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Cal Poly vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 54-65
26-31 28-34
Position#235
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#231
Record9-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Davis
10 Jan 2026
CAL 84
UC D78
16 Jan 2025
CAL 54
UC D65
03 Feb 2024
CAL 52
UC D59
25 Feb 2023
CAL 52
UC D58
15 Jan 2022
CAL 82
UC D74
27 Feb 2021
CAL 66
UC D68
26 Feb 2021
CAL 61
UC D69
20 Feb 2020
CAL 62
UC D77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A22/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A10/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
63-47
31-30
35-47
34-51
57-51
40-45
51-46
28-39
48-37
38-43
44-43
38-49
42-31
22-27
33-41
42-38
26-57
25-34
47-41
170.7Avg total
81.5Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.185.3166.4-4.333%
Season at home (7)86.183.6169.7+2.657%
Season away (11)77.886.5164.3-8.618%
Last 10 (10)81.589.2170.7-7.720%
Last 5 (5)73.284.4157.6-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.580.7150.3-11.25%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.785.4166.1-4.833%
vs Weaker (2)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H06/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A15/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
46-85
46
85
-39
A21/12
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
109-46
109
46
+63
H29/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A04/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
73-84
73
84
-11
H11/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
47-35
28-28
43-32
35-32
34-30
32-25
42-41
19-43
27-42
61-20
48-26
27-30
37-45
25-34
36-39
34-20
29-33
31-32
42-52
137.7Avg total
70.7Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.171.0141.1-0.953%
Season at home (8)75.265.1140.4+10.175%
Season away (9)65.476.2141.7-10.833%
Last 10 (10)70.767.0137.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)74.066.2140.2+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.972.7137.6-7.943%
vs Similar ◀ (18)70.071.5141.5-1.556%
vs Weaker (5)76.861.0137.8+15.880%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.7-6.71st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +1.0+1.0
Cal PolyUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H03/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A05/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H12/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
33.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.737.570.1-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.236.468.7-4.233%-
Last 30 away (18)32.938.271.1-5.217%-
Last 10 (10)33.239.973.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.038.271.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.337.368.5-6.016%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.337.973.2-2.633%-
vs Weaker (2)34.037.571.5-3.550%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H06/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H19/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
19-43
19
43
-24
A21/12
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
61-20
61
20
+41
H29/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A03/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A04/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H10/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H11/01
NCAA
61.7Avg total
32.2Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.532.966.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.429.463.8+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)32.735.968.6-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)32.229.561.7+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.262.8+8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.735.668.3-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)32.634.066.6-1.444%-
vs Weaker (5)38.025.063.0+13.080%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
9
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
06/12/24UC Davis v Cal Poly77-66
03/02/24Cal Poly v UC Davis52-59
30/12/23UC Davis v Cal Poly71-46
25/02/23Cal Poly v UC Davis52-58
21/01/23UC Davis v Cal Poly65-63
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
21/02/20Cal Poly v UC Davis62-77
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HUC Santa Barbara72-75
10/01/25AUC San Diego68-95
05/01/25AHawaii55-68
03/01/25HUC Irvine89-98 OT
22/12/24ANebraska O.82-86
18/12/24HDenver95-94 OT
15/12/24ASan Jose State100-107 OT
08/12/24HCS Northridge91-102
06/12/24AUC Davis66-77
01/12/24AStanford97-90
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HLong Beach State73-84
10/01/25HCS Fullerton63-53
04/01/25ACS Northridge61-73
03/01/25ACSU Bakersfield64-75
29/12/24HCalifornia Maritime109-46
21/12/24APepperdine46-85
19/12/24HIdaho74-66
15/12/24ASacramento State69-62
08/12/24HUC Santa Barbara71-60
06/12/24HCal Poly77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %33%57%18%
Points / game81.186.177.8
Allowed / game85.383.686.5
Point differential-4.3+2.6-8.6
Avg total166.4169.7164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %17%29%9%
UC Davis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%75%33%
Points / game70.175.265.4
Allowed / game71.065.176.2
Point differential-0.9+10.1-10.8
Avg total141.1140.4141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine1715288%74.463.8+10.6
2 UC San Diego1714382%80.262.1+18.2
3 UC Santa Barbara1611569%75.565.2+10.3
4 Hawaii1611569%74.169.4+4.6
5 CS Northridge1711665%81.471.2+10.2
6 UC Riverside1710759%71.872.7-0.9
7 UC Davis179853%70.171.0-0.9
8 CSU Bakersfield189950%75.071.4+3.6
9 Long Beach State1771041%67.771.2-3.5
10 Cal Poly1861233%81.185.3-4.3
11 CS Fullerton1851328%63.873.8-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly262854
UC Davis313465
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