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UC Santa Barbara vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 109-84
51-36 58-48
Position#146
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#356
Record4-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game77.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Santa Barbara v CSU Bakersfield
23 Jan 2027
UC S v CSU
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
UC S109
CSU 84
12 Mar 2025
UC S71
CSU 66
09 Jan 2025
UC S78
CSU 66
11 Jan 2024
UC S66
CSU 64
21 Jan 2023
UC S76
CSU 58
20 Feb 2021
UC S63
CSU 44
19 Feb 2021
UC S71
CSU 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Santa Barbara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H05/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H18/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A22/11
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
84-49
84
49
+35
H25/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H28/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A29/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
84-77 OT
84
77
+7
H05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-26
24-43
58-35
40-32
45-28
40-46
45-43
47-44
40-31
29-38
28-32
36-45
42-19
42-30
33-34
39-36
36-32
38-39
31-30
36-37
149.7Avg total
77.8Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.872.2153.0+8.678%
Season at home (6)82.869.2152.0+13.783%
Season away (3)76.778.3155.0-1.767%
Last 10 (10)77.871.9149.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)75.668.8144.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.576.2141.8-10.80%
vs Similar (6)73.079.8152.8-6.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.268.1146.2+10.190%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A13/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A04/11
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A15/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A18/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H22/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A26/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-32
41-39
26-37
34-50
44-26
39-35
38-32
36-26
28-38
32-44
32-42
48-51
39-22
47-48
24-35
35-54
34-40
42-31
32-44
34-43
147.9Avg total
71.0Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.677.6149.1-6.044%
Season at home (3)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Season away (6)66.884.8151.7-18.017%
Last 10 (10)71.076.9147.9-5.940%
Last 5 (5)73.482.0155.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)66.781.1147.7-14.413%
vs Similar (9)73.674.8148.3-1.244%
vs Weaker (6)83.267.5150.7+15.7100%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -3.3-3.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -3.3-3.3
UC Santa BarbaraCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H05/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H25/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#197
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H28/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A29/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H05/12
NCAA
69.5Avg total
38.5Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.268.8+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.430.769.1+7.775%-
Last 30 away (14)34.733.968.6+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)38.531.069.5+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)34.029.463.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.033.066.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (6)38.237.876.0+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.030.367.2+6.780%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A18/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A26/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A05/12
NCAA
67.0Avg total
32.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.235.869.0-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.232.668.8+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)30.538.669.1-8.125%-
Last 10 (10)32.234.867.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.236.668.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)28.238.466.6-10.213%-
vs Similar (9)36.637.173.7-0.656%-
vs Weaker (6)40.527.367.8+13.2100%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25HLong Beach State84-77 OT
29/11/25ASeattle74-71
28/11/25HLehigh72-70
25/11/25HNobel Knights84-49
22/11/25ANevada64-77
18/11/25HLoyola Marymount74-78 OT
12/11/25ASacramento State92-87
08/11/25HSan Jose State85-74
05/11/25HSan Francisco State98-67
15/03/25AUC San Diego51-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25ACS Northridge66-87
30/11/25AFresno State76-71
26/11/25AFlorida State59-89
22/11/25HMiss. Valley St.86-70
18/11/25APortland State80-93
15/11/25AOle Miss60-82
12/11/25HWestern Illinois74-58
06/11/25HWhittier83-61
04/11/25ACalifornia60-87
13/03/25AUC Santa Barbara66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game80.882.876.7
Allowed / game72.269.278.3
Point differential+8.6+13.7-1.7
Avg total153.0152.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %22%33%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%100%17%
Points / game71.681.066.8
Allowed / game77.663.084.8
Point differential-6.0+18.0-18.0
Avg total149.1144.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego87188%83.971.9+12.0
2 Hawaii97278%81.365.7+15.7
3 UC Santa Barbara97278%80.872.2+8.6
4 UC Davis85362%77.071.8+5.2
5 UC Irvine106460%79.063.2+15.8
6 UC Riverside105550%74.873.6+1.2
7 CS Northridge84450%76.578.8-2.2
8 Cal Poly115645%82.886.3-3.5
9 CSU Bakersfield94544%71.677.6-6.0
10 CS Fullerton93633%88.488.3+0.1
11 Long Beach State92722%70.976.8-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Santa Barbara5158109
CSU Bakersfield364884
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