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UCLA vs Purdue Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 66-73
27-34 39-39
Position#73
Record23-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game70.9
UCLA
USA
vs
Purdue 🏆
USA
Position#31
Record25-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UCLA v Purdue
14 Mar 2026
UCLA66
PURD73
20 Jan 2026
UCLA69
PURD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCLA winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
56-86
56
86
-30
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
H22/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
89-68
89
68
+21
A08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
47-39
38-40
18-46
23-43
36-39
43-50
43-36
38-29
43-33
41-40
32-38
37-24
35-28
45-30
44-38
30-24
42-35
44-33
44-51
150.0Avg total
76.2Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.170.9149.0+7.270%
Season at home (20)81.867.2148.9+14.590%
Season away (13)72.576.7149.2-4.238%
Last 10 (10)76.273.8150.0+2.470%
Last 5 (5)78.868.2147.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.077.0149.0-5.050%
vs Similar (7)76.481.6158.0-5.129%
vs Weaker (15)81.963.7145.6+18.393%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A11/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
93-64
93
64
+29
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
93-97
93
97
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-24
28-44
36-25
42-32
32-48
48-43
46-29
47-35
39-36
35-40
31-36
43-46
25-34
45-32
47-52
46-45
45-21
36-47
41-28
33-30
153.3Avg total
79.7Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.070.2152.2+11.876%
Season at home (21)84.671.0155.6+13.676%
Season away (12)77.468.8146.2+8.675%
Last 10 (10)79.773.6153.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)78.474.2152.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.086.0155.0-17.00%
vs Similar (8)81.270.4151.6+10.975%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.068.7151.8+14.380%
This opponent (UCLA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +0.9+0.9
UCLAPurdue
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H08/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H22/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H25/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H04/03
NCAA
USC
#153
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/03
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A14/03
NCAA
71.6Avg total
36.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.270.7+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.930.969.8+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)35.536.271.8-0.754%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.771.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.430.269.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.236.972.1-1.625%-
vs Similar (7)33.137.070.1-3.943%-
vs Weaker (15)40.729.570.1+11.293%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#21
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A11/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A14/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H17/02
NCAA
Indiana
#145
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A05/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H12/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A13/03
NCAA
71.5Avg total
38.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.232.873.0+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (19)42.133.775.7+8.479%-
Last 30 away (11)36.931.368.2+5.664%-
Last 10 (10)38.233.371.5+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.431.472.8+10.088%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.532.573.0+8.075%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCLA wins
1
Purdue wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26UCLA v Purdue69-67
01/03/25Purdue v UCLA76-66
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AMichigan State88-84
13/03/26HRutgers72-59
08/03/26AUSC89-68
04/03/26HNebraska72-52
28/02/26AMinnesota73-78
25/02/26HUSC81-62
22/02/26HIllinois95-94 OT
18/02/26AMichigan State59-82
14/02/26AMichigan56-86
08/02/26HWashington77-73
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ANebraska74-58
12/03/26HNorthwestern81-68
07/03/26HWisconsin93-97
05/03/26ANorthwestern70-66
01/03/26AOhio State74-82
27/02/26HMichigan State74-76
21/02/26HIndiana93-64
17/02/26HMichigan80-91
14/02/26AIowa78-57
11/02/26ANebraska80-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCLA
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %70%90%38%
Points / game78.181.872.5
Allowed / game70.967.276.7
Point differential+7.2+14.6-4.2
Avg total149.0148.9149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%65%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeLWLLW76%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332112
Win %76%76%75%
Points / game82.084.677.4
Allowed / game70.271.068.8
Point differential+11.8+13.6+8.6
Avg total152.2155.6146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%52%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan3331294%87.368.9+18.4
2 Nebraska3226681%77.366.2+11.1
3 Michigan State3225778%78.968.4+10.5
4 Purdue3325876%82.070.2+11.8
5 Illinois3224875%84.469.8+14.6
6 Wisconsin34241071%83.075.9+7.1
7 UCLA33231070%78.170.9+7.2
8 Iowa33211264%75.266.0+9.2
9 Ohio State33211264%79.872.8+7.0
10 Indiana32181456%78.272.2+6.0
11 USC32181456%78.677.9+0.7
12 Washington33161748%77.173.6+3.5
13 Minnesota32151747%70.068.5+1.5
14 Northwestern34151944%73.172.0+1.2
15 Rutgers33141942%70.675.1-4.5
16 Oregon32122038%70.873.9-3.1
17 Penn State32122038%73.779.3-5.7
18 Maryland33122136%69.776.6-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCLA273966
Purdue343973
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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