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Toledo vs Ohio Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 82-75
37-31 45-44
Position#18
Record26-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game76.0
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Ohio
USA
Position#133
Record19-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Toledo v Ohio
13 Jan 2026
TOLE101
OHIO85
13 Mar 2025
TOLE90
OHIO85
07 Mar 2025
TOLE96
OHIO82
16 Feb 2024
TOLE85
OHIO83
10 Mar 2023
TOLE82
OHIO75
17 Jan 2023
TOLE90
OHIO75
08 Feb 2022
TOLE77
OHIO62
12 Mar 2021
TOLE80
OHIO87
08 Jan 2021
TOLE95
OHIO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ohio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
84-59
84
59
+25
H05/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
99-65
99
65
+34
A01/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
49-21
35-38
37-28
47-46
34-31
36-32
47-31
42-40
32-34
59-52
37-24
47-39
56-36
45-35
45-34
54-31
40-35
47-46
48-33
43-42
158.8Avg total
88.0Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.976.0161.9+9.981%
Season at home (17)89.875.8165.5+14.088%
Season away (15)81.576.3157.9+5.273%
Last 10 (10)88.070.8158.8+17.2100%
Last 5 (5)92.471.0163.4+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.776.5158.2+5.267%
vs Weaker (23)86.075.3161.3+10.783%
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A25/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H04/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
45-39
46-39
36-37
44-40
46-41
34-22
51-39
38-30
38-29
37-37
40-31
38-40
30-45
39-35
36-47
54-26
38-32
54-32
36-38
152.1Avg total
81.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.072.8151.8+6.159%
Season at home (15)83.565.7149.1+17.893%
Season away (17)75.079.2154.2-4.229%
Last 10 (10)81.370.8152.1+10.580%
Last 5 (5)80.472.6153.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.578.5151.0-6.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.376.6151.9-1.350%
vs Weaker (16)83.469.4152.8+13.975%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.8+11.81st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: +11.8+11.81st half: +8.7+8.72nd half2nd half: +5.4+5.42nd half: +1.8+1.8
ToledoOhio
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#324
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H05/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H15/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
73.2Avg total
42.5Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.532.273.8+9.387%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.731.475.1+12.393%-
Last 30 away (15)39.433.172.5+6.380%-
Last 10 (10)42.530.773.2+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.477.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.231.372.5+9.883%-
vs Weaker (23)41.332.373.7+9.087%-
This opponent (Ohio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OhioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H11/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Kent State
#17
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A09/03
NCAA
74.7Avg total
41.7Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.974.1+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.029.471.4+12.686%-
Last 30 away (16)36.839.776.4-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.733.074.7+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.078.4+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.034.868.8-0.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.737.473.1-1.740%-
vs Weaker (16)42.733.376.0+9.469%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Toledo wins
1
Ohio wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Toledo v Ohio90-75
09/02/22Toledo v Ohio77-62
21/01/22Ohio v Toledo69-87
12/03/21Toledo v Ohio80-87
08/01/21Toledo v Ohio95-78
22/01/20Ohio v Toledo74-83
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HMiami (FL)91-75
03/03/23ABall State87-81
01/03/23ACentral Michigan99-65
25/02/23HBuffalo101-71
22/02/23HAkron84-63
18/02/23ABowling Green91-86
15/02/23HMiami (FL)89-71
12/02/23AEastern Michigan70-63
08/02/23AAkron84-74
05/02/23HCentral Michigan84-59
Ohiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23ABall State90-70
04/03/23HBowling Green92-58
01/03/23AKent State75-82
25/02/23AMiami (FL)68-85
22/02/23HNorthern Illinois77-68
18/02/23ACentral Michigan76-59
15/02/23HBuffalo85-61
11/02/23HAkron90-81
08/02/23ANorthern Illinois82-76
04/02/23HMiami (FL)78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %81%88%73%
Points / game85.989.881.5
Allowed / game76.075.876.3
Point differential+9.9+14.0+5.2
Avg total161.9165.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ohio
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW59%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %59%93%29%
Points / game79.083.575.0
Allowed / game72.865.779.2
Point differential+6.1+17.8-4.2
Avg total151.8149.1154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%73%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State3226681%76.065.1+10.9
2 Toledo3226681%85.976.0+9.9
3 Akron3223972%75.366.0+9.3
4 Ball State32201262%76.471.6+4.8
5 Ohio32191359%79.072.8+6.1
6 UMass31151648%69.871.4-1.6
7 Buffalo32151747%77.577.7-0.1
8 Northern Illinois32131941%72.075.0-3.0
9 Bowling Green31112035%76.078.5-2.5
10 Central Michigan31102132%65.773.0-7.3
11 Western Michigan3182326%69.974.0-4.2
12 Eastern Michigan3182326%72.280.8-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo374582
Ohio314475
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