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Cal Poly vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 82-74
37-27 45-47
Position#337
Record3-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Position#176
Record7-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Davis
10 Jan 2026
CAL 84
UC D78
16 Jan 2025
CAL 54
UC D65
03 Feb 2024
CAL 52
UC D59
25 Feb 2023
CAL 52
UC D58
15 Jan 2022
CAL 82
UC D74
27 Feb 2021
CAL 66
UC D68
26 Feb 2021
CAL 61
UC D69
20 Feb 2020
CAL 62
UC D77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#98
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A24/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
48-83
48
83
-35
A18/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A08/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-34
36-53
27-21
35-41
38-29
29-34
32-33
23-31
22-31
29-21
27-21
34-37
37-37
40-41
29-50
19-33
33-32
22-36
22-32
24-25
127.4Avg total
58.9Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)60.765.8126.5-5.223%
Season at home (5)63.660.6124.2+3.020%
Season away (8)58.969.1128.0-10.225%
Last 10 (10)58.968.5127.4-9.620%
Last 5 (5)57.468.8126.2-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)58.270.0128.2-11.812%
vs Similar (4)62.065.8127.8-3.825%
vs Weaker (1)86.053.0139.0+33.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#175
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A18/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Academy of Art
#203
L
60-79
60
79
-19
H28/11
NCAA
Pacific
#330
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/12
NCAA
California Merced
#545
W
81-40
81
40
+41
H04/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/12
NCAA
Pacific
#330
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A19/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
42-50
30-43
37-29
23-41
40-34
26-38
34-41
36-21
27-36
42-18
39-22
28-30
43-34
41-21
36-46
34-33
26-32
37-39
41-32
137.0Avg total
70.4Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.566.8137.4+3.764%
Season at home (6)71.064.7135.7+6.367%
Season away (5)70.069.4139.4+0.660%
Last 10 (10)70.466.6137.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)73.461.4134.8+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.873.8139.6-8.040%
vs Similar (11)70.070.1140.1-0.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)71.668.3139.9+3.369%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: -6.1-6.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
Cal PolyUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#98
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A20/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#83
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A24/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#173
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A05/12
NCAA
Portland State
#232
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A12/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#130
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A18/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#340
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A08/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#150
L
22-32
22
32
-10
H14/01
NCAA
60.8Avg total
28.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.732.159.8-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (11)27.329.156.4-1.836%-
Last 30 away (19)27.933.961.8-5.921%-
Last 10 (10)28.832.060.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.634.464.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)26.832.959.7-6.016%-
vs Similar (4)32.029.861.8+2.275%-
vs Weaker (1)32.023.055.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#175
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A24/11
NCAA
Academy of Art
#203
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H28/11
NCAA
Pacific
#330
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H02/12
NCAA
California Merced
#545
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H04/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#361
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Pacific
#330
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A19/12
NCAA
Portland
#140
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
33.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.831.864.6+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.431.164.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)32.332.564.8-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)33.931.064.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.428.264.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.435.466.8-4.060%-
vs Similar (11)32.232.764.9-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.230.763.9+2.554%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
4
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
21/02/20Cal Poly v UC Davis62-77
02/02/20UC Davis v Cal Poly66-51
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/22HUC Riverside46-57
08/01/22ACS Northridge55-68
18/12/21AFresno State48-83
14/12/21APortland77-78
12/12/21APortland State61-58
05/12/21ASan Diego Toreros51-52
03/12/21ACalifornia Baptist55-64
24/11/21AIdaho67-63
22/11/21HNicholls State72-75 OT
20/11/21ASanta Clara57-87
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/22HUC San Diego78-71
22/12/21HPortland60-65
19/12/21APacific77-67
15/12/21AOregon State71-64
04/12/21HCalifornia Merced81-40
02/12/21HPacific63-57
28/11/21HAcademy of Art60-79
24/11/21ASacramento State63-75
18/11/21APepperdine67-72
12/11/21HEast. Washington84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %23%20%25%
Points / game60.763.658.9
Allowed / game65.860.669.1
Point differential-5.2+3.0-10.2
Avg total126.5124.2128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%20%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW64%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game70.571.070.0
Allowed / game66.864.769.4
Point differential+3.7+6.3+0.6
Avg total137.4135.7139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CS Fullerton149564%73.167.6+5.4
2 UC Riverside149564%62.659.0+3.6
3 UC Davis117464%70.566.8+3.7
4 UC Irvine116555%67.358.8+8.5
5 UC San Diego158753%70.566.0+4.5
6 UC Santa Barbara147750%75.667.9+7.8
7 CSU Bakersfield115645%64.464.0+0.4
8 Hawaii115645%72.272.3-0.1
9 Long Beach State156940%73.577.1-3.7
10 CS Northridge1551033%61.169.3-8.2
11 Cal Poly1331023%60.765.8-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly374582
UC Davis274774
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