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UC Davis vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-71
29-30 37-41
Position#231
Record15-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#265
Record11-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game73.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Davis v CSU Bakersfield
03 Jan 2026
UC D79
CSU 81
20 Feb 2025
UC D66
CSU 71
13 Jan 2024
UC D78
CSU 71
07 Jan 2023
UC D67
CSU 48
19 Feb 2022
UC D81
CSU 79
11 Mar 2021
UC D58
CSU 56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A17/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A18/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H24/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A31/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
73-65 OT
73
65
+8
A07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A09/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
42-52
31-26
34-28
29-17
35-43
25-23
43-43
26-24
32-36
34-33
32-40
29-30
30-29
34-23
31-26
40-43
35-31
31-52
29-33
133.7Avg total
66.7Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)68.769.0137.6-0.358%
Season at home (10)74.566.1140.6+8.480%
Season away (16)65.070.8135.8-5.844%
Last 10 (10)66.767.0133.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)67.869.2137.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.472.7137.1-8.340%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.669.9139.5-0.464%
vs Weaker (6)77.261.2138.3+16.083%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#60
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H12/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A19/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A24/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H31/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A02/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H07/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A09/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H14/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
91-54
91
54
+37
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-49
60-41
35-42
35-39
31-26
40-42
44-41
35-42
37-45
44-45
22-44
40-44
38-44
37-37
41-36
23-33
19-31
35-42
50-27
41-27
151.8Avg total
74.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.073.1147.0+0.941%
Season at home (15)80.468.9149.3+11.560%
Season away (12)65.978.2144.2-12.317%
Last 10 (10)74.177.7151.8-3.630%
Last 5 (5)69.273.0142.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.180.7148.8-12.620%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.776.2145.8-6.517%
vs Weaker (8)85.458.1143.5+27.2100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -0.2-0.2
UC DavisCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A17/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
29-17
29
17
+12
A18/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H24/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A31/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A09/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A16/02
NCAA
61.3Avg total
31.0Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.865.0+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.728.563.2+6.258%-
Last 30 away (18)32.234.166.2-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)31.030.361.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.269.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.335.167.4-2.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)31.732.163.8-0.457%-
vs Weaker (6)38.025.863.8+12.267%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#60
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H12/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A19/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A24/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H31/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A02/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
19-31
19
31
-12
H14/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H15/02
NCAA
73.6Avg total
35.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.836.170.9-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.533.071.5+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.139.170.3-8.027%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.573.6-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.470.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)28.741.570.2-12.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.835.869.6-1.950%-
vs Weaker (8)43.929.873.6+14.188%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
UC Davis wins
2
CSU Bakersfield wins
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25AUC San Diego60-85
14/02/25HUC Riverside75-74
09/02/25ACS Fullerton65-49
07/02/25ALong Beach State73-65 OT
01/02/25AUC Irvine66-73
31/01/25AUC Riverside58-60
24/01/25HHawaii68-66
18/01/25AUC Santa Barbara64-60
17/01/25ACal Poly65-54
11/01/25HLong Beach State73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HCS Fullerton91-54
14/02/25HUC San Diego54-73
09/02/25AUC Riverside64-69
07/02/25HUC Santa Barbara75-81
02/02/25ACS Northridge62-88
31/01/25HCal Poly81-90
26/01/25HUC Riverside79-83
24/01/25ACS Fullerton71-68
19/01/25AHawaii70-81
12/01/25HCS Northridge94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261016
Win %58%80%44%
Points / game68.774.565.0
Allowed / game69.066.170.8
Point differential-0.3+8.4-5.8
Avg total137.6140.6135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%6%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeLLLLW60%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %41%60%17%
Points / game74.080.465.9
Allowed / game73.168.978.2
Point differential+0.9+11.5-12.3
Avg total147.0149.3144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%40%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego2622485%80.362.5+17.8
2 UC Irvine2622485%74.965.1+9.8
3 CS Northridge2518772%81.071.4+9.5
4 UC Riverside27171063%73.072.6+0.3
5 UC Santa Barbara26161062%73.967.1+6.8
6 UC Davis26151158%68.769.0-0.3
7 Hawaii26141254%70.769.8+0.9
8 CSU Bakersfield27111641%74.073.1+0.9
9 Cal Poly26101638%79.883.3-3.5
10 Long Beach State2671927%67.373.8-6.4
11 CS Fullerton2762122%64.575.9-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis293766
CSU Bakersfield304171
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