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UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 55-59
33-22 22-37
Position#239
Record8-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game68.8
vs
Position#337
Record4-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UC San Diego v Cal Poly
11 Mar 2026
UC S72
CAL 69
28 Feb 2026
UC S80
CAL 64
09 Jan 2025
UC S95
CAL 68
09 Mar 2024
UC S92
CAL 87
27 Jan 2022
UC S55
CAL 59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC San Diego winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#300
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A16/12
NCAA
Cal Tech
#544
W
93-52
93
52
+41
H19/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A23/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H31/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H02/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A07/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#176
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A09/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A16/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H21/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-24
36-40
53-25
40-27
30-45
27-33
28-27
43-44
33-34
39-30
26-27
25-32
39-37
32-41
18-41
38-38
21-41
48-46
41-46
39-37
141.7Avg total
69.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.268.8139.0+1.344%
Season at home (7)82.067.9149.9+14.186%
Season away (11)62.669.5132.1-6.818%
Last 10 (10)69.072.7141.7-3.730%
Last 5 (5)65.477.2142.6-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.675.9140.5-11.318%
vs Similar (11)72.575.2147.6-2.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.161.3140.4+17.986%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#173
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A18/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A08/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H14/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#176
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H16/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A19/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-33
23-31
22-31
29-21
27-21
34-37
37-37
40-41
29-50
19-33
33-32
22-36
22-32
24-25
37-27
45-47
30-30
30-43
34-36
22-33
126.7Avg total
59.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)61.767.0128.7-5.325%
Season at home (7)65.163.7128.9+1.429%
Season away (9)59.069.6128.6-10.622%
Last 10 (10)59.167.6126.7-8.520%
Last 5 (5)59.868.2128.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)60.170.0130.1-9.817%
vs Similar (5)61.667.2128.8-5.620%
vs Weaker (1)86.053.0139.0+33.0100%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.8-3.81st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: -5.9-5.9
UC San DiegoCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#300
L
20-24
20
24
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Cal Tech
#544
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H19/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#52
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A23/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#124
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H31/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H02/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A07/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#176
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A09/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A16/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H21/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#90
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A23/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.565.4-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.132.768.9+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)28.134.262.3-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)30.934.765.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.038.467.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.235.563.7-7.418%-
vs Similar (11)31.135.967.0-4.818%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.927.763.6+8.171%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California Baptist
#173
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A18/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H14/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#176
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H16/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#321
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A19/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#151
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H23/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.3Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.432.060.4-3.527%-
Last 30 at home (12)27.828.956.8-1.133%-
Last 30 away (18)28.834.062.8-5.222%-
Last 10 (10)30.332.963.2-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.462.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)27.632.860.4-5.217%-
vs Similar (5)31.629.861.4+1.860%-
vs Weaker (1)32.023.055.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC San Diego wins
0
Cal Poly wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22ACS Fullerton80-83
21/01/22HLong Beach State69-87
16/01/22AHawaii56-79
09/01/22AUC Davis71-78
07/01/22AUC Riverside51-59
02/01/22HCS Northridge72-64
31/12/21HUC Santa Barbara85-83 OT
23/12/21ASan Diego State57-78
19/12/21HCal Tech93-52
16/12/21ADenver56-64
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22HHawaii56-69
19/01/22ACSU Bakersfield60-73
16/01/22HUC Davis82-74
14/01/22HUC Riverside46-57
08/01/22ACS Northridge55-68
18/12/21AFresno State48-83
14/12/21APortland77-78
12/12/21APortland State61-58
05/12/21ASan Diego Toreros51-52
03/12/21ACalifornia Baptist55-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC San Diego
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %44%86%18%
Points / game70.282.062.6
Allowed / game68.867.969.5
Point differential+1.3+14.1-6.8
Avg total139.0149.9132.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%14%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%29%22%
Points / game61.765.159.0
Allowed / game67.063.769.6
Point differential-5.3+1.4-10.6
Avg total128.7128.9128.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CS Fullerton1712571%73.267.5+5.7
2 UC Riverside1510567%63.659.5+4.1
3 Hawaii148657%71.869.0+2.8
4 UC Davis148657%69.467.0+2.4
5 UC Santa Barbara158753%75.466.3+9.1
6 Long Beach State178947%74.276.1-1.8
7 UC Irvine136746%66.960.4+6.5
8 CSU Bakersfield136746%64.663.6+1.0
9 UC San Diego1881044%70.268.8+1.3
10 CS Northridge1851328%59.769.6-9.8
11 Cal Poly1641225%61.767.0-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC San Diego332255
Cal Poly223759
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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