PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nevada vs UC Santa Barbara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 77-64
32-28 45-36
Position#86
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game76.2
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#146
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Santa Barbara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H05/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
77-50
77
50
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-34
29-34
38-41
29-30
21-43
40-37
44-32
42-39
28-29
31-38
34-18
43-32
40-40
38-37
32-34
40-38
34-48
49-50
33-33
38-42
146.1Avg total
72.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.076.2155.2+2.860%
Season at home (4)78.070.8148.8+7.275%
Season away (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)72.373.8146.1-1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.076.2155.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.978.0147.9-8.10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.270.2141.4+0.946%
vs Weaker (10)75.864.5140.3+11.380%
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H28/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
77-103
77
103
-26
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H09/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H13/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A14/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H05/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-42
49-35
46-58
31-45
43-30
45-67
32-25
39-41
35-28
43-44
27-26
24-43
58-35
40-32
45-28
40-46
45-43
47-44
40-31
29-38
160.0Avg total
81.0Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.276.5163.8+10.875%
Season at home (3)85.773.0158.7+12.767%
Season away (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.079.0160.0+2.060%
Last 5 (5)80.075.0155.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.576.2141.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (4)75.082.8157.8-7.825%
vs Weaker (21)75.268.1143.4+7.176%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -4.8-4.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -4.8-4.8
NevadaUC Santa Barbara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#165
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H19/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
33.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.832.965.7-0.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.532.167.6+3.547%-
Last 30 away (13)29.234.163.2-4.923%-
Last 10 (10)33.035.268.2-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)34.634.669.2+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.737.170.9-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.232.564.8-0.331%-
vs Weaker (10)32.830.563.3+2.350%-
This opponent (UC Santa Barbara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC Santa BarbaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H09/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H13/03
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
58-35
58
35
+23
H05/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H18/11
NCAA
76.4Avg total
41.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.468.8+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.031.470.4+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)33.733.567.1+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)41.834.676.4+7.290%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.675.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.033.066.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.240.882.0+0.550%-
vs Weaker (21)35.430.866.1+4.667%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevada wins
0
UC Santa Barbara wins
No previous meetings.
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HUC Davis71-75
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98
13/11/25HSouthern Illinois86-81 OT
09/11/25HPacific78-77
05/11/25HLouisiana Tech77-50
14/03/25AColorado State59-67
12/03/25HFresno State86-71
09/03/25ASan Diego State61-80
05/03/25HNew Mexico67-71
01/03/25AUNLV55-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25HLoyola Marymount74-78 OT
12/11/25ASacramento State92-87
08/11/25HSan Jose State85-74
05/11/25HSan Francisco State98-67
15/03/25AUC San Diego51-69
14/03/25ACS Northridge78-72
13/03/25HCSU Bakersfield71-66
09/03/25HUC Irvine88-97
02/03/25ACS Northridge77-103
28/02/25HCal Poly96-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game79.078.083.0
Allowed / game76.270.898.0
Point differential+2.8+7.2-15.0
Avg total155.2148.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %20%25%0%
UC Santa Barbara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game87.285.792.0
Allowed / game76.573.087.0
Point differential+10.8+12.7+5.0
Avg total163.8158.7179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State550100%88.866.0+22.8
2 Colorado State54180%89.873.4+16.4
3 Wyoming54180%86.671.2+15.4
4 Boise State54180%77.667.6+10.0
5 Fresno State75271%78.469.4+9.0
6 San Diego State32167%85.770.0+15.7
7 New Mexico64267%75.369.3+6.0
8 UNLV53260%93.284.0+9.2
9 Grand Canyon53260%81.674.0+7.6
10 Nevada53260%79.076.2+2.8
11 San Jose State52340%79.874.0+5.8
12 Air Force62433%65.572.0-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%84.068.2+15.8
2 UC Santa Barbara43175%87.276.5+10.8
3 Hawaii64267%79.565.2+14.3
4 UC Davis64267%78.373.8+4.5
5 UC Irvine53260%93.466.0+27.4
6 CS Northridge53260%82.280.8+1.4
7 UC Riverside63350%74.771.3+3.3
8 CSU Bakersfield63350%73.875.2-1.3
9 Cal Poly63350%81.885.3-3.5
10 CS Fullerton51420%88.291.0-2.8
11 Long Beach State61517%68.773.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada324577
UC Santa Barbara283664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.