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UCF Knights vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-65
39-31 42-34
Position#199
Record6-11
FormLWLWL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#244
Record7-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · UCF Knights v South Florida
19 Mar 2024
UCF 77
SOUT83
22 Feb 2023
UCF 75
SOUT82
10 Mar 2022
UCF 60
SOUT58
03 Feb 2022
UCF 68
SOUT49
17 Feb 2021
UCF 81
SOUT65
12 Mar 2020
UCF v SOUT
upcoming
18 Jan 2020
UCF 55
SOUT54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H23/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A04/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
19-45
39-30
33-32
32-46
42-25
29-39
38-34
39-43
29-52
40-44
23-30
38-45
34-25
31-33
30-36
30-25
29-30
24-19
34-35
34-34
137.6Avg total
65.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)65.370.0135.3-4.735%
Season at home (8)63.262.2125.5+1.062%
Season away (9)67.176.9144.0-9.811%
Last 10 (10)65.871.8137.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)61.462.4123.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.676.6143.2-10.015%
vs Similar ◀ (14)63.864.2128.0-0.457%
vs Weaker (3)78.767.0145.7+11.767%
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#225
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Wofford
#102
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A17/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A30/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H06/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-26
33-36
25-24
33-32
43-41
31-30
29-22
41-48
23-25
34-33
34-35
34-26
24-26
27-35
25-26
44-37
35-43
30-39
23-27
36-35
130.9Avg total
65.1Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.668.5136.1-0.950%
Season at home (10)68.969.1138.0-0.250%
Season away (4)64.567.0131.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)65.165.8130.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)62.465.8128.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.467.4128.7-6.024%
vs Similar ◀ (9)64.861.8126.6+3.067%
vs Weaker (4)73.066.5139.5+6.575%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: -0.8-0.8
UCF KnightsSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
19-45
19
45
-26
A17/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H23/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H28/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
31.1Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.731.662.4-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.527.760.2+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)29.035.564.5-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)31.134.465.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.261.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.235.564.7-6.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.728.759.4+2.043%-
vs Weaker (3)37.728.366.0+9.3100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#225
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H08/12
NCAA
Wofford
#102
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H12/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H23/12
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
23-25
23
25
-2
A30/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H06/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#238
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A09/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H14/02
NCAA
59.6Avg total
30.1Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.129.758.9-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (18)29.929.459.4+0.539%-
Last 30 away (12)27.930.258.1-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)30.129.559.6+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.459.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)27.129.356.4-2.229%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.129.461.6+2.756%-
vs Weaker (4)31.032.263.2-1.225%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCF Knights wins
2
South Florida wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21ACincinnati68-69
13/02/21HTulane53-49
11/02/21HWichita State60-61
06/02/21HTulsa65-58
04/02/21AMemphis61-75
02/02/21AMemphis69-96
30/01/21AWichita State88-93 OT
28/01/21HEast Carolina71-64
23/01/21HSMU Mustangs65-78
17/01/21AHouston58-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21HTulane59-62
11/02/21HHouston65-82
09/01/21AEast Carolina69-63
06/01/21HTulsa51-61
03/01/21HUCF Knights68-61
30/12/20AMemphis57-58
23/12/20HWichita State77-82 OT
17/12/20ACincinnati74-71
12/12/20HWofford58-56
08/12/20HStetson73-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL35%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%62%11%
Points / game65.363.267.1
Allowed / game70.062.276.9
Point differential-4.7+1.0-9.8
Avg total135.3125.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
South Florida
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game67.668.964.5
Allowed / game68.569.167.0
Point differential-0.9-0.2-2.5
Avg total136.1138.0131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor17170100%87.062.8+24.2
2 Houston1917289%76.557.3+19.2
3 Brigham Young2015575%78.868.4+10.3
4 Colorado2216673%75.463.9+11.5
5 Texas Tech2014670%74.262.7+11.6
6 West Virginia2014670%77.571.9+5.6
7 Oklahoma State2014670%75.770.6+5.0
8 Kansas2215768%74.667.4+7.3
9 Arizona2114767%76.568.1+8.4
10 TCU1911858%69.171.2-2.1
11 Utah Utes179853%70.667.5+3.1
12 Cincinnati147750%68.970.1-1.2
13 Arizona State167944%74.876.6-1.8
14 UCF Knights1761135%65.370.0-4.7
15 Kansas State2251723%62.973.7-10.8
16 Iowa State1721512%66.177.5-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB2016480%72.459.0+13.4
2 Wichita State1612475%72.968.3+4.6
3 North Texas1812667%72.361.6+10.8
4 Memphis1812667%72.762.9+9.8
5 Rice2112957%77.173.3+3.8
6 UTSA Roadrunners2112957%77.975.1+2.7
7 Tulane179853%63.162.8+0.3
8 Tulsa1910953%66.263.9+2.3
9 East Carolina168850%67.467.1+0.3
10 South Florida147750%67.668.5-0.9
11 Charlotte2091145%64.265.0-0.8
12 Florida Atlantic167944%78.469.6+8.8
13 Temple134931%64.769.1-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights394281
South Florida313465
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