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Fresno State vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 71-76
40-34 31-42
Position#275
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Position#356
Record3-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fresno State v CSU Bakersfield
30 Nov 2025
FRES71
CSU 76
15 Dec 2023
FRES61
CSU 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
36-50
32-44
39-42
42-29
46-22
36-25
30-42
28-20
54-42
30-42
43-36
33-40
42-34
39-42
41-36
41-37
44-39
27-35
49-18
148.1Avg total
76.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.167.4145.5+10.875%
Season at home (8)78.167.4145.5+10.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.471.7148.1+4.760%
Last 5 (5)77.871.8149.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.682.1152.7-11.514%
vs Similar (6)74.867.8142.7+7.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)76.053.0129.0+23.0100%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A13/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A04/11
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A15/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A18/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H22/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
59-89
59
89
-30
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-45
31-53
33-37
43-27
25-32
41-39
26-37
34-50
44-26
39-35
38-32
36-26
28-38
32-44
32-42
48-51
39-22
47-48
24-35
35-54
148.9Avg total
71.6Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)71.777.1148.9-5.443%
Season at home (3)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Season away (4)64.887.8152.5-23.00%
Last 10 (10)71.677.3148.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)71.878.4150.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.081.4147.4-15.48%
vs Similar (9)73.674.8148.3-1.244%
vs Weaker (8)84.564.5149.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -4.1-4.1
Fresno StateCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#251
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#524
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H04/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#274
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H08/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H16/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#226
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H27/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
34.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.536.668.1-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.333.766.0-1.537%-
Last 30 away (11)30.141.571.6-11.518%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.669.6-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.273.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)30.239.169.3-8.914%-
vs Similar (6)35.029.064.0+6.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)27.035.062.0-8.00%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cal Poly
#235
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A18/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A26/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.234.869.1-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.331.769.0+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.237.969.1-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.034.667.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.866.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.537.865.3-10.415%-
vs Similar (9)36.637.173.7-0.656%-
vs Weaker (8)42.627.470.0+15.2100%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fresno State wins
1
CSU Bakersfield wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HPepperdine76-53
22/11/25HNew Orleans85-76
19/11/25HStephen F. Austin80-78
16/11/25HUtah Valley State75-74
13/11/25HUC San Diego73-78
08/11/25HLong Beach State82-62
06/11/25HUSC Upstate66-67
04/11/25HFresno Pacific88-51
12/03/25ANevada71-86
08/03/25ASan Jose State68-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AFlorida State59-89
22/11/25HMiss. Valley St.86-70
18/11/25APortland State80-93
15/11/25AOle Miss60-82
12/11/25HWestern Illinois74-58
06/11/25HWhittier83-61
04/11/25ACalifornia60-87
13/03/25AUC Santa Barbara66-71
07/03/25HHawaii76-64
01/03/25ACal Poly72-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeLWWWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games88-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game78.178.1-
Allowed / game67.467.4-
Point differential+10.8+10.8-
Avg total145.5145.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%38%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%-
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game71.781.064.8
Allowed / game77.163.087.8
Point differential-5.4+18.0-23.0
Avg total148.9144.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State770100%88.967.3+21.6
2 Wyoming86275%85.169.8+15.4
3 Colorado State86275%84.071.4+12.6
4 Fresno State86275%78.167.4+10.8
5 New Mexico75271%77.971.9+6.0
6 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
7 Nevada85362%77.474.1+3.2
8 Grand Canyon74357%74.669.6+5.0
9 San Diego State63350%81.579.2+2.3
10 San Jose State83538%72.071.8+0.2
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force93633%67.474.2-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego770100%85.971.3+14.6
2 Hawaii86275%82.165.2+16.9
3 UC Santa Barbara86275%80.471.6+8.8
4 UC Davis75271%78.171.3+6.9
5 UC Irvine95456%79.763.6+16.1
6 UC Riverside84450%75.072.4+2.6
7 Cal Poly94544%81.485.6-4.1
8 CSU Bakersfield73443%71.777.1-5.4
9 CS Northridge73443%75.080.6-5.6
10 CS Fullerton83538%88.187.6+0.5
11 Long Beach State82625%70.175.9-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State403171
CSU Bakersfield344276
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