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Fresno State vs California Baptist Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 04:59
Final 81-86 (OT)
27-37 38-28 16-21
Position#358
Record3-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#179
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v California Baptist
21 Dec 2024
FRES69
CALI86
27 Nov 2024
FRES81
CALI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
California Baptist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
47-86
47
86
-39
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
75-87 OT
75
87
-12
A14/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H09/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
24-37
34-42
30-46
17-40
33-40
44-33
36-35
34-35
30-37
34-20
34-37
52-54
35-38
23-36
53-36
41-47
28-39
44-30
36-39
37-45
148.7Avg total
70.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.576.3150.8-1.850%
Season at home (2)79.070.0149.0+9.0100%
Season away (4)72.279.5151.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)70.478.3148.7-7.940%
Last 5 (5)76.680.2156.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.975.7139.7-11.813%
vs Similar (7)77.670.6148.1+7.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
L
47-68
47
68
-21
H10/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
74-63 OT
74
63
+11
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A15/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H05/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H24/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-41
26-27
28-30
32-30
26-43
31-38
34-43
49-35
42-42
46-42
37-30
32-40
47-40
43-37
28-40
40-39
41-32
38-36
32-45
45-34
147.9Avg total
73.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.176.4155.6+2.757%
Season at home (7)79.176.4155.6+2.757%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.274.7147.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)76.674.6151.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)64.371.3135.6-7.010%
vs Similar (15)70.769.5140.2+1.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.865.0138.8+8.860%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.5-4.51st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +2.4+2.4
Fresno StateCalifornia Baptist
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#39
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/03
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H09/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H21/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A23/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/11
NCAA
72.3Avg total
33.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.936.267.1-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.236.267.4-4.923%-
Last 30 away (17)30.636.266.9-5.624%-
Last 10 (10)33.938.472.3-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.875.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)29.536.766.3-7.217%-
vs Similar (7)35.434.469.9+1.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (California Baptist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grand Canyon
#10
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H10/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/03
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H10/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H13/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H21/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H24/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H27/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
33.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.134.165.2-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.634.266.7-1.650%-
Last 30 away (12)29.034.063.0-5.017%-
Last 10 (10)33.638.672.2-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.474.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.535.965.4-6.430%-
vs Similar (15)31.333.765.1-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)33.831.665.4+2.260%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
0
California Baptist wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24AWashington State73-84
23/11/24ALong Beach State72-69
21/11/24HPrairie View A&M94-83
17/11/24ACSU Bakersfield58-74
14/11/24AUC Santa Barbara86-91
09/11/24HSacramento State64-57
14/03/24AUtah State75-87 OT
13/03/24AWyoming77-73
10/03/24HWyoming47-86
07/03/24ANew Mexico58-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HSMU Mustangs77-79
24/11/24HEast. Washington79-68
21/11/24HNorthern Colorado68-79
16/11/24HLIU Sharks90-77
13/11/24HUC Riverside69-70
10/11/24HKennesaw State88-84
05/11/24HIncarnate Word83-78
15/03/24ASeattle57-81
14/03/24AUtah Valley State74-63 OT
10/03/24HGrand Canyon47-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game74.579.072.2
Allowed / game76.370.079.5
Point differential-1.8+9.0-7.2
Avg total150.8149.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
California Baptist
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeLWLWL57%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games77-
Win %57%57%-
Points / game79.179.1-
Allowed / game76.476.4-
Point differential+2.7+2.7-
Avg total155.6155.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State550100%98.665.0+33.6
2 Nevada76186%78.965.3+13.6
3 New Mexico65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 UNLV54180%79.870.4+9.4
5 Boise State75271%81.668.1+13.4
6 Wyoming75271%74.673.3+1.3
7 Grand Canyon64267%79.376.2+3.2
8 San Diego State53260%73.863.6+10.2
9 Colorado State53260%77.472.2+5.2
10 Fresno State63350%74.576.3-1.8
11 San Jose State94544%70.368.4+1.9
12 Air Force72529%66.767.3-0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah86275%78.971.0+7.9
2 Utah Valley State64267%80.371.2+9.2
3 Abilene Christian74357%79.373.0+6.3
4 California Baptist74357%79.176.4+2.7
5 UT Arlington73443%79.975.6+4.3
6 Utah Tech82625%68.174.5-6.4
7 Tarleton61517%59.082.0-23.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fresno State27381681
California Baptist37282186
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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