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UC San Diego vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 95-68
38-42 57-26
Position#11
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game61.8
UC San Diego 🏆
USA
vs
Cal Poly
USA
Position#235
Record6-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game85.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC San Diego v Cal Poly
11 Mar 2026
UC S72
CAL 69
28 Feb 2026
UC S80
CAL 64
09 Jan 2025
UC S95
CAL 68
09 Mar 2024
UC S92
CAL 87
27 Jan 2022
UC S55
CAL 59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC San Diego winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
80-45
80
45
+35
A23/11
NCAA
La Verne
#667
W
109-33
109
33
+76
H01/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A06/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
81-60
81
60
+21
H08/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
80-56
80
56
+24
A16/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A18/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A22/12
NCAA
Occidental
#641
W
109-51
109
51
+58
H29/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
90-51
90
51
+39
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-28
39-39
34-25
46-20
50-8
59-25
42-33
42-43
51-30
30-30
39-31
41-25
32-39
43-34
32-28
45-43
59-26
50-25
46-23
44-28
144.1Avg total
85.8Scored
58.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.161.8142.9+19.387%
Season at home (8)84.161.5145.6+22.688%
Season away (7)77.762.1139.9+15.686%
Last 10 (10)85.858.3144.1+27.5100%
Last 5 (5)86.260.4146.6+25.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)92.088.0180.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)78.365.3143.6+13.079%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
97-90
97
90
+7
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A22/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
89-98 OT
89
98
-9
H03/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-47
35-33
44-33
38-46
34-43
63-47
31-30
35-47
34-51
57-51
40-45
51-46
28-39
48-37
38-43
44-43
38-49
42-31
22-27
33-41
170.4Avg total
82.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.485.4167.8-2.938%
Season at home (6)88.585.0173.5+3.567%
Season away (10)78.885.6164.4-6.820%
Last 10 (10)82.388.1170.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)84.290.6174.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)67.678.1145.7-10.45%
vs Similar (9)80.785.4166.1-4.833%
vs Weaker (2)97.080.0177.0+17.0100%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.8+14.81st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: +12.7+12.72nd half: +2.4+2.4
-18-9+0+9+181st half1st half: +14.8+14.81st half: -6.7-6.72nd half2nd half: +12.7+12.72nd half: +2.4+2.4
UC San DiegoCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A23/11
NCAA
La Verne
#667
W
50-8
50
8
+42
H01/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A06/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H08/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A16/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A22/12
NCAA
Occidental
#641
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H29/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A05/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
41.9Scored
27.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.630.367.8+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.830.270.0+9.665%-
Last 30 away (13)34.630.465.0+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.927.169.0+14.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.629.471.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.041.081.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)37.529.667.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A24/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A06/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H08/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H03/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A05/01
NCAA
74.7Avg total
34.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.836.968.7-5.120%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.035.667.6-3.633%-
Last 30 away (18)31.737.869.5-6.211%-
Last 10 (10)34.040.774.7-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.673.8-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.936.466.3-6.511%-
vs Similar (9)35.337.973.2-2.633%-
vs Weaker (2)34.037.571.5-3.550%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UC San Diego wins
2
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24UC San Diego v Cal Poly92-87
14/01/24Cal Poly v UC San Diego61-86
20/01/23Cal Poly v UC San Diego64-71
06/03/22Cal Poly v UC San Diego80-76
28/01/22UC San Diego v Cal Poly55-59
UC San Diegolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25ACS Fullerton90-51
29/12/24HOccidental109-51
22/12/24ASan Diego Toreros77-71
18/12/24AUtah State75-73
16/12/24AIdaho80-56
08/12/24HCSU Bakersfield81-60
06/12/24AUC Santa Barbara84-76
01/12/24HLa Verne109-33
23/11/24AToledo80-45
22/11/24HJames Madison73-67
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AHawaii55-68
03/01/25HUC Irvine89-98 OT
22/12/24ANebraska O.82-86
18/12/24HDenver95-94 OT
15/12/24ASan Jose State100-107 OT
08/12/24HCS Northridge91-102
06/12/24AUC Davis66-77
01/12/24AStanford97-90
27/11/24HGrambling St.82-79
24/11/24ASt. Marys (CA)66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC San Diego
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %87%88%86%
Points / game81.184.177.7
Allowed / game61.861.562.1
Point differential+19.3+22.6+15.6
Avg total142.9145.6139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game82.488.578.8
Allowed / game85.485.085.6
Point differential-2.9+3.5-6.8
Avg total167.8173.5164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %19%33%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego1513287%81.161.8+19.3
2 UC Irvine1513287%75.264.4+10.8
3 CS Northridge1511473%81.769.3+12.5
4 UC Santa Barbara149564%75.464.6+10.7
5 Hawaii149564%71.967.8+4.1
6 UC Riverside1610662%71.572.1-0.6
7 UC Davis169756%69.970.2-0.3
8 CSU Bakersfield168850%74.469.9+4.5
9 Cal Poly1661038%82.485.4-2.9
10 Long Beach State1661038%66.771.1-4.4
11 CS Fullerton1751229%62.572.5-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC San Diego385795
Cal Poly422668
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