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Toledo vs Kent State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 78-93
34-35 44-58
Position#18
Record27-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game76.0
Toledo
USA
vs
Kent State 🏆
USA
Position#17
Record27-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Toledo v Kent State
05 Dec 2026
TOLE v KENT
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
TOLE72
KENT75
21 Jan 2025
TOLE64
KENT83
14 Mar 2024
TOLE59
KENT67
08 Mar 2024
TOLE86
KENT71
11 Mar 2023
TOLE78
KENT93
15 Feb 2022
TOLE59
KENT72
23 Jan 2021
TOLE76
KENT74
28 Jan 2020
TOLE70
KENT83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
99-65
99
65
+34
A01/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-28
47-46
34-31
36-32
47-31
42-40
32-34
59-52
37-24
47-39
56-36
45-35
45-34
54-31
40-35
47-46
48-33
43-42
37-31
45-44
160.2Avg total
87.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.876.0161.8+9.882%
Season at home (18)89.375.7165.1+13.689%
Season away (15)81.576.3157.9+5.273%
Last 10 (10)87.872.4160.2+15.4100%
Last 5 (5)92.073.4165.4+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.776.3158.0+5.471%
vs Weaker (22)84.874.6159.4+10.282%
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#296
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H08/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
82-58
82
58
+24
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
81-54
81
54
+27
H17/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A25/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H09/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-25
53-39
29-35
43-30
50-23
32-35
41-25
40-29
33-32
37-50
37-42
42-27
35-39
47-36
36-32
36-40
31-18
45-39
38-34
41-39
147.8Avg total
79.7Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)76.165.3141.5+10.882%
Season at home (17)83.265.6148.8+17.6100%
Season away (16)68.665.1133.7+3.662%
Last 10 (10)79.768.1147.8+11.690%
Last 5 (5)81.071.6152.6+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.049.093.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.772.3145.0+0.350%
vs Weaker (23)78.365.0143.3+13.291%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.2+5.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.6+9.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: +5.2+5.2
ToledoKent State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#59
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H15/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A18/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#324
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A01/03
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Ohio
#133
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/03
NCAA
73.0Avg total
41.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.932.072.9+8.887%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.331.073.3+11.393%-
Last 30 away (15)39.433.172.5+6.380%-
Last 10 (10)41.331.773.0+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)45.233.879.0+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.631.371.9+9.386%-
vs Weaker (22)40.632.172.8+8.586%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#296
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H08/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#231
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
50-23
50
23
+27
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#347
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/02
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A25/02
NCAA
Ohio
#133
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H01/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#271
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H11/03
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.4Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.030.967.9+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.130.070.1+10.180%-
Last 30 away (15)33.931.765.6+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)36.430.566.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.068.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.024.046.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.835.270.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (23)38.230.068.3+8.278%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toledo wins
5
Kent State wins
DateGameScore
11/01/23Kent State v Toledo75-63
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
01/01/22Kent State v Toledo66-63
23/01/21Toledo v Kent State76-74
05/01/21Kent State v Toledo82-84
29/01/20Toledo v Kent State70-83
08/01/20Kent State v Toledo84-77
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/23HOhio82-75
09/03/23HMiami (FL)91-75
03/03/23ABall State87-81
01/03/23ACentral Michigan99-65
25/02/23HBuffalo101-71
22/02/23HAkron84-63
18/02/23ABowling Green91-86
15/02/23HMiami (FL)89-71
12/02/23AEastern Michigan70-63
08/02/23AAkron84-74
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HAkron79-73
09/03/23HNorthern Illinois76-57
03/03/23HAkron89-84 OT
01/03/23HOhio82-75
25/02/23ABowling Green79-69
22/02/23ABall State70-82
17/02/23HEastern Michigan81-54
15/02/23AWestern Michigan82-58
10/02/23ABuffalo72-65
08/02/23HBowling Green87-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %82%89%73%
Points / game85.889.381.5
Allowed / game76.075.776.3
Point differential+9.8+13.6+5.2
Avg total161.8165.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kent State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %82%100%62%
Points / game76.183.268.6
Allowed / game65.365.665.1
Point differential+10.8+17.6+3.6
Avg total141.5148.8133.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%71%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State3327682%76.165.3+10.8
2 Toledo3327682%85.876.0+9.8
3 Akron33231070%75.266.4+8.8
4 Ball State32201262%76.471.6+4.8
5 Ohio33191458%78.873.1+5.7
6 UMass31151648%69.871.4-1.6
7 Buffalo32151747%77.577.7-0.1
8 Northern Illinois32131941%72.075.0-3.0
9 Bowling Green31112035%76.078.5-2.5
10 Central Michigan31102132%65.773.0-7.3
11 Western Michigan3182326%69.974.0-4.2
12 Eastern Michigan3182326%72.280.8-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo344478
Kent State355893
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