PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UC Irvine vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 04:45
Final 77-71
39-32 38-39
Position#37
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#107
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Irvine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#88
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A03/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H09/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Oregon
#5
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A16/03
NIT
San Jose State
#335
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A08/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
91-74
91
74
+17
H12/11
NCAA
USC
#249
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/11
NCAA
Occidental
#606
W
111-51
111
51
+60
H18/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-30
0-0
39-35
0-0
29-18
0-0
23-26
0-0
36-18
0-0
39-33
0-0
39-39
0-0
41-44
0-0
22-35
0-0
36-49
0-0
24-24
0-0
40-48
0-0
49-37
0-0
42-37
0-0
29-26
0-0
41-34
0-0
54-23
0-0
57-28
0-0
34-30
0-0
42-30
139.6Avg total
75.2Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.463.4145.8+19.080%
Season at home (3)92.761.7154.3+31.0100%
Season away (2)67.066.0133.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)75.264.4139.6+10.870%
Last 5 (5)82.463.4145.8+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)67.566.0133.5+1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)75.467.3142.7+8.070%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
99-65
99
65
+34
A01/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#9
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
94-60
94
60
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
45-34
0-0
54-31
0-0
40-35
0-0
47-46
0-0
48-33
0-0
43-42
0-0
37-31
0-0
45-44
0-0
34-35
0-0
44-58
0-0
42-40
0-0
38-50
0-0
51-35
0-0
43-25
0-0
34-45
0-0
53-33
0-0
41-40
0-0
37-37
0-0
32-42
0-0
52-50
164.6Avg total
86.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.876.8162.5+9.075%
Season at home (3)88.376.7165.0+11.767%
Season away (1)78.077.0155.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.078.6164.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)84.679.4164.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
vs Similar (10)81.578.2159.7+3.370%
vs Weaker (17)87.473.0160.4+14.494%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +4.0+4.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +4.0+4.0
UC IrvineToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#88
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H05/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H09/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Oregon
#5
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A16/03
NIT
San Jose State
#335
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A08/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H12/11
NCAA
USC
#249
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A15/11
NCAA
Occidental
#606
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H18/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H22/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
35.2Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.430.965.3+3.662%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.529.265.7+7.373%-
Last 30 away (14)32.232.664.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.228.063.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.028.066.0+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.532.064.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)35.130.665.7+4.565%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/03
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Michigan
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A14/03
NIT
Detroit
#370
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A15/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/11
NCAA
77.4Avg total
40.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.133.474.4+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.932.874.7+9.276%-
Last 30 away (13)39.934.274.1+5.885%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.077.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)32.042.074.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.333.973.2+5.470%-
vs Weaker (17)42.232.174.2+10.188%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Irvine wins
0
Toledo wins
No previous meetings.
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HPepperdine76-60
18/11/23HOccidental111-51
15/11/23AUSC70-60
12/11/23HNew Mexico State91-74
08/11/23ASan Jose State64-72
16/03/23AOregon58-84
11/03/23HCS Fullerton80-83
09/03/23HCSU Bakersfield75-51
05/03/23HCSU Bakersfield52-44
03/03/23AUC Riverside75-65
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HNew Mexico84-92
15/11/23AWright State78-77
12/11/23HLouisiana Lafayette87-78
07/11/23HDetroit94-60
14/03/23AMichigan80-90
12/03/23HKent State78-93
10/03/23HOhio82-75
09/03/23HMiami (FL)91-75
03/03/23ABall State87-81
01/03/23ACentral Michigan99-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Irvine
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game82.492.767.0
Allowed / game63.461.766.0
Point differential+19.0+31.0+1.0
Avg total145.8154.3133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game85.888.378.0
Allowed / game76.876.777.0
Point differential+9.0+11.7+1.0
Avg total162.5165.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%88.265.5+22.8
2 Hawaii220100%81.067.0+14.0
3 UC Irvine54180%82.463.4+19.0
4 UC Davis32167%70.769.7+1.0
5 CS Northridge53260%79.474.4+5.0
6 UC Santa Barbara42250%84.880.5+4.2
7 CSU Bakersfield63350%64.569.0-4.5
8 Long Beach State73443%76.379.1-2.9
9 CS Fullerton52340%64.671.6-7.0
10 Cal Poly62433%66.373.2-6.8
11 UC Riverside62433%64.773.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State54180%78.258.2+20.0
2 Northern Illinois54180%87.276.4+10.8
3 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
4 Toledo43175%85.876.8+9.0
5 Kent State64267%82.871.7+11.2
6 Ohio32167%79.068.0+11.0
7 Akron64267%77.566.7+10.8
8 Miami (Ohio)32167%72.362.3+10.0
9 Eastern Michigan53260%65.477.6-12.2
10 Bowling Green42250%70.070.5-0.5
11 Central Michigan62433%64.874.5-9.7
12 Buffalo61517%70.584.0-13.5
13 Western Michigan4040%65.273.2-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Irvine393877
Toledo323971
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.