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UC Davis vs Long Beach State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-84
31-32 42-52
Position#231
Record9-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#347
Record6-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Davis v Long Beach State
14 Feb 2026
UC D71
LONG54
11 Jan 2025
UC D73
LONG84
16 Mar 2024
UC D70
LONG74
15 Feb 2024
UC D74
LONG78
04 Mar 2023
UC D93
LONG92
29 Jan 2022
UC D63
LONG70
13 Feb 2021
UC D78
LONG76
12 Feb 2021
UC D68
LONG66
29 Feb 2020
UC D77
LONG76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Long Beach State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
L
57-90
57
90
-33
A01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H06/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A15/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
46-85
46
85
-39
A21/12
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
109-46
109
46
+63
H29/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A04/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-44
26-46
30-31
47-35
28-28
43-32
35-32
34-30
32-25
42-41
19-43
27-42
61-20
48-26
27-30
37-45
25-34
36-39
34-20
29-33
136.7Avg total
69.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.970.2140.1-0.356%
Season at home (7)75.662.4138.0+13.186%
Season away (9)65.476.2141.7-10.833%
Last 10 (10)69.167.6136.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)68.666.4135.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.175.1139.2-11.038%
vs Similar (18)70.071.5141.5-1.556%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)77.855.2133.0+22.5100%
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
48-71
48
71
-23
H26/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
44-70
44
70
-26
H27/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
66-82
66
82
-16
H28/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A06/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A11/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A20/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#460
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H22/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
60-76
60
76
-16
H03/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-35
24-36
23-37
21-33
36-38
30-44
33-24
40-32
37-32
39-36
33-30
43-40
45-36
34-40
31-24
52-33
32-38
28-38
30-39
35-41
137.6Avg total
67.0Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.771.1137.8-4.438%
Season at home (9)66.767.4134.1-0.833%
Season away (7)66.775.7142.4-9.043%
Last 10 (10)67.070.6137.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)72.671.8144.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.678.2141.8-14.623%
vs Similar (13)75.272.6147.8+2.554%
vs Weaker (4)81.557.2138.8+24.2100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -2.7-2.7
UC DavisLong Beach State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A21/12
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
61-20
61
20
+41
H29/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A04/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H10/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
32.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.166.7+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.829.864.6+5.057%-
Last 30 away (16)32.735.968.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.762.9+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.462.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.135.969.0-2.825%-
vs Similar (18)32.634.066.6-1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.823.263.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (Long Beach State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Long Beach StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H26/11
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H27/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H28/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H07/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A20/12
NCAA
La Sierra
#460
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H22/12
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H03/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A05/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
32.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.268.9-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.634.668.2-1.038%-
Last 30 away (14)33.835.969.6-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)32.433.365.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.467.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)31.337.769.0-6.415%-
vs Similar (13)35.035.270.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker (4)37.227.064.2+10.2100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
UC Davis wins
5
Long Beach State wins
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HCS Fullerton63-53
04/01/25ACS Northridge61-73
03/01/25ACSU Bakersfield64-75
29/12/24HCalifornia Maritime109-46
21/12/24APepperdine46-85
19/12/24HIdaho74-66
15/12/24ASacramento State69-62
08/12/24HUC Santa Barbara71-60
06/12/24HCal Poly77-66
01/12/24AOregon State57-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ACSU Bakersfield65-80
03/01/25HUC Riverside60-76
22/12/24HLa Sierra83-57
20/12/24APepperdine79-76
11/12/24ASan Diego Toreros76-70
07/12/24HHawaii76-68
06/12/24ACS Fullerton73-56
28/11/24HSan Jose State66-82
27/11/24HUTEP44-70
26/11/24HNC Greensboro48-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%86%33%
Points / game69.975.665.4
Allowed / game70.262.476.2
Point differential-0.3+13.1-10.8
Avg total140.1138.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Long Beach State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL38%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game66.766.766.7
Allowed / game71.167.475.7
Point differential-4.4-0.8-9.0
Avg total137.8134.1142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego1614288%82.062.2+19.8
2 UC Irvine1614288%75.364.6+10.8
3 CS Northridge1611569%80.869.8+11.1
4 Hawaii1611569%74.169.4+4.6
5 UC Santa Barbara1510567%75.564.7+10.8
6 UC Riverside1710759%71.872.7-0.9
7 UC Davis169756%69.970.2-0.3
8 CSU Bakersfield178947%73.970.4+3.5
9 Long Beach State1661038%66.771.1-4.4
10 Cal Poly1761135%81.685.9-4.4
11 CS Fullerton1851328%63.873.8-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis314273
Long Beach State325284
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