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UALR vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 79-84
32-33 47-51
Position#295
Record5-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#51
Record8-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game76.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UALR v Tennessee State
03 Jan 2026
UALR79
TENN84
30 Jan 2025
UALR70
TENN72
29 Feb 2024
UALR85
TENN60
21 Jan 2023
UALR89
TENN77
10 Dec 2019
UALR86
TENN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
47-85
47
85
-38
A04/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H07/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
58-90
58
90
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
64-78
64
78
-14
A17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A19/12
NCAA
Williams Baptist
#403
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-43
45-46
26-28
30-37
33-29
32-45
19-53
28-32
39-46
39-44
23-47
35-43
29-46
35-32
34-36
43-26
43-41
55-43
26-28
51-30
146.3Avg total
68.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.277.2146.4-8.036%
Season at home (4)86.273.8160.0+12.575%
Season away (10)62.478.6141.0-16.220%
Last 10 (10)68.877.5146.3-8.730%
Last 5 (5)74.874.4149.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)60.078.4138.4-18.40%
vs Similar (11)73.271.0144.2+2.255%
vs Weaker (9)72.162.9135.0+9.278%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H29/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A30/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A04/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A14/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-51
39-44
21-43
39-46
34-40
41-33
42-38
56-39
42-33
28-31
27-32
26-48
29-33
34-27
32-37
46-34
37-44
45-47
44-33
44-43
152.5Avg total
74.9Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.276.1156.3+4.262%
Season at home (5)94.673.0167.6+21.680%
Season away (8)71.278.0149.2-6.850%
Last 10 (10)74.977.6152.5-2.760%
Last 5 (5)72.875.6148.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)77.382.4159.8-5.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.266.7145.8+12.589%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -10.2-10.21st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -10.2-10.21st half: -3.3-3.32nd half2nd half: +1.5+1.52nd half: +0.6+0.6
UALRTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#102
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
19-53
19
53
-34
A04/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A10/12
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A19/12
NCAA
Williams Baptist
#403
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H01/01
NCAA
69.2Avg total
29.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.236.568.7-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.035.869.8-1.825%-
Last 30 away (18)31.037.068.0-6.033%-
Last 10 (10)29.539.769.2-10.220%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.670.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)26.339.365.7-13.011%-
vs Similar (11)34.536.571.0-1.927%-
vs Weaker (9)34.033.367.3+0.744%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#151
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/11
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A14/12
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H19/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A31/12
NCAA
73.5Avg total
35.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.433.069.4+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.632.070.6+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)34.433.968.4+0.544%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.473.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.835.869.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)34.436.470.8-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.730.868.4+6.978%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UALR wins
4
Tennessee State wins
DateGameScore
31/01/25UALR v Tennessee State70-72
04/01/25Tennessee State v UALR95-86
01/03/24UALR v Tennessee State85-60
30/12/23Tennessee State v UALR90-82
21/01/23UALR v Tennessee State89-77
31/12/22Tennessee State v UALR94-69
11/12/19UALR v Tennessee State86-62
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26HTennessee Tech77-58
23/12/25HWilliams Baptist98-84
19/12/25ASouthern Indiana77-62
17/12/25AMorehead State64-78
10/12/25AWest Virginia58-90
07/12/25HArkansas State78-90
04/12/25ACentral Arkansas47-85
30/11/25ASouthern Illinois65-74
22/11/25ATexas State56-65
19/11/25AMurray State68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/25ATennessee Tech88-76
20/12/25HSoutheast Missouri State82-91
19/12/25HUT Martin78-71
14/12/25AUNLV63-60
04/12/25AAlabama A&M Bulldogs53-80
30/11/25AChattanooga Mocs70-64
29/11/25HWesleyan Univ.98-77
25/11/25AUNC Asheville75-73
21/11/25ATennessee60-89
16/11/25AWestern Kentucky82-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW36%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %36%75%20%
Points / game69.286.262.4
Allowed / game77.273.878.6
Point differential-8.0+12.5-16.2
Avg total146.4160.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%75%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%80%50%
Points / game80.294.671.2
Allowed / game76.173.078.0
Point differential+4.2+21.6-6.8
Avg total156.3167.6149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%60%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin1410471%75.665.7+9.9
2 Lindenwood149564%82.670.9+11.7
3 Siu Edwardsville149564%75.665.6+9.9
4 Tennessee State138562%80.276.1+4.2
5 Southeast Missouri State147750%78.375.6+2.7
6 Morehead State146843%77.377.9-0.6
7 Tennessee Tech156940%78.078.8-0.8
8 UALR145936%69.277.2-8.0
9 Eastern Illinois134931%65.774.2-8.5
10 Western Illinois1441029%67.674.6-6.9
11 Southern Indiana1331023%70.375.2-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR324779
Tennessee State335184
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