georgia Southern116555%80.380.0+0.3
10 Appalachian State105550%74.567.2+7.3
11 Old Dominion103730%75.378.6-3.3
12 Louisiana Monroe82625%70.478.2-7.9
13 Georgia State101910%64.176.9-12.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette101910%57.471.7-14.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR393978
Arkansas State464490
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