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UCLA vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 79-48
42-17 37-31
Position#73
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game67.0
UCLA 🏆
USA
vs
Position#324
Record3-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UCLA v Sacramento State
18 Nov 2025
UCLA79
SACR48
07 Nov 2022
UCLA76
SACR50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCLA winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCLAUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A04/03
NCAA
USC
#215
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H09/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
72-47
72
47
+25
H21/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A23/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H04/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H08/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
31-39
34-35
39-34
39-27
51-36
29-48
41-38
39-27
33-20
25-32
33-35
40-33
40-41
37-28
37-35
37-32
46-30
25-28
40-41
140.7Avg total
73.1Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.567.0142.5+8.575%
Season at home (4)75.567.0142.5+8.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.167.6140.7+5.560%
Last 5 (5)72.067.0139.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.770.0133.7-6.333%
vs Similar (14)71.168.9140.1+2.257%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.868.1145.8+9.777%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A23/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H01/03
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
103-79
103
79
+24
H05/11
NCAA
William Jessup
#391
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-47
36-36
15-31
39-29
34-45
26-42
35-34
21-25
33-37
37-46
41-39
62-40
37-33
49-43
43-45
44-47
36-34
37-43
27-36
37-26
147.7Avg total
71.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.677.2159.8+5.460%
Season at home (4)85.077.2162.2+7.875%
Season away (1)73.077.0150.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)71.975.8147.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)82.677.2159.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)64.275.0139.2-10.816%
vs Similar (7)66.073.9139.9-7.914%
vs Weaker (3)93.054.7147.7+38.3100%
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: +4.2+4.22nd half: +1.1+1.1
UCLASacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCLALast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#72
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A04/03
NCAA
USC
#215
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H21/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A23/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H08/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/11
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.0Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.531.567.0+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.231.569.7+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)31.931.563.5+0.446%-
Last 10 (10)34.032.766.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.830.663.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.331.060.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (14)34.033.367.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.529.768.2+8.885%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/02
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
15-31
15
31
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A04/03
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A09/03
NCAA
Dominican Penguins
#431
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H05/11
NCAA
William Jessup
#391
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
71.2Avg total
33.1Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.737.369.0-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.935.966.8-5.129%-
Last 30 away (13)32.839.071.8-6.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.138.171.2-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.474.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.038.168.1-8.121%-
vs Similar (7)31.339.470.7-8.114%-
vs Weaker (3)42.028.370.3+13.7100%-
This opponent (UCLA) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UCLA wins
0
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
08/11/22UCLA v Sacramento State76-50
UCLAlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HArizona65-69
11/11/25HWest Georgia83-62
08/11/25HPepperdine74-63
04/11/25HEast. Washington80-74
23/03/25ATennessee58-67
21/03/25HUtah State72-47
14/03/25HWisconsin70-86
09/03/25HUSC90-63
04/03/25ANorthwestern73-69
01/03/25APurdue66-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HPresbyterian64-62
15/11/25AUC Davis73-77
12/11/25HUC Santa Barbara87-92
08/11/25HWilliam Jessup86-76
05/11/25HDominican Penguins103-79
09/03/25AWeber State70-83
04/03/25APortland State56-59
01/03/25HMontana State60-87
28/02/25HMontana54-60
23/02/25AIdaho State66-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCLA
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game75.575.5-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total142.5142.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game82.685.073.0
Allowed / game77.277.277.0
Point differential+5.4+7.8-4.0
Avg total159.8162.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois440100%97.866.8+31.0
2 Wisconsin440100%93.265.0+28.2
3 Indiana440100%92.064.8+27.2
4 USC330100%98.371.3+27.0
5 Iowa440100%89.564.8+24.8
6 Northwestern440100%84.260.2+24.0
7 Nebraska440100%89.067.0+22.0
8 Penn State440100%81.562.8+18.8
9 Purdue440100%88.271.8+16.5
10 Ohio State440100%87.871.5+16.2
11 Michigan330100%91.075.0+16.0
12 Rutgers440100%79.264.0+15.2
13 Michigan State440100%77.865.2+12.5
14 Oregon440100%74.266.5+7.8
15 Minnesota54180%76.062.4+13.6
16 Washington54180%85.472.0+13.4
17 Maryland43175%79.069.2+9.8
18 UCLA43175%75.567.0+8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado330100%93.367.7+25.7
2 Montana64267%86.772.0+14.7
3 Sacramento State53260%82.677.2+5.4
4 Portland State42250%91.080.8+10.2
5 Idaho42250%79.570.8+8.8
6 Northern Arizona42250%78.873.8+5.0
7 Idaho State52340%67.671.8-4.2
8 Weber State41325%90.573.0+17.5
9 Montana State51420%78.268.4+9.8
10 East. Washington51420%78.283.8-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCLA423779
Sacramento State173148
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